savvyman wrote:Something tells me this game won't be as easy as the last one....
RiverDog wrote:savvyman wrote:Something tells me this game won't be as easy as the last one....
That's a pretty sure bet, as it would be really hard to get any easier. The previous game was over at halftime. It's doubtful next Saturday will break in that manner.
The talking heads were making a reasoned argument for the Saints in that they've seen the worst from us and our venue, so they will know what to expect. But even if it were on a neutral field, I like how we match up against the Saints. Our physical secondary does a great job against their bigger but slower wide receivers, and I'm not too worried about their running game. And their D doesn't compare with what we see in our own division.
I'm going to predict 23-10 Hawks.
HumanCockroach wrote:I think it is safe to say, Brees isn't going to light up the defensive backfield in Seattle, and that Seattle can handle the running game of the Saints ( at least at a reasonable level) it will be important for Seattle to garner success on the of the offensive side of the ball and contain the Saints pass rush.
Eaglehawk wrote:HumanCockroach wrote:I think it is safe to say, Brees isn't going to light up the defensive backfield in Seattle, and that Seattle can handle the running game of the Saints ( at least at a reasonable level) it will be important for Seattle to garner success on the of the offensive side of the ball and contain the Saints pass rush.
Great post HC. I agree with what you wrote. However, what is a reasonable level to you HC? For me its 50-75 yards. Anything less than 50 is BONUS.
HumanCockroach wrote:Eaglehawk wrote:HumanCockroach wrote:I think it is safe to say, Brees isn't going to light up the defensive backfield in Seattle, and that Seattle can handle the running game of the Saints ( at least at a reasonable level) it will be important for Seattle to garner success on the of the offensive side of the ball and contain the Saints pass rush.
Great post HC. I agree with what you wrote. However, what is a reasonable level to you HC? For me its 50-75 yards. Anything less than 50 is BONUS.
Usually I place that number around 80 give or take. Less than 80 and the defense has done an excellent job shutting down the run ( course that does not mean they should give up 300 passing). I think "reasonable" is 80/250 ( rush/pass) a D does that, and allows less than 20 in a playoff game, and it should equate to a win 99% of the time.
Irish Greg 2.0 wrote:They knew what to expect last time too. That playoff game was only 3 years ago.
We should score 30 plus again. No way do they score that much with our defense.
100% chance of rain right now. We will shut down their run and the weather will marginalized their passing.
Add in the Harvin factor?
Seahawks 30-17
RiverDog wrote:Irish Greg 2.0 wrote:They knew what to expect last time too. That playoff game was only 3 years ago.
We should score 30 plus again. No way do they score that much with our defense.
100% chance of rain right now. We will shut down their run and the weather will marginalized their passing.
Add in the Harvin factor?
Seahawks 30-17
A lot of players weren't with the Saints 3 years ago. Same with the Hawks. It's different coming into a game when you just played there 6 weeks ago vs. 3 years.
It seems to me that it's pretty rare that one team wins big against the other twice in the same season unless there's a huge talent gap. We beat both the Cards and Niners by comfortable scores early in the season only to lose to them later in the season. Teams can adjust to their errors and correct their mistakes from the previous outing. Consequently, when you win, the tendency is to keep doing the things you were successful at earlier, which give the opponent a second, more educated opportunity at what they saw in their first meeting.
You learn more from a loss than you do from a win. Kinda like at my place of work. I learn more about the plant when we're broke down or out of grade than I do when everything is running like a Swiss watch.
But it looks like our point spread prediction is pretty close to the same. I just don't see us scoring 30+ points, Harvin or no Harvin.
rottweiler wrote:I'm betting that Sean Payton readies the team jet, and flies his boys West no later than Wednesday so they can have at least three days of practice in the PNW elements.
And heck, for the CLinkish sound effects, he might even be packing a boombox. Or three.
Just sayin'.
HumanCockroach wrote:rottweiler wrote:I'm betting that Sean Payton readies the team jet, and flies his boys West no later than Wednesday so they can have at least three days of practice in the PNW elements.
And heck, for the CLinkish sound effects, he might even be packing a boombox. Or three.
Just sayin'.
Might be better off, parking that jet at the end of the practice field and leaving those engines running. No sound system can simulate the noise in that stadium. Brees might think he knows what to expect, he doesn't. This isn't some MNF game, or even a playoff game against a 7-9 playoff team, this is a fan base that knows how close this team is to finally bringing home a Lombardi, and whatever he has experienced before is going to pale in comparison to what he is about to face....
obiken wrote:I picked the Saints, Chiefs, 9ers, and Bengals, 50%. We better buy Panther stock, because I just don't see us beating all the weapons the 9ers now have.
Hope I am wrong as always.
obi
obiken wrote:I picked the Saints, Chiefs, 9ers, and Bengals, 50%. We better buy Panther stock, because I just don't see us beating all the weapons the 9ers now have.
Hope I am wrong as always.
obi
obiken wrote:I picked the Saints, Chiefs, 9ers, and Bengals, 50%. We better buy Panther stock, because I just don't see us beating all the weapons the 9ers now have.
Hope I am wrong as always.
obi
Distant Relative wrote:Here's a cool video from the NFL.
http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap200000 ... -vs-saints
monkey wrote:You know, I am actually hoping to see Russell take off and pick up first downs with his feet a BIT more than he has been lately.
Don't get me wrong, I LOVE that he's always looking downfield trying to throw first!
But in the past few games, I've noticed several times where an easy first down was there if he ran, but he instead opted to try to throw into extremely tight windows.
Against the Cardinals there were at least two occasions where he definitely should have ran instead of trying to throw.
I get the feeling that he's trying SO hard to stay in the pocket,and be that terrific pocket passer, that he's actually missing opportunities at times.
What he is able to do, the kind of weapon that he is, he's able to completely take a game over, and be that player that a defense just CANNOT do anything about, cannot stop. I hope he gets back to doing that. Maybe he needs Marshawn to tell him to "just take it over" again.
RiverDog wrote:monkey wrote:You know, I am actually hoping to see Russell take off and pick up first downs with his feet a BIT more than he has been lately.
Don't get me wrong, I LOVE that he's always looking downfield trying to throw first!
But in the past few games, I've noticed several times where an easy first down was there if he ran, but he instead opted to try to throw into extremely tight windows.
Against the Cardinals there were at least two occasions where he definitely should have ran instead of trying to throw.
I get the feeling that he's trying SO hard to stay in the pocket,and be that terrific pocket passer, that he's actually missing opportunities at times.
What he is able to do, the kind of weapon that he is, he's able to completely take a game over, and be that player that a defense just CANNOT do anything about, cannot stop. I hope he gets back to doing that. Maybe he needs Marshawn to tell him to "just take it over" again.
I agree. Sometimes I think Russell is so self consciousness of the standard, generic criticism of running quarterbacks of looking to run first and pass second that it affects his otherwise good decision making. I've seen him on more than one occasion forgo a good running opportunity and force the ball into some low percentage situation. I think he's fighting his instincts a little bit.
Distant Relative wrote:RiverDog wrote:monkey wrote:You know, I am actually hoping to see Russell take off and pick up first downs with his feet a BIT more than he has been lately.
Don't get me wrong, I LOVE that he's always looking downfield trying to throw first!
But in the past few games, I've noticed several times where an easy first down was there if he ran, but he instead opted to try to throw into extremely tight windows.
Against the Cardinals there were at least two occasions where he definitely should have ran instead of trying to throw.
I get the feeling that he's trying SO hard to stay in the pocket,and be that terrific pocket passer, that he's actually missing opportunities at times.
What he is able to do, the kind of weapon that he is, he's able to completely take a game over, and be that player that a defense just CANNOT do anything about, cannot stop. I hope he gets back to doing that. Maybe he needs Marshawn to tell him to "just take it over" again.
I agree. Sometimes I think Russell is so self consciousness of the standard, generic criticism of running quarterbacks of looking to run first and pass second that it affects his otherwise good decision making. I've seen him on more than one occasion forgo a good running opportunity and force the ball into some low percentage situation. I think he's fighting his instincts a little bit.
Maybe he has been told to limit his running. Bevell isn't really one to take chances. I personally think the kid needs to have all options open to him when it comes to moving the sticks.
RiverDog wrote:
I thought about that, too, DR, but there's been situations, like the much debated 3rd down vs. the Cards, where Russell had the sidelines to protect him and he still chose to force in a throw.
But if it is Pete and/or Bevell that's restricting Russell, they need to cease it immediately. This is the playoffs, and there's no tomorrow. Everyone must be allowed to go balls to the wall.
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