Hawkstar wrote:He likes dudes. It will come out one of these days.
Stream Hawk wrote:He's different. Seriously, Russell doesn't have that killer finish instinct that got him to this place. I was so against his starting 2012. Ha ha thought that was funny then. Now, not so much. Russell has been figured out.
Problem is our opinions about Ciara and her devastating effects on his career don't mean s*** to him and he's going to stick with her- that's his right. For now, we are stuck with a (increasingly) mediocre and getting worse qb. She killed his drive. This coming from one of his biggest fans, and a hawk fan since their 76' inception.
Hawk Sista wrote:You get no argument from me that what they are doing is not working. What are we? 27th in the red zone on O? Where are we in 3rd down conversions (on both sides of the ball)? Not where we should be.
The symbiosis between the three phases of the game is soooo clear and the Hawks are missing it. The o-line appears the biggest culprit but soooo many 3rd down conversions allowed by the D have contributed. Games 1 - 9 (even the big wins in San Fran (0oops, Santa Clara) and against the Bears have big ***** next to them.
Go Hawks -
It's not too late.??
mykc14 wrote:Honestly I don't think there clearly is something different about RW. I think it is a combination of our terrible O line play and the way teams are playing us. RW's numbers aren't terrible. His completion percentage and average per attempt are actually up. His Int % is about where it has been for his career. The only thing that is down, really is his TD % and that, IMO has a lot to do with how bad we have been overall in the red zone. He also has taken more sacks, but that at least partly is due to OL play.
RiverDog wrote:
I'm not sure why you would be using an interception percentage rather than the more commonly used TD/INT ratio, but that ratio this season is 10/7. His three previous seasons were 26/10 (rookie season), 26/9, and 20/7. Now I'm no math wiz, but that looks quite a bit worse to me as he's on pace for about 18 or 19 picks, which would be over twice his average, and less than 20 TD passes, which would be a career low.
And that's not even considering that we brought in Graham specifically to help those red zone numbers and that he has a deep threat in Lockett that he hasn't had in the past. He has more weapons, less productivity.
mykc14 wrote:This is a long answer to a rather simple question, so sorry:
I like to look at TD% and INT% because it gives me a more accurate idea of INT's and TD's based on attempts. When RW threw 29 TD's that was a really high number compared to his attempts, whereas 29 TD's for somebody like Brees or Palmer isn't as impressive. The same is true with INT's. RW's INT numbers have been low but aren't as impressive as a guy like Palmer only having 9 or 10 at the end of a season. I don't exactly like to compare TD's to INT's because it is comparing 2 things that don't have anything to do with each other. I get that you want a QB who throws a lot of TD's and not very many picks (and RW's ratio is out of wack this year) but its mainly his TD% that is down, which is weird based on his other stats (more attempts, higher completion %, higher average per attempt) all of those should indicate more TD's, but they aren't there. In other words looking at the numbers a little closer he isn't having as bad a year as some think and his TD/INT ration would suggest. Cam Newton, on the other hand, is said to be in the MVP discussion with his 15/9 TD to INT ratio but looking at his stats he is having a worse season than RW (lower completion% 56 to 66; higher INT% 3.3 to 2.6; lower average per attempt 7.5 to 8.0 lower passer rating 84 to 91). The only areas he is doing better is his TD% 5.5 to 3.8 (which is way below RW's career average of almost 6%).
RiverDog wrote:
Thanks for explaining that, mykc. No need to apologize, I like reading your posts. And I understand what you are saying. But on pace to throw twice as many interceptions as he has in any of his past 3 seasons? That's not acceptable IMO. We are a run first, ball control team, and that demands that the quarterback be a good steward of the ball, like he has been in past seasons. Granted, our rushing yardage is down quite a bit, which puts more pressure on the passing game, but a lot of that in past seasons was derived from Russell's read option keepers and scrambles, and we're not seeing as much of that this season. Teams have adjusted and taken that away from him. And of course, we have the sack numbers, of which we all agree that a significant number are on him. He's not having a good season.
mykc14 wrote:I don't know about not having a good season either. He's certainly not playing his best season, but statistically speaking he's on pace for about 20 TD's and 13 INT's, not stellar by his standards but not bad either. In fact if he look at Brady's first 6 years as a starter none would have been considered good because RW is on pace to have a better season than all 6 (the next year was when they got Moss and he threw 50 TD's). Three years ago Brady had a season worse than what RW is on pace to have this year. My point is even with this bad OL and virtually no running game RW isn't playing terribly. This might be his worst season so far, but he's still on pace to have a good year.
RiverDog wrote:13 picks would be nearly double what he's thrown in the last two years. He only threw 7 in 2013 and 2014, and both years we went to the SB.
Russell isn't Brady or Manning. The team isn't built around him, it's built on a strong defense and a run first offense, so the standard has to be different. Fewer TD passes, fewer INT's, less yardage, but more efficient. My ultimate judgment of a good year for a quarterback is based on their W/L percentage. Montana trumps Marino. They are playing in what is by far the most influential position on the field.
mykc14 wrote:Not a big deal, but in 2013 he threw 9 INT's, not 7.
After 9 games in 2013 he had 6 picks (7 this year).
After 9 games in 2014 he had 11 TD's (10 this year). Just showing he is not dramatically off his numbers from previous years.
I purposely chose those years for Brady because he actually was what RW is now. Early in his career he was on a team who didn't require him to carry the load. He was on a run first team with a very strong defense. His passing yards per game those years were between 190 - 235 each of those years except 1 (256) and in every one of those seasons his numbers were worse than RW's project to be this year (except TD passes). Again, I am not saying he has been great this year, but I wouldn't call the season he is putting together a bad or 'not good' year by any means. This would have been considered Tom Brady's best year early in his career. Big Ben would be another QB who was asked to be the type of player RW has been asked to be as well and he put up TD/INT ratios of 17/11, 17/9, 18/23 (yikes), 32/11 (much better), 17/15 in his first 5 years starting. Ironically he currently as 10 TD's and 7 INT's to match RW (of course that's in a few less games and about 50 less attempts).
RiverDog wrote:
My bad. Russell had 9 picks in 2013, 7 in 2014. Nevertheless, 10 picks in 9 games puts him on pace for 18, which would double each of the two previous seasons. Also, his rating and QBR is way down, both at career lows, a function of the TD/Int I suspect. Plus he has to bear some responsibility for our offensive performance in general. We have the worst red zone performance in the league, we are tied for 29th worst in total first downs, our 3rd down conversion rate is well below 40%, and the offense's points production is horrible (hard to sort out the DST scores/setups). A good share of that performance has to be attributed to poor QB play. Plus there's a lot of little things he's not doing that doesn't show up in the stat line. Sunday night, we got called for delay of game after some sort of play stoppage and with plenty of timeouts to give. That's all on him.
But I really don't want to get into another Anthony-style debate over his statistics where we each cherry pick those that support our argument. Like I said earlier, in this day and age of the quarterback friendly NFL, the QB has more responsibility than ever for the performance of his team. One of the facts that everybody trumpeted about Russell Wilson prior to this season was his W/L record, most wins in first three years, his record vs. Rodgers/Brady/Manning, et al, now many want to point to his stats and discount his W/L record and tell me that he's not having that bad of a season.
Russell is having a bad year, and I don't care what his stats say. I'll employ Futureite's eye test if I have to.
mykc14 wrote:Again not a big deal, but he 'only' has 7 picks this year so far so he's on pace for about 13. IMO picks aren't the problem he has been on this pace for picks in a season before, with fewer overall attempts. The issue is a lack of TD passes.
I agree about not having an Anthony style debate, and don't want to make it seem like I'm making excuses for RW, but he simply isn't having as bad of a year as you are trying to make it seem. It's not usually like you to just throw out stats all together and give any credence to the 'eye test' future employs.
mykc14 wrote:[
Again not a big deal, but he 'only' has 7 picks this year so far so he's on pace for about 13. IMO picks aren't the problem he has been on this pace for picks in a season before, with fewer overall attempts. The issue is a lack of TD passes.
I agree about not having an Anthony style debate, and don't want to make it seem like I'm making excuses for RW, but he simply isn't having as bad of a year as you are trying to make it seem. It's not usually like you to just throw out stats all together and give any credence to the 'eye test' future employs.
NorthHawk wrote:They wouldn't have scored 39 points if they didn't have the ball.
Our Offense only converted 1 of 8 3rd down plays.
For a team whose identity is a tough run, grind it out Offense to have that kind of a stat is pathetic.
It's the main reason the Cards scored so many.
Hm, I must have have been watching different team because I was under the impression that this team was build on defense? I see this legion of boom all over tv, no legion of offense. But you are right, we all expect something better than 1 of 8 on 3rd down so you are just calling the cards really good for doing 8/17 on third down, I just call that bad defense on the amount of $$ you have spend on defense.
EmeraldBullet wrote:Looking at Ciara's list of previous boyfriends I understand why Wilson wants celibacy. I have to question why he doesn't find a more wholesome woman though...Guess to each their own, as long as it doesn't affect his performance on the field.
Hawktawk wrote:I think we can call off Ciara watch for a week huh? The man hung up one of his best games as a pro Sunday.
All the hand wringing and whining says more about the spoiled rotten fan base and the lap dog sports media than it says about Russell Wilson.
Hawktawk wrote:I think we can call off Ciara watch for a week huh? The man hung up one of his best games as a pro Sunday.
All the hand wringing and whining says more about the spoiled rotten fan base and the lap dog sports media than it says about Russell Wilson.
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