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2016 Playoff Percentages

PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2016 11:43 am
by RiverDog
I was about to start a thread about the 1-4 Panthers playoff chances and came across this article that I found quite interesting:

http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nflpostseasonprob.html

It doesn't appear to be strictly mathematical as us, the Packers, and the Eagles are all 3-1 but with different percentages assigned to each other.

Oh, and the Panthers? 6% chance to proceed to Round 1. Super Bowl loser's jinx reborn.

Re: 2016 Playoff Percentages

PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2016 11:49 am
by burrrton
We have same chance to win the Super Bowl as the *Texans*?

I think their algorithm is broke.

Re: 2016 Playoff Percentages

PostPosted: Tue Oct 11, 2016 12:39 pm
by FolkCrusader
I think this is just due to cumulative percentages going forward. We have some tough teams ahead of us.

Nate Silver current predictions btw; http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/201 ... id=rrpromo