Midterm Elections

It's looking like the R's will flip the House. NBC has projected that the Republicans will win 220 seats and the Dems 215, saying that they are "99.5% confident of their prediction." Kevin McCarthy has already declared victory. CNN and Fox are being more conservative. Both have the R's ahead by 199 to 178/172. The Senate is still too close to call, with races in AZ, GA, WI, and NV undecided. NV and WI are trending red. AZ is leaning blue. GA has a law that requires a 50+1 percent majority so there's likely going to be a head-to-head run off, so we may not find out who wins the Senate for another month or so. Dr. Oz has lost; Ron DeSantis is winning his election in Florida by a huge margin of almost 20 points in a formerly purple state (remember 2000?) that has to be considered solidly red. DeSantis' win likely put him to the head of the pack for POTUS in 2024. We'll see if he makes a clean break from Trump. PA is turning bluer. So, the map is changing somewhat.
It's definitely not going to be the big red wave that a lot of the talking heads were predicting, but even if they don't win the Senate, flipping the House would be a big deal for the R's. For one, it sends Nancy Pelosi to the sidelines. But it won't be a huge governing majority that they'll need to open up a bunch of investigations on Biden as the Dems had feared. And one has to keep in mind that the Dems held a significant mathematical advantage in the Senate, having to defend far fewer seats than the R's, so they should have had no problem maintaining control.
Bottom line is that the R's are likely to come out winners. If they hold onto their lead in the House, it will be a significant win. If they succeed in flipping the Senate, it will be a huge win.
It's definitely not going to be the big red wave that a lot of the talking heads were predicting, but even if they don't win the Senate, flipping the House would be a big deal for the R's. For one, it sends Nancy Pelosi to the sidelines. But it won't be a huge governing majority that they'll need to open up a bunch of investigations on Biden as the Dems had feared. And one has to keep in mind that the Dems held a significant mathematical advantage in the Senate, having to defend far fewer seats than the R's, so they should have had no problem maintaining control.
Bottom line is that the R's are likely to come out winners. If they hold onto their lead in the House, it will be a significant win. If they succeed in flipping the Senate, it will be a huge win.