Futureite wrote:By any objective measure your QB struggles big time in the last 2 games
The guy who won the SB spends hours/day in the offseason working on his mechanics to this day, but Russel "doesn't need to" or is "miles ahead"
Futureite wrote:Same old Future? Haha ok. By any objective measure your QB struggles big time in the last 2 games and you guys are STILL harping on Kap for actually working in the offseason. The guy who won the SB spends hours/day in the offseason working on his mechanics to this day, but Russel "doesn't need to" or is "miles ahead" and Kap is a failure for doing the same thing. Same old Hawks fans!
I've said many times I think Wilson is a good QB in the 10-12 range but not a polished pocket passer. You bring up SB numbers, well here is one for you: He didn't complete a single freaking pass until about 4 min left in the 2nd QTR and he threw a pick on his last one. He's a solid QB whose game is built primarily on buying time, and he sure as hell does need a LOT of work in the pocket.
Last yr Kap was aweful and unwatchable right? And yet these two QBS were separated by 1 TD pass, a couple picks and less than 100 yds. A 95 QB rating and an 86 QB rating. To hear you guys talk though you'd think we were comparing Jim Druckenmiller to Peyton Manning.
Remember 2011, when all your fans and radio guys said "Ya the 49ers are 13-3 and we are 7-9, but is there REALLY that big of a difference between them? Is Alex Smith REALLY that much better than Tarvaris Jackson?" I remember all of this on your radio up there after our game.
Well, SF radio could say the exact same thing after last yr's game. We took you the distance in your house with a team full of backups. I seem to remember Wilson ending the half with a pick. We were separated by 1 game at that point. Things can change in a hurry - as 2012 proved - and 2015 might be the same.
Futureite wrote:River;
I acknowledge that RW is a good QB. I've never claimed he was subpar or overly deficient in any one area. What I have done is analyze the Genesis of his numbers.
I say objectively that QB struggles when he goes 12-12 (or whatever it was), goes nearly a full half before completing a pass and ends the game wirh a pick. Yes, I agree he made some plays inbetween, but again they were big splash plays on deep throws to boost his rating. Of course that matters and it counts and all of that, and it's also one of the things I stated he consistently does well (deep throws/playaction, scramble + splash plays), but when your team needed him to string together some first downs with the game nearly in hand he could not do it. This is why he is a 10-12 range QB *right now* (I said he could be better if pusged/coached to be) and not the HOF product you guys have insinuated he is.
This is no different than me pointing to the Hou Texan game Kap played in 2013, where he completed a long TD pass to VD which boosted his rating over 90. Overall he was 7-16 and he struggled.
The only reason I bring this up again is the lopsided supposed disparity Hawk fans always point to between Kap and RW. Honestly, if I AM RW I'd do the same thing Kap did. I'd be sick with my final 2 games and I'd want to improve my pocket skills. I've said many times that the Seahawks run a simplified pass which still emphasises Read Option, and I've heard everyone from Greg Cosell to Trent Diller state this. Nonetheless, it seems like you guys always return to the same premise; That you have an elite, pro style QB and we have a dumb, "running" QB that will never catch on.
I just learned last week that RW played a FULL 4 yrs in college, all in pro style Os. Well, it's no wonder he was more advanced in some respects than Kap, who played in a pistol O. There's no possible way anyone could spin Kap's offseason as a bad thing anywhere, except here lol!
So please, get off of Russell Wilson. It ain't gonna fly, not in here.
Futureite wrote:...but 5-9? OK dude. We will in fact see. Would surprise me none if we (49'ers) won the Div.
kalibane wrote:Future stop. Are you kidding me with this?
You lost 40% of your offensive line. Aaron Boone was bad last year and you're just hoping on him to return to form. The biggest addition you made to address that was signing a swing lineman from Buffalo who had one of the worst lines in the league.
You lost the best inside LB of this generation and his backup and are counting on Navarro Bowman bouncing back to full form after a major knee injury. Ordinarily I would give him the benefit of the doubt considering modern medicine but he's had all kinds of trouble making it back from that injury so we don't know if he'll ever be the same. Oh and as a cherry on top Aaron Brooks looks like he's just done.
You lost the key member of your defensive line, the guy who occupies two blockers so Aldon Smith can run free to the QB, (something I'll remind you he didn't do so great at when Smith hurt his triceps) and you replaced him with a 34 year old Darnell Dockett coming off an ACL injury who hasn't ever played the same role that Smith plays (Calais Campbell did that for the Cards) and you expect things to get better? I'm sure there is no reason the Cardinals released Dockett as soon as he could pass a physical. Not to mention Aldon Smith is your only pass rusher now because you even lost Dan Skuta.
You lost your two starting Corners (one of the least compelling corner tandems in the league last year) and you think the guys who couldn't beat them out will be an upgrade. Now don't get me wrong Brock could very well be an upgrade. He's shown flashes but Ward was flat out AWFUL and is closer to being a bust than a dependable starting level corner.
Oh yeah and you lost one of the top 3-5 coaches in the NFL and both coordinators, replacing him with a D-Line coach, a hire that almost feels like a nepotism hire in that he just has a good relationship with the organization but doesn't even have coordinator experience. (Please don't come back citing his 1 game interim head coaching stint).
Your roster is really thin right now and you are counting on a lot of question marks. I guess we can never say never considering what the Cowboys did last year but the difference was the Cowboys Offense was never in question. They had the best OLine, a top 3 WR, a Top 5 (when healthy) RB and a top 10 QB and we knew that coming into the season. The Niners have none of these things.
P.S. Niner Fans and Pete Prisco are the only ones who are even bothering to compare Kaep to Wilson right now. Most people are putting Wilson near or in the top 5 QBs. When your only company is Pete Prisco you probably have some soul searching to do.
Any QB who's ever turned into a prolific passer has had (1) the right system, and (2) the opportunity to fail and learn by doing (Montana, Marino, Brees etc). Russell is not going to get either in Seattle. As soon as he struggles, Carroll pulls the plug on the pass, rides Lynch and calls read option plays. He could be a great QB, but I do not see how that happens without some outside stimuli forcing him to adapt.
Futureite wrote:OK, you got me. He arrived to the NFL as a fully polished top 5 NFL QB, capable of either throwing for 5,000 yds in and 35 tds in a season or grinding it out with read option and playing small ball. He does whatever is necessary, just depending on the circumstances.
Satisfied?
NorthHawk wrote:Something you have to keep in mind with Wilson is he only had a good Defense behind him, he did not and does not have a good Offense in front of him.
It has only been him and Lynch whereas Manning, Brees, Montana, and others had good or great WRs as well as Offenses that that wanted to score a lot of points even when they didn't have to. Montana had one of the best Defenses in the league in his years - and he had a lot of good talent on Offense around him, too. Manning and Brees have also been surrounded by some elite talent on Offense as well.
Futureite wrote:River;
I am not even saying he could not. It's just my belief that a person must be exposed to a certain type of challenge to reach an elite level of anything. True, Wilson may have arrived with that talent. But to be honest, even most HOF QBs cannot boast that. Look at Montana's first couple seasons. Look at Brees, who struggled for multiple yrs before getting it. They only became who they were through coaching, exposure and failure. Maybe this is just a difference of opinion.
RW is obviously a good QB. You should Google Eric Weddle's pre-SB comments about RW though. They alnost mirror mine. I'd post them, but if I did someone just going to say I am an looking for something to support my own agenda. Obviously, as a Div rival I do not like him. Regardles, I believe my ranking is pretty fair and balanced at this point. It's still fairly high and I've never suggested he (or any person) could "not" reach a certain level. I've only said he's not been put in the environment to grow into that type of a player, and ge's not there yet.
I understand you guys feel differently, but the facts don't bear it out.
Futureite wrote:River;
If you consider his running too, then yes - I'd put him in the top 10. But there's no way in hell he's a better pure passer than Romo, Brady, Brees, Manning, Rodgers, Ryan, Flaaco, Luck, etc. I understand you guys feel differently, but the facts don't bear it out.
I've read too many recounts of Seattle's pass O as very "basic" to believe it's just my opinion. For Christ sake Wilson ran for what, over 900 yds last yr? You guys pin that on the Oline, but guys like Romo, Manning, Rodgers etc have all played under crap Olines at some point in their career and each guy still put up big numbers. The reason is that they are just better at finding the open man and dealing from the pocket. Russell is better at running, and that's evidenced by his rushing stats. That's what he does under pressure, period.
I listen to Steve Young here on KNBR radio all the time, and he says he never developed into a pocket passer until he forced himself to stop running. It's just not possible to be a read option QB AND and elite passer. You're either one or the other. You only get good at one of those skills by practicing it and repeating it during games, and Russell/Carroll's go to is to let him run.
You claim I cherry pick. I think you guys cherry pick on the other side. Yes, he's had a couple big games. He's also had a mounting number of really bad games where he barely cracked 100 yds passing or ended a game with a pick on the final drive. That's what happens when you're a big play athletic QB. The playground stuff will make you look amazing some games - unstoppable even - and then you'll have games when you disappear entirely.
This argument of "doing what he had to do" is to total bullshit. Any other D and Wilson gets blown out V the Pack, and you know it. He wouldn't beat the Saints in the playoffs throwing for 100 yds with any other team. It's a cop out to always claim he "could if he had to" and then downplay QBs that consistently produce or throw 4 TDs in a playoff game like Flaaco, only to lose. Tony Romo would have a ring in Seattle and again, you know it. Look what he did in your stadium last yr.
Again, Wilson is a good QB. But when was the last time you heard "Russell Wilson is picking apart this D" or "look at DezRussell Wilson hang in the pocket, that was his 3rd read". Without exagerating, I'm not sure I've EVER heard either from any announcer. You hear it on a regular basis with all of the names I listed above.
He's also had a mounting number of really bad games where he barely cracked 100 yds passing or ended a game with a pick on the final drive. That's what happens when you're a big play athletic QB
NorthHawk wrote:"Again, Wilson is a good QB. But when was the last time you heard "Russell Wilson is picking apart this D" or "look at Russell Wilson hang in the pocket, that was his 3rd read". Without exagerating, I'm not sure I've EVER heard either from any announcer. You hear it on a regular basis with all of the names I listed above"
We heard announcers talking about him progressing through his reads the very first year and have continued to do so.
The problem is we have a Matador Pass Blocking scheme that doesn't permit any QB consistent time. He does, however still go through his reads while on the run, and most QBs don't develop that until later than their 2nd year, if at all.
kalibane wrote:You are effed future. Your defense has major holes at corner and OLB; giant question marks on the defensive front and inside LB and you have zero depth. There is serious talk about this being the worst offseason in history. No to mention Bethea played way beyond what anyone would have expected from him. And remind me again how much of your coaching staff that was responsible for holding your team together enough for an 8-8 record you retained? It's going to take a lot of good luck for the Niners and bad luck for other teams for the Niners to finish any higher than 3rd in the division.
Futureite wrote:Also, still arguing depth?? I thought what our D did last yr losing every player under the sun put that argument to rest. Meanwhile, Seahawks lose a couple guys and it's an excuse for their D not being able to stop a nosebleed. Was it really ONE MLB in Bobby Wagner returning that re-established your D last 3rd of the yr, or was it playing 6 horrendous Os in a row? Did losing Cliff Avril early in the SB and ONE DB cause your D to yak up a double digit 4th qtr lead? I seem to remember seeing our own Demarcus Dobbs on the field to end the h
game wearing Seahawk blue.
"You have no depth, yoy're effed". Still a funny guy, Kalibane!
kalibane wrote:Future,
We aren't talking about the Seahawks. We're talking about the state of the 49ers roster. Throwing out a bunch of stuff about the Seahawks that you think I may have said (but let me save you the time, I haven't) to try and distract from the subject at hand is irrelevant. Although it is kind of funny watching you try to act like the #1 scoring defense for three years running is somehow based on juked stats that belie their true performance.
The subject that we, you and I, are discussing is the state of the 49ers roster and coaching staff and what that means for the upcoming season and you haven't offered anything reasonable that would suggest they are going to be able match next year's performance let alone surpass it.
Your entire argument seems to be: Last year Chris Boreland came in and played really well, therefore every no name on our bench can step in and do the same, which is in a word, ridiculous.
kalibane wrote:I'm not taking the most negative stance. I'm being a realist. You are the one being unrealistic.
Ahmad Brooks - You cite him as an asset but he was flat out bad last year and got benched.
Aaron Lynch - As you did with Dan Skuta, you have an unrealistic belief that every backup on the 49ers roster is as good or better than the guy in front of him.
Dockett is 34 (old for the NFL in the first place) and coming off an ACL tear. He was a team leader for the Cardinals and they cut him as soon as he passed a physical. But you assume he'll be an upgrade over Justin Smith.
ILB - at least you concede Bowman but it's not just him that's a question mark, someone has to replace him since he's replacing Willis. That's a gaping hole.
CB - Lost both your starters who weren't good to begin with. Brock was solid in the nickel but you assume he'll be find on the Outside. Ward was flat out TERRIBLE and now he's a starter? You wanted honey badger and got one of the honeycomb kids.
Dorsey - was a career disappointment until he had one good year in SF. You assume he's going to play like the outlier year instead of his body of work.
You lost the right side of your Offensive line and replaced them with a backup from the worst offensive line in the league last year and two low round draft choices. You shrug.
And to top it all off, you lost your entire defensive coaching staff with the exception of Jim Tomsula who will no longer actually be coaching defense because he'll be busy overseeing the whole operation. But again you assume, business as usual.
Hold the mirror up to yourself. Aside from Antoine Bethea and Aldon Smith your entire defense has question marks.
kalibane wrote:Cherry Picking? LOL... yeah I cherry picked pretty much every position group. But I know how we can settle this. Since you love to fall back on talking heads who agree with your point as "proof" you're right. Let's ask them?
Oh what most of them have already chimed in and picked the 49ers to finish 3rd or 4th in the division. The guys from NFL.com even put them on the list of 10 teams that they believe have absolutely no chance to win the Superbowl next year. There you have it... Talking heads agree with me so I'm right and you're wrong. LOL
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