idhawkman wrote:All Trump did with his mockery was to stir up is base and to pour fuel on the fire burning on the left, increasing the political divide.
You may not believe it to be true but after he made that statement, Heitkamp is over 10 points behind the republican challenger in her polls and Manchin, Menendez and McCaskill have all lost significant ground in their midterm polls, too. Remember if the poll shows it is within the margin of error the republican usually wins based on the silent voters seen in the 2016 election.
On another note, Collins has just laid out a very good statement on the Senate floor for voting for Kavanaugh. It would seem the votes are there for Kavanaugh but there is still time for something else to come up before tomorrow's vote.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I do believe this attack on Kavanaugh may fire up the Republican base that had been fairly calm going into midterms. This dirty move to destroy Kavanaugh and paint him as some kind of serial sex offender with Hollyweird jumping in may have given the Republican base a fire to get votes. It was a real sleazy, space-cadet move by the Dems. You know I don't care for Trump, but we can't have people fired and denied jobs on the basis of evidence as flimsy and circumspect as Blasey Ford and Ramirez gave. It basically amounts to prosecution of High School and College drunken frat boy behavior. If we're prosecuting or punishing people for that, we're going to be punishing a lot of people on all sides of the political spectrum. If they had more recent evidence of impropriety by Kavanaugh, they had something. But 30 year old High School and College age behavior with no firm evidence is ridiculous.
RiverDog wrote:This is one of the few times I've agreed with Idahawk. I don't think there's any doubt about it, that the R base is much more outraged at the hearings than the Dems are over the nominee or Trump's treatment of their star witness. And it's not just the R base or Trumpies like Idahawk that are upset if both you and I are similarily outraged by the events of the past two weeks as neither of us voted for Trump. I had intended to vote for the Dem Senator in our state, Maria Cantwell, but the behavior of the Dems/libs on this issue has driven me back to the R camp, at least in the Senate.
If women are to take anything away from the events of this week, it's the notion that as stressful and painful as it may be for them, that they absolutely need to report sexual assault crimes, or any other crime as far as that goes, within a reasonable time. I think what Dr. Ford said, ie that it had tormented her for decades, is plausible. If she were to have reported it within a few weeks or months, she may not have put herself through all those years of emotional stress that she claims that it did, not to mention that it can prevent some other person from being a victim of the same perpetrator.
If the red state Dems see that it's a foregone conclusion that Kavanaugh will have enough votes, they might go off the reservation for political reasons.
I don't think there's any doubt about it, that the R base is much more outraged at the hearings than the Dems are over the nominee or Trump's treatment of their star witness.
burrrton wrote:If the red state Dems see that it's a foregone conclusion that Kavanaugh will have enough votes, they might go off the reservation for political reasons.
I don't think so- not with as violent and harassing as the modern left has become. Mark my words: one of them is going to get themselves shot, either by the person they're attacking or a security detail.
I don't think there's any doubt about it, that the R base is much more outraged at the hearings than the Dems are over the nominee or Trump's treatment of their star witness.
Outraged? Try *infuriated*, and it's not just the R base- it's independents, too (myself included), from the polls I've been seeing drift through social media.
Dems abandoned all standards of decency and professionalism.
RiverDog wrote:
Agreed, I thought it was a rational explanation of her intended vote.
Even though I am still not comfortable with Kavanaugh's expressed partisanship...and I do not believe him when he said his statements waere driven by his emotions, I feel those remarks were scripted....I support his comfirmation. In a perfect world, I would have rather it have been someone else that I could have more confidence in that he/she could discard their politics when they are wearing their robe, but he's one helluva lot better nominee than we would have gotten from HRC.
In the unlikely event that the vote does change from the results of today's procedural vote, it would IMO be to Kavanaugh's advantage. If the red state Dems see that it's a foregone conclusion that Kavanaugh will have enough votes, they might go off the reservation for political reasons.
RiverDog wrote:I'm not saying that they will 'flip', only if there is a flip, it will be a D to the R side.
Kavanaugh will be on the court and the Dem's blue wave won't be big enough to get your ankles wet.
idhawkman wrote:I understand your position on temperment and Murkowski made the same point and why she won't vote "for" him. That said, I think the important thing to remember is the temperment he has displayed in the last 12 years on the bench as a better indicator of his judicial temperment than a 30 minute response to being accused of one of the most heinous crimes possible for a judge and for watching what his wife and kids had gone through for 2 weeks.
I know we've both said that he is a better man than we are because we both would have been even more vociferous in our defenses.
burrrton wrote:Kavanaugh will be on the court and the Dem's blue wave won't be big enough to get your ankles wet.
I'm not 100% convinced of this yet, but yeah, there's no way it's going to be close to what it would have been had they not lost their minds.
burrrton wrote:Say hello to Justice Kavanaugh.
Confirmed at 4:01pm ET.
RiverDog wrote:As a rule, the party out of power does well in the midterms, mainly because the party in power sort of rests on their laurels. If the Dems would have just left sleeping dogs lay, they would have no problem taking over the House and at least holding their own in the Senate. Trump had given them plenty of reason for their base to be motivated.
But the hearings have really stirred up the pot, and the continued protests and demonstrations is keeping the issue front and center and the memory of that hideous confirmation hearing fresh in everyone's minds. For once, I'm in agreement with Idahawk (who no matter what, is always predicting great things for Trump and the R's). I think that the losses for the R's in the House will be minimal (less than the 23 needed to flip it) and that they will pick up seats in the Senate. But we'll see.
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