Trump's National Emergency

I don't know who Trump is listening to or if he's just doing things by the seat of his pants again, but even many conservatives are against him on this attempted end run of Congress. IMO it's a clear abuse of presidential power.
Actually there's been a lot of national emergencies declared, many that are still in effect. But this one differs drastically in that the POTUS is going to attempt to seize money that's already been allocated by Congress and to seize significant portions of private and tribal property. The national emergency most similar to this one, at least in my limited research, was when Harry Truman attempted to seize the steel industry when workers went on strike. But we were engaged in a war at that time, and even so, the Supreme Court still rebuked his attempt.
This is a huge political gamble for Trump, and even if he wins, he'll be setting a dangerous precedent that conservatives are going to hate in the years to come. A future Democrat POTUS could easily use the same logic Trump is using to declare a national emergency on global warming and institute Draconian measures to reduce carbon emissions or declare a national emergency on gun violence and start seizing guns. He has not defined exactly what the national emergency is as the facts show that illegal border crossings have been going down for years nor why it's taken him two years in office to respond to it.
What's likely to happen is that Trump loses in the lower courts (even Trump himself feels he probably loses there), taking at least a year to get to the Supreme Court and have an unfavorable decision come out against him. If that happens, Trump won't even be able to claim that he was defeated by "Obama judges" as the court is decidedly conservative. The result could be made even worse if one or more of his SCOTUS appointments vote against him. And this will all come down in the middle of a reelection campaign.
Trump has done some crazy things over the past two years, but he's really stepped in it this time.
Actually there's been a lot of national emergencies declared, many that are still in effect. But this one differs drastically in that the POTUS is going to attempt to seize money that's already been allocated by Congress and to seize significant portions of private and tribal property. The national emergency most similar to this one, at least in my limited research, was when Harry Truman attempted to seize the steel industry when workers went on strike. But we were engaged in a war at that time, and even so, the Supreme Court still rebuked his attempt.
This is a huge political gamble for Trump, and even if he wins, he'll be setting a dangerous precedent that conservatives are going to hate in the years to come. A future Democrat POTUS could easily use the same logic Trump is using to declare a national emergency on global warming and institute Draconian measures to reduce carbon emissions or declare a national emergency on gun violence and start seizing guns. He has not defined exactly what the national emergency is as the facts show that illegal border crossings have been going down for years nor why it's taken him two years in office to respond to it.
What's likely to happen is that Trump loses in the lower courts (even Trump himself feels he probably loses there), taking at least a year to get to the Supreme Court and have an unfavorable decision come out against him. If that happens, Trump won't even be able to claim that he was defeated by "Obama judges" as the court is decidedly conservative. The result could be made even worse if one or more of his SCOTUS appointments vote against him. And this will all come down in the middle of a reelection campaign.
Trump has done some crazy things over the past two years, but he's really stepped in it this time.