Aseahawkfan wrote:We get an election of pretty far left and pretty far right.
Democrats:
Kamala Harris: San Francisco/California Liberal. The most liberal of liberals from perhaps the most liberal state.
Tim Walz: Minnesota governor. Career teacher. Command Central for the defund the police movement in Minnesota. Minnesota has always been a bit of an odd state when it comes to left wing politics. They've voted Republican and Democrat and Reform Party.
These two are pretty far left, maybe a little less far than The Squad.
Republicans:
Trump: We have Trump. He does things the Trump way, but does have to serve the Republican Party as well catering to their extremes for votes. 1980 Trump who supported universal healthcare and was a social liberal might have been ok, but full on MAGA trump catering to the anti-immigrant and crazier elements of the Republican Party not so great.
JD Vance: He was a moderate until he bent the knee to Trump and MAGA. Now he seems to be supporting the fairly far right.
These are pretty far right, though Trump used to be a moderate before he went full on Trump Republican catering to the crazies to win the Republican Party over.
Not a lot of room for a moderate to vote.
Main thing this sets up is a bad situation if Congress goes Democrat. So I have to hope for a split Congress.
If Congress goes Democrat and Kamala and Walz win, the age of far left policy is born. We'll see taxes raised and environmental and social policy change in the extreme. Some good like legalization of weed and a final solution to the abortion issue might occur, but the taxes and environmental policy might be a nightmare for moderate and conservative voters in terms of pain to businesses and harming the economy. The Democrats seem incapable of a good universal healthcare policy, but maybe they could manage one with sufficient Congressional support.
If Congress goes Democrat and Trump wins, Trump will be impeached and likely removed with JD Vance as president. Vance as president is a complete unknown and would put a crazy young, inexperienced politician in charge that is a complete unknown.
So gotta hope the Congress splits again.
River Dog wrote:I was a little surprised that Harris took Waltz. He won't help her in his home state as Shapiro or Kelly would have as Minnesota is not considered to be in play and he's too far left to create a wide appeal to moderates and conservatives that will be needed to win in places like PA and MI. Trump will hit them hard on their positions on law enforcement as both have a pretty questionable track record. Waltz does have a folksy, down-home feel to him, but his progressive stances make him too easy of a target. This was a selection that a nominee who feels comfortable in their election than it does a strategic one designed to help them win.
What's becoming more of an issue is Trump's age and fitness to serve. With Biden out of the race, Trump's problems will get magnified.
River Dog wrote:I was a little surprised that Harris took Waltz. He won't help her in his home state as Shapiro or Kelly would have as Minnesota is not considered to be in play and he's too far left to create a wide appeal to moderates and conservatives that will be needed to win in places like PA and MI. Trump will hit them hard on their positions on law enforcement as both have a pretty questionable track record. Waltz does have a folksy, down-home feel to him, but his progressive stances make him too easy of a target. This was a selection that a nominee who feels comfortable in their election than it does a strategic one designed to help them win.
What's becoming more of an issue is Trump's age and fitness to serve. With Biden out of the race, Trump's problems will get magnified.
Stream Hawk wrote:I recall both you and Asea were pumped up about JD Vance selection. That was a much bigger mistake. Walz pulls everyone to the middle, especially from the Midwest.
As we have said many times in this forum, the home state guarantees almost nothing. Shapiro while an excellent orator, had too many skeletons.
Stream Hawk wrote:I recall both you and Asea were pumped up about JD Vance selection. That was a much bigger mistake. Walz pulls everyone to the middle, especially from the Midwest.
As we have said many times in this forum, the home state guarantees almost nothing. Shapiro while an excellent orator, had too many skeletons.
River Dog wrote:I beg your pardon! I was not "pumped" about JD Vance's selection. I merely said that it was a good strategic decision. I am steadfastly opposed to both him and Trump.
I've since soured on Vance's selection even as a strategic one. Given some of his stances, I don't think he's going to add anything to the Trump ticket that Trump couldn't garner on his own. As a matter of fact, given some of Vance's statements lately, he could be counterproductive and draw out more votes against the ticket. There's been some scuttle butt going around that Trump might dump him before the election.
I agree with you about Shapiro. Especially since that mini scandal surfaced of his office brokering an out of court settlement with a sexual harassment accuser of a staff member of his, and now with the possibility of war breaking out between Israel and Iran, he's become a liability.
The Midwest is pretty much all red and untouchable. There are no battleground states in the Midwest. Where Harris needs help in is the Great Lakes states, ie Wisconsin and Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina. I don't see Waltz helping with the electoral college nearly as much as Mark Kelly would have. He has too many progressive positions that he's taken over the years.
The other thing about Kelly is that he would have been virtually impossible for Trump to attack personally like he does so many other people. Like Trump, Kelly's wife was the victim of an assassination attempt but unlike Trump, she wasn't just grazed by a bullet, she was shot in the head. Plus, Kelly is a war veteran and an astronaut, as close to a "hero" as any current office holder.
A selection of Kelly would have shown voters that Harris was serious about border security, something that is now going to be a huge weak spot as Senator, she advocated de-criminalization of illegal border crossings and the abolishment of ICE, two very liberal positions. That's one of the top issues in this election, and I think she missed a golden opportunity to negate some of that criticism. I hope it doesn't result in her defeat.
Aseahawkfan wrote:When I go to Fox News and CNN/MSNBC, neither organization even pretends to be objective journalism any longer. Fox New is the political voice of Republicans and the Right. CNN and MSNBC are the political voice of the left. They both just put out tons of attack articles against each other with rare balanced reporting. I don't remember the media being this way when I was young. Journalists used to seem professional and interested in honest, balanced journalism putting voices from different sides together on the same program to debate in earnest issues without the bombastic foolishness I see today.
River Dog wrote:Some rumors about Waltz's military career are beginning to surface. Granted, it's from Fox News, but if there's any truth to them, it could spell trouble for the Harris/Waltz campaign, another John Kerry/Swift Boat incident:
A veteran who served with Harris running mate Gov. Tim Walz accused him of embellishing his time in the service and abandoning his unit just before they deployed.
In an interview Wednesday on "The Ingraham Angle," Ret. Command Sgt. Maj. Thomas Behrends, who said he was a member of Walz's battalion, scolded the Minnesota governor for misleading the American public about his military career. His service concluded when he retired from his unit in the Minnesota National Guard right before they deployed to Iraq in 2005, the New York Post reported.
Asked about Trump running mate Sen. JD Vance's accusation that Walz is guilty of "stolen valor," the National Guard veteran (Behrends) told Fox News host Laura Ingraham that it's "far darker than a lot of people think." "He's used the rank that he never achieved in order to advance his political career," he said. "I mean, he still says he's a retired command sergeant major to this day, and he's not. He uses the rank of others to make it look like he's a better person than he is."
Questions emerged about Walz's rhetoric surrounding his time in the service after Vice President Kamala Harris announced him as her running mate on the 2024 Democratic ticket.
Ingraham, however, said the Minnesota National Guard told the "Angle" he retired as a master sergeant. "To most people, that would mean that he was actually in combat, carrying a weapon in a combat zone and getting combat pay and in a dangerous and hostile environment where he is getting shot at," Behrends said. "I mean, if he thinks Italy was a combat zone or a war zone and he was carrying that in war, he's delusional," he added.
Behrends said Walz had been promoted to command sergeant major in 2004, but claimed he was required to serve two additional years or the promotion would be void. His early retirement terminated the promotion, reducing his rank to master sergeant, Behrends said.
What he did, basically, was he quit. He didn't complete that condition of doing two years after graduation, so he gets reduced to a master sergeant, and that's what he is right now, is a retired master sergeant."
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/veter ... dea4&ei=10
River Dog wrote:There's other sources that have picked up this story. The Washington Post, hardly a conservative rag, has picked it up, as has the AP and Newsweek:
Earlier this week Harris’ campaign circulated on X a 2018 clip of Walz speaking out against gun violence, and saying, “We can make sure that those weapons of war, that I carried in war, is the only place where those weapons are at.” That comment suggests that Walz portrayed himself as someone who spent time in a combat zone.
In 2003, he deployed to Italy in a support position of active military forces in Iraq and Afghanistan. But he was not in a combat zone himself.
https://apnews.com/article/walz-nationa ... 20552155d7
The Minnesota National Guard is disputing Governor Tim Walz's military biography, saying that the Democratic vice presidential candidate did not hold the rank of command sergeant major at the time of his retirement.
And, it's something that the Harris campaign did know or should have known about Waltz when they vetted him and the other possible candidates:
It is not the first time that Walz has faced scrutiny over his military background.
When he first ran for governor in 2018, two retired senior officials with the Minnesota National Guard wrote an open letter criticizing Walz for retiring shortly before his battalion was to set for an active-duty deployment in Iraq, quitting months after they were ordered to mobilize and "leaving the 1-125th Field Artillery Battalion and its Soldiers hanging."
"He had the opportunity to serve his country, and said 'Screw you' to the United States. That's not who I would pick to run for vice president," Thomas Behrends, one of the retired officials who signed the letter, told the New York Post on Tuesday.
https://www.newsweek.com/national-guard ... hy-1936038
River Dog wrote:The first surveys on the Waltz selection are out, and barely a third thought that he was a good choice:
When it comes to Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as Democrat Vice President Kamala Harris’ running mate, a majority of Americans said they were not sure of him or viewed him as a bad pick or the worst possible pick, a YouGov poll released Wednesday showed.
The survey of 3,003 adults taken Tuesday showed that 35% of registered voters said they weren’t sure whether Walz was a good or bad pick and 17% said he was a bad pick or the worst possible pick. Just 35% said it was a good pick or the best possible pick, and 14% said he was neither good nor bad. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.
Among Democrats, 61% said he was a good pick or the best possible pick, 26% were not sure, and 12% said he was neither good nor bad. Just 1% said he was a bad or the worst possible pick. Among independents, 40% said they were not sure, 29% said he was a good or the best possible pick, 16% said he was neither good or bad and 15% said he was a bad or the worst possible pick.
Among Republicans, 34% said he was a bad or the worst possible pick, 40% said they were unsure, 13% said he was neither good nor bad and only 12% said he was a good or the best possible pick.
Overall, 45% said they don't know enough about Walz to form a favorable or unfavorable opinion about him. Just 35% said they have a very or somewhat favorable opinion about him, and 20% have a very or somewhat unfavorable opinion.
Among Democrats, 62% have a positive opinion of Walz. Among independents, 54% said they don’t know enough about Walz, and only 28% said they have a favorable opinion of him. Among Republicans, 40% said they have an unfavorable opinion about Walz, 47% said they don’t know enough about him, and just 12% have a favorable opinion about him.
https://today.yougov.com/politics/artic ... t-tim-walz
Of course, that's just a random sampling, but it corresponds with my reaction to the pick. Waltz and his liberal leanings is sure to excite the base voters, but those aren't the ones that will win or lose the election. This was a pick designed to help the nominee govern rather than helping her win the election. I think it was a mistake.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I haven't read much of the attack ads on Walz military career, but Trump is a draft dodger. Vance's military career seems fine, though he was a military writer. That is a necessary profession as well. Walz seems like a career reservist. Kamala is a woman and we don't hold women to the same standards for military service as we do men. Rightfully so as women in battle is a bad idea if a serious war occurs that depletes your population. Even ancient man understood that protecting your female population to ensure reproductive capacity so your people survive is necessary to long-term survival as a people. Sending women to die in war is an incredibly irresponsible and a bad idea given that women require 9 months to produce even a single child and a man can do his reproductive function in minutes for multiple females if necessary.
Walz looks fine compared to draft dodger. Might sway a few votes, but not enough to matter. Waste of time line of attack on Walz. If I were the Republicans, I'd focus on his left leaning economics, handling of Minnesota during the Floyd protests, and lack of experience in international affairs during a very bad time in global politics with an aggressive Russia, a China seeking to expand its economic influence, war in the Middle East, Bangladesh going crazy, Venezuela going crazy, and a lot of the global issues going on. Even in Great Britain they are having problems. We need a strong president who can handle the international turmoil.
I-5 wrote:This is the kind of thing you’d take issue with if someone says you claimed you fought in battle by saying you carried a weapon. I’m surprised you’d pick it up. Carrying a weapon and using it are not the same thing. If you use nuance in your statements, you can acknowledge it in others.
c_hawkbob wrote:Wartime service, or active duty during a war, is different from battlefield service. If he'd said he carried his weapon in battle that would have been a lie. Semantics I know, but it's still an important distinction.
River Dog wrote:Come on, man! Rather than giving us a dictionary description of active duty vs. battlefield service, use your common sense. When he said that he carried a gun "in a war." What does that mean to you? The clear implication to me is that if not engaged in actual combat, that he at least did one tour in a theatre of operations where there was "a war." Waltz never came within a thousand miles of Iraq or Afghanistan. Plus, it's compounded by the fact that he misstated his rank and that he voluntarily left his unit just before they deployed to Iraq, leaving him open to accusations of being a chicken hawk.
If he said something like that in a debate or impromptu news conference/interview, I might have some sympathy for him. But they were prepared remarks made in reference to the subject of gun control, creating this impression of Waltz as this grizzled war veteran, a Rambo-like figure with an ammo belt wrapped around his neck crusading against the sale of military-style weapons. He was intentionally inaccurate about his military service in order to enhance his public appeal.
This is exactly what the Harris campaign doesn't need, a distraction that puts them on the defensive. It takes the spotlight off of Trump, Vance, and their many flaws. They can't with a straight face call Trump and Vance liars when they have one as the #2 man on their ticket. They're going to use this to beat them over their heads for the next 3 months.
Aseahawkfan wrote:How much do you really think this stuff will affect the election? People have known Trump was a liar for years, doesn't seem to stop him from contending. You think this will do much to Walz?
c_hawkbob wrote:Wartime service, or active duty during a war, is different from battlefield service. If he'd said he carried his weapon in battle that would have been a lie. Semantics I know, but it's still an important distinction.
River Dog wrote:Come on, man! Rather than giving us a dictionary description of active duty vs. battlefield service, use your common sense. When he said that he carried a gun "in a war." What does that mean to you? The clear implication to me is that if not engaged in actual combat, that he at least did one tour in a theatre of operations where there was "a war." Waltz never came within a thousand miles of Iraq or Afghanistan. Plus, it's compounded by the fact that he misstated his rank and that he voluntarily left his unit just before they deployed to Iraq, leaving him open to accusations of being a chicken hawk.
If he said something like that in a debate or impromptu news conference/interview, I might have some sympathy for him. But they were prepared remarks made in reference to the subject of gun control, creating this impression of Waltz as this grizzled war veteran, a Rambo-like figure with an ammo belt wrapped around his neck crusading against the sale of military-style weapons. He was intentionally inaccurate about his military service in order to enhance his public appeal.
This is exactly what the Harris campaign doesn't need, a distraction that puts them on the defensive. It takes the spotlight off of Trump, Vance, and their many flaws. They can't with a straight face call Trump and Vance liars when they have one as the #2 man on their ticket. They're going to use this to beat them over their heads for the next 3 months.
“We can make sure that those weapons of war, that I carried in war, is the only place where those weapons are at.”
c_hawkbob wrote:Thank you for your service Vance, but Military service is not a winning argument for your side.
c_hawkbob wrote:Oh you come on man. The context of what he was talking about was that the guns in question were weapons of war and he was emphasizing that he had a strong familiarity with them. The conversation was gun control and as Walz had been a Gunnery Sergeant and chief of the firing battery of his battalion he was establishing the grounds of his expertise, not "lying on his resume" to get a job he already had. There is no stolen valor here and you're grasping at straws.
I-5 wrote:He made no such claim about fighting in a war zone. If I put words in your mouth or interpret what you say, you'd correct me on it 100%. John Kerry was smeared, but that kind of sliming doesnn't work today. I think it's an example of the other party looking desperate. It's not going to move the needle for them.
MackStrongIsMyHero wrote:It was a poor choice of words. I don't know how many combat veterans you guys know, but my brother (E7) and my best friend (Major) have both served in middle east tours (Afghanistan and Iraq). They came under fire and had to fire back. They take exception to this type of claim from servicemen who were nowhere near any fighting. Walz could have easily said something to effect of "I had to train with and trained others to use". The backlash is understandable.
As for implications from a political standpoint, Trump lies and everyone knows it. It's expected. The Democrats are going to use that, so they need to not give any ammunition to the Trump camp. If they appear that they aren't being truthful, too, then it takes some of the spotlight off Trump's lying. How much is hard to say. It could be forgotten pretty quickly. The debates will mean more than this.
River Dog wrote:I don't know. How much did John Kerry's swift boat controversy affect his campaign? This is eerily similar, albeit it the #2 man, not the top dog. I suppose it depends on how close the election is, how the Dems handle it, what else happens between now and November. All I know is that it's an avoidable distraction that Harris doesn't need. They've gifted Trump and Vance a club.
Immediately after the selection was announced, the Harris campaign had Waltz's 20+ years of military experience front and center, advertising him as this down-home country boy that had served his country honorably. Now, they're circling the wagons. On Tuesday when the announcement was made, the campaign had listed as part of Waltz's biography a "retired" command sergeant major, which is untrue. Yesterday, they quietly edited that description to "once served as" command sergeant major, a subtle change indicating that they recognized their own inaccuracy and acknowledging Waltz's false and misleading statements.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Command Sergeant Major is a serious title. I did not hear it claimed initially. Makes me wonder if some campaign staffer wanting to punch up Walz's military service added it when writing his military information and looked up highest enlisted rank without realizing that Command is a special designation for the highest enlisted rank. I don't think it will have much of an effect myself, but should be corrected for the sake of honesty.
River Dog wrote:It wasn't the decision of some low-level staffer to list Waltz as a Command Sergeant Major. Waltz has referred to himself as having held that rank for years, dating as far back as 2006 and including when he was in Congress.
There are similarities between Waltz's scandal and that of John Kerry and the swift boat debacle. Both had a group of veterans who served with them come out and say that their recollection of events differed from that of the candidate's. One of Kerry's other unexplained phenomena was a medal he earned and that appeared on his Senate desk yet there are videos of him supposedly throwing that same medal in a fire during an anti-war protest.
I don't think this is going to make a huge difference, either, at least not directly. But it has put the Harris campaign on the defensive, and given the Republicans a very useful weapon and will distract from much larger and more outrageous lies and distortions that Trump has been and will continue to be making.
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