RiverDog wrote:Back to Russell and the Donks.
As it stands now, the Texans have the worst record with just one win. The Broncos, Rams, and Bears have 3 wins while the Cards, Saints, Panthers, Jags, and Colts have 4 wins. That's our competition for a top 10 draft slot. Here's the remaining schedule for those teams:
3 wins or fewer:
Texans: Cowboys, Chiefs, Titans, Jags, and Colts.
Rams: Raiders, Packers, Broncos, Chargers, Seahawks.
Bears: Eagles, Bills, Lions, Vikings.
4 wins:
Cards: Pats, Broncos, Bucs, Falcons, Niners.
Saints: Bucs, Falcons, Browns, Eagles, Panthers.
Panthers: Seahawks, Steelers, Lions, Bucs, Saints.
Jags: Titans, Cowboys, Jets, Texans, Titans.
Colts: Vikings, Chargers, Giants, Texans.
And, of course, the Broncos:
Chiefs, Cards, Rams, Chiefs.
The Texans look to have a lock on the #1 overall. The Bears have one winnable game, vs. the Lions. The Rams and Broncos have to play each other.
Just by looking at the schedules, the best we can hope for is the #3 overall if we assume that the Donkeys lose out or win just once. Realistically, they're probably going to win one or two games, so I'm thinking that we'll end up with a draft slot somewhere between #5 and #8.
The Saints play the Bucs on MNF tonight, so we need to get out our Bucs voodoo doll and start poking pins into it. Go Saints!
sNorthHawk wrote:The Rams pick belongs to Detroit.
So 2 teams need QBs - the Bears are set for at least a few years.
That should leave us with a good choice of DL should there be one who would be worthy of the 3rd or 4th pick although I think we will end up with the 5th to 7th overall selection from Denver.
Edit:
The Broncos remaining schedule is
KC at home
Cards at home
at LA Rams
At KC
Chargers at home
NorthHawk wrote:With Geno playing as well as he has it takes some pressure off of getting the best QB from the draft.
A boatload could be in the cards if you think what SF paid a few years ago to move just a few spots for Lance. It would depend on how this QB class is rated, though.
Maybe something like next years 1st plus this years 2nd or 3rd along with trading 1st round picks, so we keep 2 firsts and add a first next year and a 3rd this year.
I-5 wrote:Niners giving up 3 first round picks to move up 9 spots is the most insane thing I've ever seen, for a player who doesn't look that great imo. But if someone were to offer the same for the rights to our pick, I can easily see Schneider doing just that. Who wouldn't? I agree that with Geno playing the way he is, we don't need to spend high draft capital on a QB, unless one of the good ones falls to us at our second or third pick, which is highly possible.
I-5 wrote:Niners giving up 3 first round picks to move up 9 spots is the most insane thing I've ever seen, for a player who doesn't look that great imo. But if someone were to offer the same for the rights to our pick, I can easily see Schneider doing just that. Who wouldn't? I agree that with Geno playing the way he is, we don't need to spend high draft capital on a QB, unless one of the good ones falls to us at our second or third pick, which is highly possible.
Aseahawkfan wrote:There are a lot of stupid trades. I still think us trading two firsts for Jamal Adams was stupid. Denver is getting screwed as bad as they are because Russ fell off a cliff, broke his arm, and can't seem to even play at a bare minimum level of effectiveness. I can't say Trey is any better in Frisco. The guy isn't even playing. He's terrible as well.
So far the Gold Standard for trades is still the Cowboys trade. Multiple Hall of Famers from that trade. No one has been able to spin that kind of gold from a trade I can recall.
RiverDog wrote:
Yeah, the Herschel Walker trade. Part of that deal was Jerry Jones playing the Browns (I believe) against the Vikings, driving up the market for him. For all the criticism I've directed at Jerry Jones, pulling off the Herschel Walker trade isn't one of them. That was as masterful of a piece of poker playing that I've ever seen in professional sports. That's what I was alluding to when I mentioned having a couple teams competing for the pick.
But we have to keep in mind that what made the trade so great is how the Cowboys utilized those picks. We don't know that about the Russell Wilson trade or even the Jamal Adams trade. Next season, Russell could turn things around, win the MVP and SB MVP while the Broncos take home a Lombardi. But it sure looks good at this point.
RiverDog wrote:Yeah, the Herschel Walker trade. Part of that deal was Jerry Jones playing the Browns (I believe) against the Vikings, driving up the market for him. For all the criticism I've directed at Jerry Jones, pulling off the Herschel Walker trade isn't one of them. That was as masterful of a piece of poker playing that I've ever seen in professional sports. That's what I was alluding to when I mentioned having a couple teams competing for the pick.
But we have to keep in mind that what made the trade so great is how the Cowboys utilized those picks. We don't know that about the Russell Wilson trade or even the Jamal Adams trade. Next season, Russell could turn things around, win the MVP and SB MVP while the Broncos take home a Lombardi. But it sure looks good at this point.
Hawktawk wrote:Do you seriously think Russ could win SB MVP next year????????![]()
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its far more likely he winds up on the pine next year. DENVER MEDIA is already running over the varied scenarios to replace him or bring in some real competition.
Dude is SHOT. He will never make the postseason again as a starting QB. Adams has a higher chance of coming back but I wouldnt bet a plugged nickel on either.
Hawktawk wrote:Asea my man he won 6 here in 14 starts last year …… I gave credit for the finger for the diminished performance last year and I’m not convinced it’s not still an issue with accuracy . But he’s missing open reads or missing throws to open guys . Hacketts a joke , we both figured it out pre season but I gotta say it’s a plane crash . They are looking for the black boxes . I feel bad for my buddies who are huge Denver fans . They were so exited and I told them what I told you all but I do feel bad .
All over the respect for Jimmy and hatred of Jerry . When you have so much talent you win a championship with idiot Switzer imagine a decade with Johnson . I hate Jones . What a revolting person .
RiverDog wrote:
Yeah, the Herschel Walker trade. Part of that deal was Jerry Jones playing the Browns (I believe) against the Vikings, driving up the market for him. For all the criticism I've directed at Jerry Jones, pulling off the Herschel Walker trade isn't one of them. That was as masterful of a piece of poker playing that I've ever seen in professional sports. That's what I was alluding to when I mentioned having a couple teams competing for the pick.
But we have to keep in mind that what made the trade so great is how the Cowboys utilized those picks. We don't know that about the Russell Wilson trade or even the Jamal Adams trade. Next season, Russell could turn things around, win the MVP and SB MVP while the Broncos take home a Lombardi. But it sure looks good at this point.
Hawktawk wrote:Do you seriously think Russ could win SB MVP next year????????![]()
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its far more likely he winds up on the pine next year. DENVER MEDIA is already running over the varied scenarios to replace him or bring in some real competition.
Dude is SHOT. He will never make the postseason again as a starting QB. Adams has a higher chance of coming back but I wouldnt bet a plugged nickel on either.
Hawktawk wrote:Pete has proven he can develop unconventional quarterbacks without burning top draft capital . No more so than Geno who leads the league in multi TD games , games over 100qbr, games over 70% completions. He’s on a pace for mid 30 TDs and over 4500 yards and he’s really played the same since he went 98 on the rams last season 15 games ago
He doesnt do anything well. He is not super accurate, and is not a super scrambler, this year he has done enough of both to play well but not be even close to be elite. Look at the Raider game.trents wrote:In what sense is Geno unconventional?
Hawktawk wrote:Pete has proven he can develop unconventional quarterbacks without burning top draft capital . No more so than Geno who leads the league in multi TD games , games over 100qbr, games over 70% completions. He’s on a pace for mid 30 TDs and over 4500 yards and he’s really played the same since he went 98 on the rams last season 15 games ago
NorthHawk wrote:I think that's a valid viewpoint. It might work out to be true, but as long as he doesn't find his game this year all will be well in my book.
I would expect in the next few years there will be some more information about how the Broncos were run after the Hackett signing and the mistakes that were made.
At this point though it almost seems like everyone is piling on top of Wilson instead of trying to be objective like this writer.
RiverDog wrote:Back to topic.
I read an interesting article about other quarterbacks that have had a dip in performance during their early 30's that bounced back, along with a good break down of the Broncos/Wilson's problems that I thought was worth sharing. Some excerpts:
Wilson’s 2022 campaign is on pace to have between a 25% and 30% drop-off from his best all-time season. That is not unprecedented, as 12 legendary quarterbacks had the same thing happen. What came after these historic drop-offs is what analysts and fans can bicker over, depending on their level of optimism.
...there are several quarterbacks in the past who had the 30-to-34-year-old dip in production only to bounce back with a Top 400 season. There are three that have very similar careers to Wilson: Bart Starr, Roman Gabriel, and John Hadl.
The next set of quarterbacks with middle-aged dips is important to recognize, even if their earlier careers weren’t a great comparison to Wilson. Brett Favre, Fran Tarkenton, and Len Dawson had better careers early on, but all suffered that same dip only to return with stellar seasons.
Kurt Warner (not on the graph) had a late start and a very choppy career, but he also rebounded from an awful stint with the New York Giants. It is not unheard of for great quarterbacks to rebound from poor seasons. Wilson could be one of those players.
Elway had one great season at age 27, but the rest of his campaigns were mediocre to poor. Then he turned 33 and had the greatest season of his career, followed by five more Top 400 seasons. He is the only quarterback in history to accomplish this feat.
Even if Hackett's offensive scheme was a good fit, the unit had no real play time to get started, and then injuries became a heavy burden. Throw most quarterbacks into that situation, and they are going to have a difficult time. This does not absolve Wilson entirely. He has to take responsibility for the bulk of the issues.
https://www.si.com/nfl/broncos/news/bro ... fl-history
Regardless of how you feel about Russell, it's a good, objective look at both the history of QB's in his predicament and analysis of his problems in Denver. Bottom line is that I don't think we can write off Russell as a hopelessly lost cause.
NorthHawk wrote:I think that's a valid viewpoint. It might work out to be true, but as long as he doesn't find his game this year all will be well in my book.
I would expect in the next few years there will be some more information about how the Broncos were run after the Hackett signing and the mistakes that were made.
At this point though it almost seems like everyone is piling on top of Wilson instead of trying to be objective like this writer.
TriCitySam wrote:I railed a long long time ago about the influence of Jake Heaps, how it was disrespectful to the Hawks coaching staff - and that he was pushing the “Let Russ Cook” line......now I see the media has picked up on it as it relates to RW performance.
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q ... uiMre2DS9m
TriCitySam wrote:I railed a long long time ago about the influence of Jake Heaps, how it was disrespectful to the Hawks coaching staff - and that he was pushing the “Let Russ Cook” line......now I see the media has picked up on it as it relates to RW performance.
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q ... uiMre2DS9m
TriCitySam wrote:I railed a long long time ago about the influence of Jake Heaps, how it was disrespectful to the Hawks coaching staff - and that he was pushing the “Let Russ Cook” line......now I see the media has picked up on it as it relates to RW performance.
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q ... uiMre2DS9m
Hawktawk wrote:Yeah saw this . Same crap different town . Thank the lord he’s not our problem .
NorthHawk wrote:That would make sense as Paton hired Hackett and made the big trade. Combine that with the new owners who might want to put in place their own people and sweeping changes could be in the cards.
Hawktawk wrote:Does anyone think it’s a surprise Paton is in trouble ? It was bad enough making the trade and I said John had “swindled” Denver . I was ASTOUNDED they tore up a deal paying the man 35 million with 2 years left after he had won 6 games and played very poorly in 21 . Idiotic. That’s when the deal went from bad to the “ worst contract in pro sports “. Frankly I’m surprised Paton isn’t gone already . Russ gonna kill that whole organization. HT curse
New owners that have deep pockets and are anxious to get the fans on their side and may be very sensitive to how perturbed they are.
This isn't like Jacksonville or the Chargers. The Broncos have one of the more passionate, loyal fan bases in the game. You have to think that the new ownership group will want to keep them engaged.
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