tarlhawk wrote:I agree with the win choices with an additional win coming from either the NYG or the Ravens. If somehow we split with the 49ers it will be a testament of heading in the right direction for our near future...especially if we gain 4-5 rookies from this years class having effective seasons. (10-7) Go Hawks
NorthHawk wrote:For me there are a number of questions about the teams we face.
I think the Cards look like a mess at this point, but the questions come from the Eagles who even thought they are stacked at every position, how well will they adapt to a new DC and new OC and will the Super Bowl loser curse strike them?
The Rams are an odd team to handicap because they have good structure but are rebuilding. We might sweep them or split. For me it's a toss up.
The dangerous teams from what I see are Carolina and Pittsburgh. Teams that didn't perform well last year but added some talent in the off season.
And finally there are teams that are much like ourselves, mainly at a similar stage in development: Lions, Giants, and maybe the Browns.
I think the 49ers should be tough outs but like the Eagles there's a possibility that their losing their DC might be a negative. I don't worry about their QB situation because Shanahan always finds a way to get their Offense moving regardless of who's playing QB. They've played us tough over the years even with backups and 3rd string QBs as starters.
RiverDog wrote:Here's my initial guess, and I don't have anything tangible to offer as a basis outside of my gut feeling. I've always said that I don't like handicapping a schedule until Week 4 or so of the regular season. It's just an impression, based mostly on last season's results. But here it goes:
Week 1 vs. the Rams: W
Week 2 at Detroit: L
Week 3 vs Carolina: W
Week 4 at NY Giants: L
Week 5 Bye
Week 6 at Bengals: L
Week 7 vs. Cards: W
Week 8 vs. Browns: W
Week 9 at Baltimore: L
Week 10 vs. Commanders: W
Week 11 at LA Rams: W
Week 12 vs. Niners: L
Week 13 at Dallas: L
Week 14 at Niners: L
Week 15 vs. Eagles: L
Week 16 at Titans: W
Week 17 vs. Steelers: W
Week 18 at Cards: W
Final record: 9-8. Divisional finish: 2nd in NFC West. Playoffs: Wild card, 7th seed.
Pretty much the same as last year. We have what appears to be a pretty tough schedule, with just two non divisional teams with a losing record in 2023, the 7-10 Browns and the 7-10 Titans.
One of the biggest question marks in my mind is how the Niners are going to deal with their QB situation, but it doesn't seem to matter who's throwing the rock, which is why I have them rated as one of the top 2 teams in the conference.
NorthHawk wrote:It almost looks like they spun a wheel for wins and losses with some of those games.
It would seem they don't have much faith in the 49ers QB situation and/or think the impact of losing DeMeco Ryans as DC will be big. Shanahan has shown he can win with sub par QBs, so it's an interesting take.
MackStrongIsMyHero wrote:It's all going to go through the defense. Another bottom 10 ranked defense will mean a wild card exit ceiling. If they find their legs, they'll make some noise and should be fun to watch.
NorthHawk wrote:I know, Carroll won't say it is, but the roster turn over has been huge the last couple of years and I expect it to continue next off season. [...] I would think they will end up somewhere in the middle which is a big improvement if they produce that well.
NorthHawk wrote:I know, Carroll won't say it is, but the roster turn over has been huge the last couple of years and I expect it to continue next off season. [...] I would think they will end up somewhere in the middle which is a big improvement if they produce that well.
Oly wrote:Exactly what I'm thinking. I don't expect much drop-off from the offense other than some regression toward the mean from Geno, whose near-INT luck can't be sustainable. Then again, I think JSN is going to really help the 3rd down offense and the OL will be better, so not much change overall there. It's really about the defense, where the NT and roster turnover look to result in another year of mediocre-at-best defense, but probably bottom third to bottom quarter.
NorthHawk wrote:I got the impression that the Tackles were getting worn down. It's a big jump from 12 games to 17 and considering their inexperience in preparing to be consistent all season, it's great they did as well as they did. I'm not concerned about the rankings with Lucas because of the shoulder injury which you pointed out and him playing alongside a sub par RG, but I hope it's not something that becomes chronic. That might have contributed to Geno's fall back to the norm in productivity, but as stated above, the dropped INTs probably weren't caused by the OL as many of them were thrown with very little pressure on him. We should have an improvement at RG with Jackson moving on and if either of the Centers can grasp hold of the starting Center position we might be a whole lot better. But continuity of the OL working together in the same positions is the key to OL productivity, so going with who we have is a must for the players to develop as a unit.
NorthHawk wrote:All most all team sports need strength up the middle to succeed. If a team is weak at QB, RB, C/G, DT, or M/ILB it makes it much easier for opponents to attack and defend.
We will have a different Center and RG this year. I hope they settle on a single player at C and end the revolving door at that position since Unger was dealt.
It will be interesting to see if Bradford can beat out Haynes for the starting spot, but if he doesn't, he should be ready to fill in when or if the production falls or the dreaded injury bug bites.
I still have high hopes for Olu, though. It would be nice to have that spot settled for at least a few years if not close to a decade.
RiverDog wrote:Here's my initial guess, and I don't have anything tangible to offer as a basis outside of my gut feeling. I've always said that I don't like handicapping a schedule until Week 4 or so of the regular season. It's just an impression, based mostly on last season's results. But here it goes:
Week 1 vs. the Rams: W
Week 2 at Detroit: L
Week 3 vs Carolina: W
Week 4 at NY Giants: L
Week 5 Bye
Week 6 at Bengals: L
Week 7 vs. Cards: W
Week 8 vs. Browns: W
Week 9 at Baltimore: L
Week 10 vs. Commanders: W
Week 11 at LA Rams: W
Week 12 vs. Niners: L
Week 13 at Dallas: L
Week 14 at Niners: L
Week 15 vs. Eagles: L
Week 16 at Titans: W
Week 17 vs. Steelers: W
Week 18 at Cards: W
Final record: 9-8. Divisional finish: 2nd in NFC West. Playoffs: Wild card, 7th seed.
Pretty much the same as last year. We have what appears to be a pretty tough schedule, with just two non divisional teams with a losing record in 2023, the 7-10 Browns and the 7-10 Titans.
One of the biggest question marks in my mind is how the Niners are going to deal with their QB situation, but it doesn't seem to matter who's throwing the rock, which is why I have them rated as one of the top 2 teams in the conference.
c_hawkbob wrote:Doesn't look like it was written by a homer at all, looks to me like pretty much the national consensus evaluation of this year's draft.
c_hawkbob wrote:Please read some national draft analyses for yourself and see what the national perspective is before assuming anything more positive than you must be a homer. As a matter of fact the author of the article in question is from Connecticut and started the NFL Draft Bible as a publication in 2002 and it is used by all 32 NFL teams. Certainly not a homer.
NorthHawk wrote:As stated, it was unsolicited but there is (of course) a link to become a paying member, so these comments are just bait to get some people to sign up.
It will be interesting to see how their ratings match up to reality.
c_hawkbob wrote:For this way too early iteration all I'm going to say is we'll make the playoffs. We always make the playoffs. In fact only one team has more playoff appearances in the last ten years and only two have more playoff wins. These are the good old days!
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