Aseahawkfan wrote:So let's follow along with the impeachment and see what happens. It is pretty much as expected with the vote along party lines. No Republicans voted to impeach. Nearly all Democrats voted to impeach. Now the Senate is up next. Let's watch the show and follow along. See if the Senate votes to remove.
I think this is super interesting. I want to see if a sitting president can fight off impeachment and win re-election with so much of the press against him.
Aseahawkfan wrote:The Democrats and left wing are throwing all their power to take down Trump. A splinter group of Republicans are trying to take him down. Most of the media is against Trump. I have never seen so many people against a single president. Not even the attacks on Bill Clinton were at this level from what I recall. Trump has to be the most disliked president in history by such a large number of Americans.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Can this narcissistic big mouth fight off this much disdain, prejudice, and hate to stay in office and win re-election? I'm doubtful myself. I predict he survives removal from office and is protected by the Senate Republican majority, but is voted out of office in the 2020 election.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Nonetheless, this is all very interesting. This is similar to Clinton. A populist president with a great economy trying to survive impeachment with a split Congress, but I have to admit I think Bill Clinton inspired less ill will overall.
Let's the party start. The Dems have finally gotten what they've been seeking: a reason to impeach. If Trump survives the Senate which I think he will, then we will see what the American people think come election time.
Hawktawk wrote:Both Trump and Nixon committed serious crimes while in office. Nixon is separated by the party of decent patriotic americans in his time vs the tribal fanatical cultists of the base today, and fox news from surviving and thriving. But people cared. Nixon hit 25% before the R senate caved.If he'd been near 50 like Trump he wouldnt have been impeached.
But it just doesn't seem like people care much anymore. This is about we the people. Is this OK or not? Image Trump with no guardrails for maybe 5 years...
Hawktawk wrote:I agree completely on the media thing. Back during watergate there were 3 channels and rabbit ears and black and white for all but the fortunate. I remember it. People were riveted. Now everyone's on their phone or watching ESPN or out tasting wine or whatever. its equal parts apathy and the mass media age with a dash of Trump having drug expectations for the office so far in the gutter nobody cares anymore.
RiverDog wrote:As long as the Dems don't nominate Bernie or Warren, I think they won't have any trouble beating Trump in November. But then again, up until October of 2016, I didn't give Trump a snowball's chance in hell of ever winning the election, so what do I know.
It is similar to Clinton in that it is an almost exclusively partisan impeachment that went nowhere. That's why it's so foolish for the Dems to pursue it as it's only going to hurt them come November. All it's doing is rubbing salt in a huge, ugly wound. We've essentially become two separate nations.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I lost a lot of money betting against Trump. That is why I can't count the guy out yet because it was so costly to do so last election.
Some people on here think I'm some kind of secret Trump supporter, but I did not vote for him last election and I did not think he would win. I am still not heavily invested at the moment due to the instability caused by the current political environment. If the Democrats win and reverse the Trump tax cuts, then the stock market will tank, maybe very hard as it will reverse the profit increases from the tax cuts. If Trump wins re-election, he might continue his annoying trade war which creates further instability. Not to mention if he keeps bating the Democrats into impeaching him and doing stupid things like the Ukraine phone call, then he will create further instability. If Biden wins, he might slow roll corporate tax increases which would be ok. If Warren or Sanders win, economy will tank with anyone invested in assets seeing them fall dramatically in value as the cost of owning assets will increase greatly reducing their profitability from the middle class on up to the wealthy. Warren and Sanders can claim they're helping the working class all they want, but their policies have always been destructive to working class people and any world economy aka see Europe.
That's why if Trump loses, Biden or Buttgieg would be the best bets for some economic stability, which is primarily what we need from a new president. Maintain economic stability while getting rid of all the idiot rhetoric and petty passive-aggressive fighting Trump loves to engage in to make himself feel important.
For some reason some people can't seem to accept that you can dislike an individual and still see him in his true light. I dislike Trump for being a narcissistic, race-baiting, passive-aggressive big mouth. But at the same time I'm not going to buy into BS that he's more corrupt than past presidents or some Hitler-like figure, which is just total BS. Nor am I buying he's some puppet for a foreign government. That talk is just tiresome. If I can find some peace with him leaving office, then so be it as long as my peace isn't shattered by a destroyed economy which would be worse.
RiverDog wrote:I know you're not a Trump supporter. Hawktalk is the only one that suggested it, and I don't think he believes it, just lashing out after being attacked. Idahawkman is the only one that has admitted to being a Trump supporter, and he does it in spades. Burrton was a Trump apologist, but I don't think he likes the guy, either, but I wouldn't have been surprised if he voted for him.
Did you see where Trump implied that deceased Representative John Dingell had gone to hell? It's behavior like that which just irritates the hell out of me. Trump has no sense of decency whatsoever, and I'm about to the point that I'd vote for anybody to get his ass out of there.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Trump is super annoying as president. Nothing he says surprises me any longer. Doesn't make him the most corrupt president or Hitler-like, but it does make him the most annoying, rude, jackass big mouth to hold the office in my lifetime. It's the only thing I'll really agree with. The guy is just a narcissistic big mouth that thinks he is bigger than the office. The man is tiresome. First president in ages that has made me consider voting for a Democrat, but I'll probably toss my vote to Buttgieg. Biden is an establishment Democrat that doesn't seem very strong on anything. Buttgieg seems like a guy that gives some chance at sensible, balanced government with energy.
Aseahawkfan wrote:
I lost a lot of money betting against Trump. That is why I can't count the guy out yet because it was so costly to do so last election.
Some people on here think I'm some kind of secret Trump supporter, but I did not vote for him last election and I did not think he would win. I am still not heavily invested at the moment due to the instability caused by the current political environment. If the Democrats win and reverse the Trump tax cuts, then the stock market will tank, maybe very hard as it will reverse the profit increases from the tax cuts. If Trump wins re-election, he might continue his annoying trade war which creates further instability. Not to mention if he keeps bating the Democrats into impeaching him and doing stupid things like the Ukraine phone call, then he will create further instability. If Biden wins, he might slow roll corporate tax increases which would be ok. If Warren or Sanders win, economy will tank with anyone invested in assets seeing them fall dramatically in value as the cost of owning assets will increase greatly reducing their profitability from the middle class on up to the wealthy. Warren and Sanders can claim they're helping the working class all they want, but their policies have always been destructive to working class people and any world economy aka see Europe.
That's why if Trump loses, Biden or Buttgieg would be the best bets for some economic stability, which is primarily what we need from a new president. Maintain economic stability while getting rid of all the idiot rhetoric and petty passive-aggressive fighting Trump loves to engage in to make himself feel important.
For some reason some people can't seem to accept that you can dislike an individual and still see him in his true light. I dislike Trump for being a narcissistic, race-baiting, passive-aggressive big mouth. But at the same time I'm not going to buy into BS that he's more corrupt than past presidents or some Hitler-like figure, which is just total BS. Nor am I buying he's some puppet for a foreign government. That talk is just tiresome. If I can find some peace with him leaving office, then so be it as long as my peace isn't shattered by a destroyed economy which would be worse.
Hawktawk wrote:Have a merry Christmas asea. Truly
I-5 wrote:Amen. For all the annoyance we cause each other, this forum is one of the few places where there aren't ad hominem attacks, and more importantly, I can learn something once in a while...it beats wasting time arguing on social media.
Even though I know the Senate republicans have Trump's back all the way, I see signs of optimism that the charlatan and con man in the White House may have a shorter tenure than I expected. I know that most evangelicals have decided to cast their lot with Trump in a Faustian bargain as someone put it, BUT....the Christianity Today editorial calling for Trump's removal opened up an ever so tiny crack in his base. All it takes is one drop sometimes. That, and I think Pelosi has more cards up her sleeve than I realized. The longer it plays out, the worse it is for McConnell. I'm not getting my hopes up....yet.
Hawktawk wrote:The article in the Christian mag says it perfectly . No amount of good done by policies is worth keeping this guy in office. Where do you draw the line? As a guy raised in the Assembly of God church, former pastoral major, preached from the pulpit and read the entire bible several times I concur a Christian has to swear off their faith to support the porn star president. These type of people are the majority of my friends and family as a conservative republican from eastern Washington. I’m a pretty lonely guy ideologically these days.
I have also begun purging Facebook of Trump sharers. That’s the dinner table at Christmas. OT is the octagon or in my case the rubber room![]()
Merry Christmas to all. Go Hawks!
Hawktawk wrote:https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/daily-presidential-tracking-poll/ar-AADKLI1
This is a dramatic shift towards impeachment and removal.Some of those family gatherings coupled with trumps non stop tweeting, more damaging info coming out, something has changed. Notice it is 14 points underwater for no impeachment, considerably below the overall job approval which has actually inched up.
Beyond that an overwhelming majority of americans, 70% in most polls want a fair trial, want to hear from witnesses with first hand knowledge. Sen Lisa Murkowski has expressed concern for Mitch McConnell's idiotic statement about coordinating in lockstep with the White House. So it's getting interesting. Will he survive? almost certainly, even if Mulvaney, Duffy, Bolton and Pompeio testify. The facts are there already and it's not moving anyone. But with this polling I think republicans will pay a heavy price at the polls for steamrolling the process, not dems.
RiverDog wrote:That's the MSN poll you're quoting, and their results almost always show higher pro impeachment numbers than other polls. They pose their question to a slightly different audience, likely voters, rather than registered voters or all adults as do other polls, which may account for the discrepancy.
Additionally, I'd be careful throwing around your "of all Americans" statements. As was noted, many of those polls aren't posing their questions to a fair representation of that population. Many polls are limiting their sampling to "registered" or "likely" voters. Less than 60% of those eligible voted in the last presidential election.
It's not clear to me how the R's will pay a price for "steamrolling the process" when in fact it's been the Democrats that have pushed for an expedited procedure so as not to interfere with their primaries. Indeed, Murkowski herself called out Pelosi for rushing through impeachment articles.
Hawktawk wrote:I'm assuming all these poll questions are asked of each person polled and as i said Trumps impeach # is 15 points underwater this morning with 55% approval for removal and only 40 against. But the same poll finds only 50% disapprove of trump's job performance while 44% approve, pretty good numbers for Trump and well in line with many other polls.
Hawktawk wrote:By "steamrolling" I mean if Graham and McConnell and the rest of the Republican scum in the senate are able to slam a trial through the Senate with no witnesses, just an acquittal I think these polls are problematic more for them than for Dems.
Hawktawk wrote: It's ridiculous to say impeachment has been done any other way than was possible. Had Pelosi waited around for months while these obstructions of subpoenas worked their way through the courts there would have been an outcry from the politicians of both parties, the public would have soured on it as it dragged on and it would have been a disaster.
Hawktawk wrote:Then theres this
https://www.politico.com/news/2019/12/3 ... ews-091791
Trump has tangled with Roberts, denounced the Judiciary to the point Roberts issued a rare public rebuke. This will be interesting. Roberts doesnt lose his job if he stands up for America.
Hawktawk wrote:Roberts has already publicly rebuked trump for his war on judges who don’t do his bidding, calling them “so called judges, Obama judges , etc . I forget the exact quote but it was a comment unquestionably directed at Trump who also responded in kind. I certainly expect Roberts to be professional and not biased based on those exchanges over a year ago but he’s not going to be a pushover . He is in favor of a real trial I’m sure but he will need some help from republicans and also for democrats to stay in line. Time will tell
Aseahawkfan wrote:I literally don't care what happens to Trump. I'm going to sit on the sidelines with my cash until the group of idgits in government figure it out. I don't trust any of them. Bunch of liars and manipulators with agendas I want no part of.
RiverDog wrote:I hear ya, my friend! When I see anything on the tube about impeachment, I immediately switch the channel or mute it. Wake me when it's over. That's not to say that I don't care what happens to Trump, I want to see him tossed out of office. It's just that impeachment is a dead issue. It doesn't even make for good drama.
Aseahawkfan wrote:It all seems like much ado about nothing. I read the phone call and listened to the evidence and I've seen nothing indicating that Ukraine ever felt threatened or was coerced into anything.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I'm personally expecting some racist rant recordings from Trump near election time this around cleverly released at key times anonymously. I think we're going to see the dirtiest election campaign in our lifetime this time around. Neither side will be pulling punches. It's going to get dirty as dirty can get.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Just pathetic all the way around. At this point I would prefer Trump get removed via election loss as I think it would lead to greater stability in the economy and government than an impeachment. It's too bad the current crop of candidates are pretty terrible as far as providing a quality vision for the nation. Not much I'm looking forward from any of them.
RiverDog wrote:Just playing a little Devil's advocate here to give the discussion some balance. Keep in mind that I personally feel that Trump's actions represent impeachable conduct, and have so for some time.
Democrats remain hopeful that the (Parnas) revelations will dial up pressure on Senate Republicans weighing whether to seek witnesses and documents in the trial. It has already provided the House’s impeachment managers new angles to lay out their case against Trump, as they race to prepare for opening arguments expected to begin Tuesday.
So far, Senate Republicans appear unmoved.
“They were in such a hurry that they didn’t get all this information? What the heck, OK?” said Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa), blaming House Democrats for impeaching Trump before waiting to develop additional strains of evidence. “So let’s focus on the record. They obviously felt they had enough information to impeach the president with what they had. Let’s take a look at what they had.”
They have a point. If the Democrats felt they had sufficient evidence to impeach, why the need for additional testimony, documents, etc? Did they hurry their investigation on something as momentous as impeachment in order to meet some artificial deadline....like the 2020 primaries?
It's as if the Dems got the wagon in front of the horses. The criticism has been that the Democrats have been looking to impeach Trump since January of 2016, and this is evidence of that mind set.
Hawktawk wrote:Last of all that dumb broad Joni Ernst can pound sand. Google her comments in the Obama administration suggesting Obama should be impeached for issuing too many executive orders.https://news.yahoo.com/joni-ernst---imp ... 39051.html
Now she doesn't want to hear the facts about the most personally corrupt president in history. I noticed she was pretty quiet when DT was signing executive orders despite controlling both houses. F her. I can't even believe this was my lifelong party. I'm going to find out who her opponent is and send them some money. I'm already backing Amy McGrath against Moscow Mitch. Time to quit bitchin and try to do something about it before its too late.
RiverDog wrote:
OK, let her pound sand. Here's another opinion that doesn't bring her into it:
To Republicans, the latest claims and disclosures are evidence that House Democrats put together a slapdash investigation that did not cover enough bases before they rushed to an ultimately partisan vote on the House floor. It is not the Senate’s job, Republicans say, to do what the House failed to do.
“Makes them look sloppy as hell,” said Solomon L. Wisenberg, a deputy independent counsel during the Starr investigation. “I think they should have gotten their act together a little better.”
Mr. Wisenberg said the House Democrats should have authorized an impeachment inquiry and issued subpoenas to Mr. Bolton and anyone else they wanted to question. “They wouldn’t be in this hot mess,” he said.
There's a very legitimate point of view that the Democrats did a very poor job of investigating this case, and were more interested in timeliness than they were at getting to the truth.
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