Hawktawk wrote:IMO the worst possible slate of Democrats for a victory in Nov 2020 is emerging. Warren is clearly the frontrunner and her new out in the open Medicare for all plan ripping away my wife and I's plan along with 150 million others and all the associated taxes will get an A for honesty. But it will be as helpful in reality as the release of Trump's phone call to Ukraine on the campaign trial.She will be easy to attack.
Biden is clearly flagging, less money in the bank than any other frontrunner but the pro vs con #s poll #s regarding impeaching Trump are an indication of his overall popularity with the electorate. He's still the sure bet but the Dem "progressives" meaning radical liberal/socialists are winning the day.
Bernie is a fundraising machine but he's a 78 year old socialist mad scientist. He of all the guys on top is the most vulnerable to trump as hes got a low ceiling in terms of who will actually support him. Then there's mayor pete who would be the next president if he weren't married to a man but who would draw about 0 among conservative republicans and especially evangelicals.
Amy Klobuchar has shown signs of life recently which is a good thing.
Beto was a shock to me, no traction whatsoever then his far left forced confiscation of guns and remove anti gay church tax exemptions proposals not only put dirt on his grave but provided the Trump campaign easy talking points. Gabbard got a small bump due to HRCs attacks but let's face it, at 4% shes going nowhere. Castro, Yang, Kamela Harris are all just playing out the string.
Make no mistake, I think the current infestation of the white house is worse than any ideology, any other person on this list and i will accept any of them. I just worry enough people won't. We will see, he is the most historically unpopular president in history to this point in his first term and these open hearings with him attacking on twitter vs any number of career public servants, selfless patriots doing the right thing will not play well with a public increasingly inclined to support his removal.
Hawktawk wrote:Wow RD thats a lot....What I mean by Warren being honest is she put forth a plan. I'm not a fan. Trump is so bad she might beat him but I think she gives him maybe the best shot.But as for all the sky is falling talk regarding Dems/Socialists crashing the economy etc we appear to have had a role reversal, ie you're the pessimist and I'm optimistic about what a dem takeover might mean![]()
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Economies come and go and the fact is Obama inherited a 64.5% workforce participation rate, a cratering of our financial institutions, 9+% unemployment etc etc etc. 8 years and 3 trillion in chinese money later Trump inherited a 7 year economic expansion and equally long bull market. Unemployment was 4.7% on Nov 8 2016.Labor force participation was now nearer 63%.To put that in perspective were the LFPR 64.5% now unemployment would be more like 8%
Growth was modest but steady the last few years under Obama averaging 2 % give or take GDP growth. And he passed obamacare which I hated at the time but having spoken with some of the approximately 22 million it insures I think it is a good plan that should be worked with, not completely dismantled by the Repubs with NO PLAN to replace it with anything.
My point is a liberal like Obama who was fond of executive orders etc did not take anyone's guns, didn't crater the economy,did not wreck your retirement, it went up most of his presidency.His administration created 15 million jobs, Trumps has created about 7 million.He didn't get in a war. ( I know it's big for you and asea![]()
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Frankly I'm sick and tired of hearing both parties attack one another as being un american or just about politics for having a particular view or in this case fulfilling their constitutional responsibility at risk of their jobs. It's never been this bad, particularly in my former party that will normalize lawlessness and chaos to hold onto power.
Politics aint beanbag but when it comes to this impeachment inquiry it wasn't started over politics. Pelosi resisted it as long as she could even though I felt it should have happened the day after Mueller testified which ironically we now know was the same day the illegal phone call was placed by Trump after a rogue operation lasting months.
.The democratic house did not reach a majority in favor until learning the POTUS tried to strongarm an ally using half a billion in lethal aid as the carrot and the stick. When they launched their investigation they were 10 points upside down in the polls but as I correctly predicted when the facts began to get out public approval would begin to resemble job approval since this dolt does absolutely nothing to endear himself to any but the most radical wild eyed believer. Latest polls show him with a 75% approval among REPUBLICANS, nearly a 20 point drop.
As i've said i'm no Liberal.No Democrat. Other than Biden there's nobody with a pulse I like much at all. Well I digress I love Buttigeigs speaking ability, his thinking on lots of things. Hes just got no support in the black community whatsoever and I cant see him taking the next step other than maybe by winning in Iowa's caucuses due to the overwhelming money and organization he has, Sanders? too old and too radical. He would be easy to attack, maybe easier than Warren. Really hoping for Biden.
But regardless make no mistake. Anyone but Trump. Any of them have a proven record of legislating, managing people, at least being able to act dignified and respectful. Country over party, country over politics.
ABT. Preferably Pence 2019![]()
So the US media is also being controlled by this agenda
So the US media is also being controlled by this agenda
c_hawkbob wrote:The 'US' or 'main stream media' is not a single entity, 'it' is not controlled by anyone. Loosen the tin foil hat a bit.
Hawktawk wrote:The free and ADVERSARIAL press is the lifeblood of democracy. Their job is to hold power accountable. What Fox has done in the last 4 or so years is go from being the network to most likely hold democrats accountable to utter shills for Trump until just recently when a few guys like Chris Wallace and the departed Shep Smith began reporting news again. Of course it was met by angry tweets from POTUS enraged that his volunteer pravda was growing a pair.
Of all the many american institutions that have suffered irreparable damage from this president it is the free and adversarial press that has been hurt the most. I've never heard it referred to as "the enemy of the people" by anyone but Joseph Stalin and the orange baboon.
Having perused the so called left wing news outlets exclusively in terms of my tv intake the last few years of Trump I find them to be left leaning but also accurate in their reporting. If the release of the Mueller report proved anything it was that most all these "fake news" leaks were TRUE. Its not a left wing liberal thing to ask hard questions and report on collusion with foreign powers, paying off porn stars, tax evasion, violations of the emoluments clause etc etc. That's called REPORTING THE FACTS whether its CNN, MSNBC,ABC or whoever and now increasingly even Fox with certain anchors.They are doing their job.Republicans are routinely invited on the MSM to defend their position on Trump, his policy etc, but 99% of them just take potshot soundbites and refuse to actually sit down on the record for a pressing interview.
Trump gets a lot of bad press because he is an incompetent ,chaotic, dishonest corrupt president. There's no shortage of material to write about. His accomplishments as it were don't get much press because he spends his time ranting and raving about his enemies he has created instead of highlighting his record.
Then to boot he just keeps breaking laws and rules like calling the Ukrainian Pres THE DAY AFTER MUELLER'S TESTIMONY to shake him down for dirt on a political opponent. Should this not be reported on???? The media isn't even remotely the biggest problem right now...
RiverDog wrote:Michael Bloomberg is talking about running as a Dem. His problem is that he doesn't share many of the views embraced by the far left, but on the other hand, this same attribute could siphon away moderate Trump voters. He also has a huge bankroll he can spend on the campaign.
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/17/us/p ... ocrat.html
Hawktawk wrote:IMO the worst possible slate of Democrats for a victory in Nov 2020 is emerging. Warren is clearly the frontrunner and her new out in the open Medicare for all plan ripping away my wife and I's plan along with 150 million others and all the associated taxes will get an A for honesty. But it will be as helpful in reality as the release of Trump's phone call to Ukraine on the campaign trial.She will be easy to attack.
Biden is clearly flagging, less money in the bank than any other frontrunner but the pro vs con #s poll #s regarding impeaching Trump are an indication of his overall popularity with the electorate. He's still the sure bet but the Dem "progressives" meaning radical liberal/socialists are winning the day.
Bernie is a fundraising machine but he's a 78 year old socialist mad scientist. He of all the guys on top is the most vulnerable to trump as hes got a low ceiling in terms of who will actually support him. Then there's mayor pete who would be the next president if he weren't married to a man but who would draw about 0 among conservative republicans and especially evangelicals.
Amy Klobuchar has shown signs of life recently which is a good thing.
Beto was a shock to me, no traction whatsoever then his far left forced confiscation of guns and remove anti gay church tax exemptions proposals not only put dirt on his grave but provided the Trump campaign easy talking points. Gabbard got a small bump due to HRCs attacks but let's face it, at 4% shes going nowhere. Castro, Yang, Kamela Harris are all just playing out the string.
Make no mistake, I think the current infestation of the white house is worse than any ideology, any other person on this list and i will accept any of them. I just worry enough people won't. We will see, he is the most historically unpopular president in history to this point in his first term and these open hearings with him attacking on twitter vs any number of career public servants, selfless patriots doing the right thing will not play well with a public increasingly inclined to support his removal.
LTH wrote:The other thing that is going on is that journalists and whistle blowers are being prosecuted for telling the truth... Look what's happening to Max blumenthal for reporting what's going on in Syria and Venezuela...
I think another area where we are missing is that people think the country is being totally run by the president and congress.... well... thats not the case totally. This country is being run behind the scenes by the establishment government.
LTH
RiverDog wrote:Michael Bloomberg is talking about running as a Dem. His problem is that he doesn't share many of the views embraced by the far left, but on the other hand, this same attribute could siphon away moderate Trump voters. He also has a huge bankroll he can spend on the campaign.
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/17/us/p ... ocrat.html
idhawkman wrote:I usually don't post during the season but I see where Bloomberg is making moves to enter the race. That should make Biden nervous and should really split the dem party along Bernie-Warren vs Wealthy Bloomberg lines.
Not sure what the requirements are now for the dem debates but does Bloomberg even meet the requirements to get on stage now?
Aseahawkfan wrote:
How can you believe this when the press is information from different sources with different agendas? It is the American people that hold power accountable. If the press gives information and the American people are asleep at the wheel like they've been for years, then nothing changes. Press doesn't get to decide the president. They give information. The people decide what they're government. Even you have admitted you don't care unless you're raging at Trump.
You're the guy asking me why I have a such a big beef with Saudi Arabia because you don't take the time or care what they've done and are doing in the Middle East. They are far worse than Iran or Syria, but here we have a press and government that keeps us focused on how bad Iran and Syria are solely because they aren't our "allies." The American people just keep on ignoring all the vile crap they do even when certain members of the press report the information. Books are written about the crap they're doing. Foreign news agencies report what they're doing. And literally there is a laundry list dating back decades showing our relationship with Saudi Arabia has been toxic with the only benefit to the American people being cheap gas and energy prices. American people ignore a lot of vile crap their government does as long as the right guy is the one speaking from the podium.
Hawktawk wrote:I dont recall ever saying I dont care about anything unless Im raging at Trump.
Hawktawk wrote:This Khashoggi thing....Trump basically shrugging off the strangulation and dismemberment of a permanent US resident and dissident journalist in a foreign embassy just shows hes sold his soul to the highest bidder. Our Saudi policy has always been corrupt but Trump has taken it to a new level.
RiverDog wrote:
Perhaps not, but you rage about Trump so often, with such fervor, and utilizing so many colorful metaphors that it's easy to get that impression.
There's something to rage about. Kind of the rage equivalent of bad press. Its totally deserved so thank you I think.
I agree 100%. Trump's response was despicable. He ignored the findings of our own intelligence community as well as that of our allies and simply believed what he wanted to believe. It's all too typical of Trump's inability to look at issues with an objective mind and rather than take the information that's presented to him and process it, he reacts strictly on his gut feel.
Hawktawk wrote:I disagree here RD. Trump knows its a lie. He knows what happened in the Saudi consulate in Turkey. He knows the intelligence community is correct about this as well as Russian interference etc. He knew his statements about having nothing to do with Russia were lies, his comments about the Porn star were lies. His university? Lies. Charitable foundation? Lies. He is a remorseless pathological liar who will lie as a reflex knowing the Trumptard base believes everything he says.
RiverDog wrote:At the risk of aligning myself with the "Trumptard base", none of us, even those closest to Trump, know for sure what he believes and what he doesn't believe. You believe that he knows it's a lie, and that's fine. It's obviously a possibility. But it's also very possible that my POV is the correct version, ie that he's extremely naïve and believes what he wants to believe.
Some people can repeat a lie so often that after a period of time, they honestly believe it to be the truth. I was a victim of that phenomena myself. I "knew" that my ex-wife was cheating on me, but I had talked myself into believing that she wasn't. I feel that Trump honestly believes that a lot of the stuff that he makes up is the truth.
idhawkman wrote:Here's a truth you won't hear other places. All 5 whistle blowers during the Obama Administration were fired. I guess the media and dems didn't care too much about protecting those folks.
Hawktawk wrote:Hes stupid, dense, mentally in decline but not naive IMO. He knows right from wrong, he knows what he's doing, he does it all deliberately. His lies regarding his scandals are further evidence of knowledge of and attempts to conceal guilt.
Hawktawk wrote:...its one thing to lie to yourself about everything being alright and lying to the world to conceal wrongdoing by yourself or a foreign leader. It's fair enough to say nobody knows what he really believes. I just see the clues and come to my conclusion....Trump has made 12 THOUSAND false statements as president. That's beyond naivete. That's a disorder.
Hawktawk wrote:https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/weld-files-to-run-in-gop-presidential-primary-in-new-hampshire/ar-BBWHTRw
Heres a guy I could vote for. Id prefer him to Pence other than that would mean the orange baboon was in his cage where he belongs.
Of course Weld has no chance nationally because so many republican state party hacks are cancelling primaries. But what about NH? Polls showed him at 7% and Trump at 86% among NH voters but that was July. A lot has changed. By the time votes are cast in a couple of months I can't see Trump gaining any traction in the meantime while being impeached and tweeting a few dozen times a day. I saw a poll quite a while back before this most recent controversy that said as many as 30% of NH voters wouldn't object to a second choice on the republican ballot. I know, Weld and I are like Don Quixote tilting at windmills but WTF, one can always dream.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I might vote for Buttgieg. I don't know. He seems like a reasonable Democrat with some energy and sense.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I'm ok with a single payer system. The facts don't support that our increased expenditures are providing us with improved health outcomes. The only arguments against are fear-mongering theoreticals like funding of future medicine, most of which we don't even need or use as well as there being near zero proof that the insane profits somehow pay for future medicines. I think a good single-payer system decoupled from our jobs could be good for the future as a whole. The medical insurance industry fighting Trump to stop him from releasing pricing information is more proof they are engaging in underhanded practices to price the consumer out of the medical market. They don't want their insane pricing to be visible to the public.
Medicine in America is out of a control and a detriment to the people who lack a high end plan, which is probably 50% or more of Americans.
Hawktawk wrote:I think Buttegig is tacking to the center to steal some of Bidens supporters and at least its working in Iowa with some polls showing him in first there.Regardless when Nancy Pelosi has made it clear she's not a fan of the lunatic fringe left wing blow everything up with our medical system crowd it just aint gonna happen with stuff like Medicare for all. At least not right now but it sure as hell will be a Trump talking point assuming he hasn't been impeached and removed, choked on a cheeseburger or whatever.
I've said of mayor Pete he looks and acts presidential, intelligent, thoughtful . I still rather doubt America is ready for a gay married couple in the White house. Id definitely support him at this time minus some miraculous event giving me a republican choice other than the orange baboon but I'm guessing any evangelicals looking to escape the crazy train of Trump will never vote for him. Never mind they are OK with the POTUS grabbing women by the genitals and bragging about it, paying off the porn stars and playboy bunnies he was bonking while his trophy wife was home with his son, mass corruption etc. The only thing that upsets them is when he curses using the lord's name in vain. But a gay man with ten times the brain power and class of their hero? No way.
The evangelical movement is right with the Trump party, in the toilet enjoying their last hurrah because there's a time coming soon when they may well be a permanent minority.
RiverDog wrote:Agreed about Buttigieg and the country not being quite ready for a gay POTUS. Maybe in another cycle or two. The other problem with him is that having only been a mayor of a mid sized city, he hasn't ran a major campaign or had to appeal to a diverse group of voters like the others have.
The problem regarding the possibility of socialized medicine is that the Democratic Party is on a definite move to the left, especially as it relates to health care. Pelosi doesn't have that much power. If the libs win enough elections, they can boot her out of the Speakership. Combine that with a Dem POTUS, a strong likelihood of a Dem Senate as the R's will be at a mathematical disadvantage in 2020, and there's a very real possibility that we could see some sort of socialized medicine by 2022.
The evangelical movement is going the way that union influence has since the 1960's. Fewer and fewer people are going to church, and fewer and fewer people are identifying themselves with any religion.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Union movement will see a resurgence if medical, student loans, and wage levels don't move in the right direction. The level of stupid management on an institutional and individual level in those areas is hard to imagine. It's like watching the National Debt which is the Titanic (U.S.A.) heading towards the iceberg (The National Debt) except we know it's going to crash at some point and neither party will do anything about it because one party wants to keep taxes low and the other party wants to raise taxes and spending so the tax increases don't help pay down the debt they keep increasing. Neither group has any realistic fiscal sense.
RiverDog wrote:I'm not sure how student loans will affect union membership, but wages are obviously a factor in any union's campaign to attract new members. And I agree that if insurance premiums continue to rise, as they obviously will, it could put more pressure on employees to join a union. But that doesn't outweigh the disadvantages that unions have in today's world.
There's enough government protections that were not available in the 40's and 50's that have compromised the need for a union, and companies are a lot more afraid of federal and state governments than they are a union. If a union rep walks into the plant, the highest manager that will take notice will be HR. But if a OSHA or USDA inspector walks in, everybody's phone starts ringing. Indeed, most union members are government workers, ie police unions, teachers, et al. Union membership in the private sector has been in a free fall for decades.
The other factor is the employment level. With unemployment at historic lows, it's a buyer's market for prospective employees, and less of a need to join a union to advance their cause. Unions are going to have to re-define themselves if they want to remain relevant in the 21st century.
The point I was making was less about the effectiveness of unions to prosecute employee grievances than the political power they have lost. Unions will never again represent anywhere close to the percentage of the workforce that they did in the middle of the 20th century, and even if they did, their members will have a much stronger voice in how their dues are spent and which political parties and candidates they support. No more smoke filled union halls with their goons patrolling the audience looking for members that aren't "good 'ole boys". As a result, they do not have the large blocks of voters that politicians drooled over. I see a similar trend with the religious right.
Aseahawkfan wrote:So you would prefer government management of labor rather than unions? That will be what happens if people don't go to unions. They will just vote a federal and state government "union" equivalent. I'm not sure that is preferable.
RiverDog wrote:Government "management" of labor? That's not a good choice of terms as the government doesn't "manage" any part of business or labor. What they have done is pass legislation that regulates what companies can and can't do in the work place, such as safety regulations, minimum wage, discriminatory practices, rules regarding medical leaves, etc, and provided agencies that enforce compliance with those regulations. It's an area that used to be the domain of unions.
As far as who I trust more, I can't give you a fair answer as I've seen good and bad in both organizations. I've dealt with some really good business agents ("union reps") and what I felt was competent, fair state and federal inspectors and arbitrators (USDA, DOT, L&I, etc). My point wasn't so much as who can you trust as it is who has the larger authority. Unions authority is very limited as the can affect just one aspect of company operations, ie labor. The government can literally shut down a company and has scores of agencies at their disposal, from the IRS to the EPA to the SEC. That's why my managers were much more sensitive to any government agency than they ever were with a union.
The problem I've seen is that in general, most employees are unaware that they can file complaints against their employer via many of these federal and state agencies because it's not advertised beyond the required posting of notices.
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