kalibane wrote:http://presnapreads.com/2014/04/02/patrick-peterson-the-numbers-the-tape-the-verdict-2014/#more-1927
http://presnapreads.com/2014/02/19/rich ... #more-1812
https://www.profootballfocus.com/blog/2 ... ting-paid/
Patrick Peterson is fond of saying "the tape don't lie". Well guess that didn't work out how he expected. Two seperate highly detailed analysis of the 2013 season regarding corners. The pre snap reads pieces are really impressive as they chart every single play. Sherman would appear to be the clear victor in both comparisons (Well the pro football focus article just flat out says it). It basically echos what has been said. Peterson has superior athleticism but Sherman is just a better player right now.
I'd also like to call particular attention to one stat in Sherman's presnap reads analysis for the benefit of our resident niner fan. Sherman had a 97% success rate covering sideline routes over the entire season. Yeah I'm not letting this go until you just admit it was a bad decision to throw that ball.
HumanCockroach wrote:Yep, it is truly baffling to me to hear guys like Peterson, or Deangelo Hall (yeah Deangelo Hall lmfao) equate them 'following' receivers to being a 'lock down' corner. Damn near peed my pants when he was claiming that. Peterson is gifted, fluid, and a great athlete, but he is woefully inconsistent, and has had the SAME benefits that Sherman has had in regards to pass rush (IN fact he has a consistent pass rush the entire time he has been playing) and whether he or anyone else acknowledges it, he HAS been targetted more, had more opportunites to make plays, and has WOEFULLY lacked in the type of production that Sherman has, and IMHO that simply can't be dismissed out of hand because he moves around the field.
kalibane wrote:Oh my god. Future... I swear you always act offended when people talk disrespectfully to you but then you make statements like "Arizona didn't have Seattle's pass rush". Dude.. they had MORE sacks than Seattle. What are you talking about?
And wow Peterson had a 2.5% lower completion percentage against. Sherman Had 4 times the number INTs, 3 times fewer TDs given up, 30 points lower in passer rating against, fewer targets, fewer yards given up, fewer blown coverages, more passes defended, and is much better against the run on top of all of that. But yeah you're right that 2.5% difference in completion % against sure is convincing.
Sherman beats Peterson on every level over the past two years (including completion % against). The only thing Sherman detractors have to hold onto is "Well he doesn't follow the best WR around the field", which is specious logic to begin with, but is especially specious when you take into account the fact that when Sherman was allowed to follow a WR he completely shut that receiver down.
You're argument is paper... there is no real debate. It's all manufactured. Peterson is potential. Sherman is realized. And leave it to you to ignore the fact that Sherman defended against that route at a 97% clip over the entire year is neutralized by Trent Dilfer saying it was the proper read.![]()
P.S. Peterson started this on a radio interview... not Sherman. But then you were wrong about everything else so why stop now.
Futureite wrote:HumanCockroach wrote:Yep, it is truly baffling to me to hear guys like Peterson, or Deangelo Hall (yeah Deangelo Hall lmfao) equate them 'following' receivers to being a 'lock down' corner. Damn near peed my pants when he was claiming that. Peterson is gifted, fluid, and a great athlete, but he is woefully inconsistent, and has had the SAME benefits that Sherman has had in regards to pass rush (IN fact he has a consistent pass rush the entire time he has been playing) and whether he or anyone else acknowledges it, he HAS been targetted more, had more opportunites to make plays, and has WOEFULLY lacked in the type of production that Sherman has, and IMHO that simply can't be dismissed out of hand because he moves around the field.
Cards didn't have Seattle's pass rush. That benefit is almost unquantifiable. And opposing QBs had a lower compl % when throwing at PP than they did v Sherman. Sherman posted thst stat himself. There is plenty of room for debate. Just remember who started the debate first. #25, per usual.
HumanCockroach wrote:Futureite wrote:HumanCockroach wrote:Yep, it is truly baffling to me to hear guys like Peterson, or Deangelo Hall (yeah Deangelo Hall lmfao) equate them 'following' receivers to being a 'lock down' corner. Damn near peed my pants when he was claiming that. Peterson is gifted, fluid, and a great athlete, but he is woefully inconsistent, and has had the SAME benefits that Sherman has had in regards to pass rush (IN fact he has a consistent pass rush the entire time he has been playing) and whether he or anyone else acknowledges it, he HAS been targetted more, had more opportunites to make plays, and has WOEFULLY lacked in the type of production that Sherman has, and IMHO that simply can't be dismissed out of hand because he moves around the field.
Cards didn't have Seattle's pass rush. That benefit is almost unquantifiable. And opposing QBs had a lower compl % when throwing at PP than they did v Sherman. Sherman posted thst stat himself. There is plenty of room for debate. Just remember who started the debate first. #25, per usual.
Ah, you're right they didn't have Seattle's pass rush LAST season, the first two, they decimated Seattle's pass rush ( or did you think Seattle had Avril, Bennett and Irvin the entire time?)
and you're right Peterson allows 2.5% less completion percentage against, course you once again chose to FIND the one area Peterson "beat" Sherman, no mention of the 30% lower QB rating, or the HUGE difference in TD to INT or any of the other stats. Simply put, Peterson ISN'T a shut down corner, now a corner that holds ALL QB's to an average QB rating of under 50? Hmm.
http://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2014/5/22/5 ... man-tweets
kalibane wrote:It's not just interceptions.. it's every statistical category, generic and advance metrics Sherman beats Peterson across the board because Peterson is inconsistant.
Your analogy sucks. Reggie Miller is a HOF player and the best pure shooter of his generation, nor is there any metric that shows that Michael Jordan stops 97% of three point attempts. Kaep and Crabtree haven't even made the pro-bowl much less been the best of their generation at something in the NFL.
Not to mention the fact that by the time Miller played Jordan in the Eastern Coference Finals Jordan had fully embraced the matador style of defense (that's not a compliment). Hell Jordan wasn't even playing defense on Reggie unless there was a switch. There was no way Jordan was chasing him around through all those screens. Ron Harper drew that assignment. In other words, don't use analogies from other sports when you don't even understand the matchups or how those teams played.
As I said from the begining... Sherman 1st team all pro corner. Film study shows you that Sherman successfully covers that pattern 97% of the time over the course of the season. Crabtree was well covered on the play. There was no place to put the ball. I don't even care about the interception, that just made it worse. It was a dumb play all around. Neither Kaep nor Crabtree has done anything whatsoever to merit that kind of confidence. We're not talking about Calving Johnson or Randy Moss. We're talking about Michael Crabtree coming off an Achilles injury against a guy you ignored for the entire game on a pattern that he has successfully defended 97% of the time. And no it was NOT the correct read because. If Kaep had gone through his progressions he had a WR wide open on the other side of the field on an underneath pattern. THAT was the correct read.
HumanCockroach wrote:I'll take the DB that gives up 4 Receptions for 24 yards and no touchdowns with a pick, over a guy that gives up 2 For 85 and a TD in each and every game without batting an eye. When using completion percentage ( as you so emphatically tried to argue for Deion) targets matter. QB's don't throw Shermans way, why? they do Peterson's, why?
Some film study could help you figure out those really crucial questions. Maybe you should give it a whirl.
kalibane wrote:It's not just interceptions.. it's every statistical category, generic and advance metrics Sherman beats Peterson across the board because Peterson is inconsistant.
Your analogy sucks. Reggie Miller is a HOF player and the best pure shooter of his generation, nor is there any metric that shows that Michael Jordan stops 97% of three point attempts. Kaep and Crabtree haven't even made the pro-bowl much less been the best of their generation at something in the NFL.
Not to mention the fact that by the time Miller played Jordan in the Eastern Coference Finals Jordan had fully embraced the matador style of defense (that's not a compliment). Hell Jordan wasn't even playing defense on Reggie unless there was a switch. There was no way Jordan was chasing him around through all those screens. Ron Harper drew that assignment. In other words, don't use analogies from other sports when you don't even understand the matchups or how those teams played.
As I said from the begining... Sherman 1st team all pro corner. Film study shows you that Sherman successfully covers that pattern 97% of the time over the course of the season. Crabtree was well covered on the play. There was no place to put the ball. I don't even care about the interception, that just made it worse. It was a dumb play all around. Neither Kaep nor Crabtree has done anything whatsoever to merit that kind of confidence. We're not talking about Calving Johnson or Randy Moss. We're talking about Michael Crabtree coming off an Achilles injury against a guy you ignored for the entire game on a pattern that he has successfully defended 97% of the time. And no it was NOT the correct read because. If Kaep had gone through his progressions he had a WR wide open on the other side of the field on an underneath pattern. THAT was the correct read.
Hell Jordan wasn't even playing defense on Reggie unless there was a switch. There was no way Jordan was chasing him around through all those screens. Ron Harper drew that assignment.
Futureite wrote:HumanCockroach wrote:I'll take the DB that gives up 4 Receptions for 24 yards and no touchdowns with a pick, over a guy that gives up 2 For 85 and a TD in each and every game without batting an eye. When using completion percentage ( as you so emphatically tried to argue for Deion) targets matter. QB's don't throw Shermans way, why? they do Peterson's, why?
Some film study could help you figure out those really crucial questions. Maybe you should give it a whirl.
Why? Could be any number of reasons. Could be that the other teams are throwing at Peterson mire because he is covering the best WR on that team. Or one could go with Kalibane's theory and believe all teams hide their best receiver when he is playing the opposing team's best corner. They pull out their "metric" sheet, the HC and OC look at each other nervously and say "oh no. Not him. We are not throwing his way. Especially with our WRs". There's a championchip mentality for you right there.
So that would be one reason - that the #1 receiver on any team receives most of the targets by design, and week in and week out Peterson covers that guy.
I am bowing out on this debate. I have expressed that Sherman is a top level corner but I do not believe he is good as some of you believe. I think Peterson did a great job of explaining why. We've argued this before and thrown insults each other's way. I am done with it.
kalibane wrote:See here is the difference between you and I Future. You want to argue technicalities. I'm interested in arguing the truth of the matter. You seem to think if you can post one thing that can't be refuted it means you're correct, instead of taking the totality of the situation. You think because Michael Jordan was technically the closest defender when Reggie Miller shot the ball, that he was defending Miller like it was a one on one situation. You also draw a false parallel where Michael Jordan guarding someone is equivalent to Richard Sherman covering someone.
The truth of the matter is Michael Jordan was not even close to a good defender 1998. The truth of the matter is that Jordan doesn't defend Reggie. If Jordan had the assignment to defend Miller, Miller would have averaged like 40 points a per game. Why? Because the Pacers offense was built around Reggie Miller running through a series of screens to get open for catch and shoot opportunities. 1. Using Jordan's energy to fight through two and three screens on every defensive possession is a complete waste of energy that he needs to use on the offensive end. 2. Even if they did decide to give Jordan that assignment he couldn't stay with Miller and Miller would just get open jumper after open jumper which for him is like giving him a layup.
When you make statements like this it shows how much you really just don't actually pay attention. You think if you name drop Jordan that just because he's generally regarded as the best player in NBA history that it covers all arguments counting on his reputation to carry the day. Meanwhile, anyone who actually knows about basketball understands that Jordan was a minus defender at the end of his career and thus even if someone did beat him one on one it's really not much of an accomplishment (witness when Allen Iverson absolutely embarassed him with a crossover). And that's not even addressing the fact that he wasn't even really defending him, he was late on his rotation for the switch which doesn't constitute playing good defense for any coach I ever played for. Reggie was already elevating for the shot before Jordan got there.
You think that a technical difference in that Patrick Peterson has a 2.5% lower completion percentage against (a negligible number that equals approximately 4 receptions over the course of a season) balances out the avalanche of stats where Sherman has a large advantage at.
Should they have tested Maxwell, or the middle? Absolutely, they should have tested anywhere on the field except Sherman on that Pattern. Film study shows you have a 3% chance of completing that pass. It was dumb. The smart thing was to continue through the progression hit the underneath target who again was wide open and use one of your two timeouts. Throwing that ball was giving the game away.
Who am I to determine whether Kaep or Crabtree merit having the same confidence that Reggie Miller would have in a similar situation? I'm a guy with two eyes in a world where Reggie Miller was the best pure shooter of his generation (possibly the best pure shooter in NBA history) and in a world where Crabtree and Kaepernick have yet to make the pro-bowl rendering the comparison completely ridiculous. If you insist on a basketball comparison, Kaepernick making that throw to Crabtree against Sherman would be like if instead of drawing up a play for Reggie Miller, the Pacers ran a play for Jalen Rose who was locked up one on one with Scottie Pippen and then he forced up a well defended shot instead of passing it to Chris Mullin who was open on the wing.
You have not come close to addressing anything. You pluck strawmen (like the Miller shot) instead of addressing the fact that two EXTREMELY detailed analysis of cornerback play show that Sherman has clearly (not arguably but clearly) been the better corner. Instead you ignore all that analysis... not just stats, not just talking head blather, but film analysis where they broke down every play (including plays where Sherman and Peterson weren't targeted) and instead quote a stat that Peterson is 2.5% better in completion percentage... then turn around and complain about all of Sherman's stats.
As for what I do for a living, it wouldn't matter if I was a garbage man, you're still wrong on this. It's irrelevant (though I did make reference to it in other threads) and I'm not going to tell you because it amuses me to see you try to make it a part of every thread where we disagree.
HumanCockroach wrote:"I am wrong a lot and freely admit it. "
LOL. When?
HumanCockroach wrote:When did hedging what one says, equate to admitting they are wrong? I must have missed a memo or something.
HumanCockroach wrote:When did hedging what one says, equate to admitting they are wrong? I must have missed a memo or something.
Futureite wrote:HumanCockroach wrote:When did hedging what one says, equate to admitting they are wrong? I must have missed a memo or something.HumanCockroach wrote:When did hedging what one says, equate to admitting they are wrong? I must have missed a memo or something.
You're right. I misstated the first part of my response. I am wrong.
HumanCockroach wrote:"I am wrong a lot and freely admit it. "
LOL. When?
(and just out of curiosity, anyone know why changing the links color from the default cause the link to no longer work? Seems odd to me, but what do I know?)
HumanCockroach wrote:Just for you and Bane Future ( relax, take it with a grain of salt, all in good fun..... or is it?????? )
http://unitedhawknation.com/mobile/watc ... =6a47553ea
( and just out of curiosity, anyone know why changing the links color from the default cause the link to no longer work? Seems odd to me, but what do I know?)
burrrton wrote:I've said it before, but what I find most amazing about that play, and I *think* it's something Kaep does a *lot*, is this (well, two things):
1. Kaep completely stared down Crabtree.
2. Crabtree was, at no point in that route, *anything* but completely and utterly covered. He couldn't have been more blanketed with Sherm pinning him under four of your Grandma's quilts.
Even ignoring all the talk about Sherm's success rate, that pass never had a chance in h3ll of being completed unless Kaep assumed Sherm was going to trip at some point.
I don't know what argument Dilfer and Herm made about it being the "right read", but I've been watching the NFL for 36 odd years (for whatever that's worth) and I don't see how that wasn't a stupid throw to make.
[edit- and now that I watch the rest of the vid, I see that was the entire argument of the video- ignore me]
He will drop back with his head looking to one side of the field and throw - because that was his read and it was open. There was no reason for him to intentionally look away from Crab.
Was Boldin open on the TD over Thomas?
Hawk Sista wrote:You are forgetting it wasn't 3rd down yet, let alone 4th. Had it been, I could have seen making the "try."
One of the funniest quotes of the year last year was Kaep justifying that throw w/ if, if, if. To quote Charles Barkley - "if I didn't eat so much, I wouldn't be fat." And resting your points on cranked up Dilfer (sorry, I use to love Trent as a former bulldog and analyst, but something is up w/ him... He's hopped-up and practically screaming his analysis at the TV these days. He's had to retread his tires more than once of late (see pre-game analysis of the Hawks vs. the Saints #asssswhuppin)) is as credible to me as adding in Timmy, I never really made it in the league and I don't like the Hawks Hasslebeck.
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