I have a really hard time believing your D folded
Wise, but how did you get from "So-and-so was open" to "Seattle's defense folded"??
I have a really hard time believing your D folded
kalibane wrote:A play doesn't get any more black and white than that. Go watch the replay again and then tell me at which point in the pattern was Crabtree open? It wasn't like Sherman got beat off the line and then made a spectacular play to recover. There was ZERO seperation. Sherman had textbook position making the back shoulder throw out of the question and has a height, reach and vertical leap advantage over Crabtree. There was not a single place you could put that ball at any trajectory where Sherman didn't have an advantage in getting to the ball. And the only reason that Sherman had to make an acrobatic play was because Crabtree turned Sherman with a push off on his inside shoulder. In fact Kaepernick tried that same kind of pass to Vernon Davis in week 2, the ball came in at a higher trajectory and Sherman picked it. That's part of why this was such a bad decision. Kaep didn't learn from his own mistakes. Davis is a better receiver than Crabtree, and unlike Crabtree has an actual physical advantage over Sherman but Kaep still couldn't get the throw there.
Kaepernick could try to make that throw a 100 times and the only way he actually completes it is if Sherman falls down. You keep talking about the trajectory, the trajectory... but you keep forgetting that in order for the ball to come in higher, Kaep has to put more air under the ball which just gives more time for Sherman to get in position in a spot on the field where Crabtree is about to be out of Real Estate.
There was no upside to throwing that pass. You're betting on a fluke occurance. As Peterson said... Film don't lie. Crabtree was completely blanketed.
Yes Seattle has a great redzone defense. But four tries from inside the 10 has exponentially higher odds of success than making that throw. Patton was the correct read.
Your whole argument has been that teams should have confidence in making plays no matter how great the opposition is. But then you turn around and say that you would rather have that throw than 4 tries from inside the 10 because Seattle's red zone defense is good. What happened to that confidence? All your stuff circles back on itself.
kalibane wrote:It's not about talking junk about how much better our guy is to yours (although our guy is better than yours in this case). It's about the fact that there was no place to put the ball.
You want to know the biggest difference between Aaron Rodgers and Kaep in that play? Aaron Rodgers never throws that ball. 1. There was no place to throw him open. Sherman had perfect position, that's a play people will show kids to coach them how to play Corner. Sherman is also taller, longer, more athletic and faster than Crabtree. If he thinks that Crabtree is going to accelerate and create seperation by the time the ball arrives. He doesn't know his own player. This is a 20 yard pass, not a 60 yard bomb there is no room to create seperation well aside from the push off (not that it would have mattered). 2. One of the biggest knocks on Kaepernick is he lacks anticipation on his throws. He needs to see where is receiver is to throw it to him. Now you want me to believe he's throwing guys open all of a sudden?
Davis also is a superior receiver to Crabtree. Crabtree just has superior hands. Davis is a better jump ball guy though, better at creating separation and a better big play threat. And that INT was not Davis fault. He is running his route... his momentum is taking him away from the ball... it's not underthrown... the ball is supposed to come over the top and if Sherman wasn't there it would have dropped right in his hands in stride. The problem is Sherman was there. The repeated problem that you fail to see is Kaepernick thinks his arm is so good he can force balls into coverage. Sometimes it works out like the TD to Boldin but it also ends in disaster. And that pass to Boldin was amazing but if you think it was a smart decision to leave your feet to rifle that ball you're wrong. Luckily Earl Thomas is 5'10 and not 6'0" or taller or that would have been an incompletion or a pick too.
HumanCockroach wrote:I think you simply refuse to admit that throwing at a guy that continues to prove that route isn't going to work ( did you see ANY one last year beat Sherman on that route? Nope, at least not in 2013, and there were a HELL of a lot better receivers, and QB's trying unsuccessfully to do it). You talk about how you can "admit you're wrong " Future, and yet when it is staring you in the face, you go with the "it's all subjective" or it's a matter of perspective, or some other squirm out response. Thing is, you seldom if EVER ( I certainly don't remember it) just come out and say "I'm wrong" or even just agree with something simple ( like Kap shouldn't have been trying that route, whether that's on Kap or the OC is certainly debatable not the coverage or the leagues success against Sherman with those routes).
Futureite wrote:HumanCockroach wrote:I think you simply refuse to admit that throwing at a guy that continues to prove that route isn't going to work ( did you see ANY one last year beat Sherman on that route? Nope, at least not in 2013, and there were a HELL of a lot better receivers, and QB's trying unsuccessfully to do it). You talk about how you can "admit you're wrong " Future, and yet when it is staring you in the face, you go with the "it's all subjective" or it's a matter of perspective, or some other squirm out response. Thing is, you seldom if EVER ( I certainly don't remember it) just come out and say "I'm wrong" or even just agree with something simple ( like Kap shouldn't have been trying that route, whether that's on Kap or the OC is certainly debatable not the coverage or the leagues success against Sherman with those routes).
I'll say it one more time: former professional athletes have stated it was the right read. Mark Schlereth said if it's thrown right it's a TD. So did Tim Hasselbeck. Should I just keep retyping that? Is it ever going to sink in, that otber peoole do not see the play as you do? You are talking about a completely subjective play that knowledgeable people that played the game are explaining to you. You are just seeing and hearing what you want. Don't blame that on me.
burrrton wrote:Well, there's a difference between a prediction and hindsight analysis.
It's bizarre, though, and should be disconcerting to Future (and all Niner fans), because if that *was* the "correct read", they better throw that play in the crapper, because it was a pretty typical look, and the play didn't have a snowball's chance in h3ll of being anything but bad for SF, a wasted down *at best*.
Honestly: if you're a QB and you see man coverage from an all-pro and he COMPLETELY AND UTTERLY BLANKETS your receiver, and your "correct read" is to go that way anyway, you should punch your offensive coordinator in the mouth.
But hey, aren't I the one that is suppose to be mad about how this ended!
burrrton wrote:But hey, aren't I the one that is suppose to be mad about how this ended!
Um, I suppose?
Anyway, point is if the "right read" on that play is to completely ignore how blanketed the receiver is and trust that you can put the ball into the minuscule window within which perfect coverage from an All-Pro corner doesn't matter, I'm not sure that's a play *I'd* want my team's OC keeping in there.
But hey, what do I know. Maybe that's indeed a play that renders coverage meaningless.
Don't get me wrong, though- I sure don't mind if your QB is told to ignore coverage. Seems to be working in our favor to this point.
Do QBs only throw that route when their guy had a step or two? Of course not.
The entire premise of this on the Seattle end though boils down to the assertion that it was dumb because it was Sherman, and Crab is incapable of winning that battle.
I still believe Crab can win that battlw.
burrrton wrote:Do QBs only throw that route when their guy had a step or two? Of course not.
Huh? Unless it's a Hail Mary, of course their guy either has to have a step or two, or the throw goes 'back shoulder', or there is *some* expectation that he'll win positioning for the ball in some fashion. I'm not sure what that expectation could have been there.
Or do you think that play is the NFL equivalent of Mr. Miyagi's "Crane Move", indefensible when done correctly?The entire premise of this on the Seattle end though boils down to the assertion that it was dumb because it was Sherman, and Crab is incapable of winning that battle.
Well, not from me. *My* point is that it was completely defensed. Honestly- with no exaggeration, it couldn't have been covered any more thoroughly.
If it was 3rd-and-goal from the 1, and we stacked all 11 defenders over the center, would you still say it was the right play to try an off-guard dive anyway?I still believe Crab can win that battlw.
So you don't believe coverage matters on Crab.
How about if he's double- or triple-teamed? Can he *still* win that battle regardless of anyone else, ala Mr. Miyagi's move?
You see it constantly every week when a QB throws that routes or others 'especially' in clutch situations where YES, the guy is fully covered.
I have zero problems with iur guys believing in Crab and do not buy into the PNW theory that we're suppose to bow down to Sherman and never test him.
Futureite wrote:burrrton wrote:Well, there's a difference between a prediction and hindsight analysis.
It's bizarre, though, and should be disconcerting to Future (and all Niner fans), because if that *was* the "correct read", they better throw that play in the crapper, because it was a pretty typical look, and the play didn't have a snowball's chance in h3ll of being anything but bad for SF, a wasted down *at best*.
Honestly: if you're a QB and you see man coverage from an all-pro and he COMPLETELY AND UTTERLY BLANKETS your receiver, and your "correct read" is to go that way anyway, you should punch your offensive coordinator in the mouth.
I watched the play 10 times the other night after finding Youtube's mobile site and I think it could be a TD if thrown correctly. Sherman really contorted his body to get a hand on it. Regardless of whether that was a result of Crab pushing or not, PI was not called and Sherman was fully outstretched to get a hand on the ball. At absolute worst it's an incompletion if thrown "2 ft higher" as JH, Kap and so many analysts have stated.
I am taking nothing away from Sherman or the win. I just pointing out that there are clearly differing opinions on this from knowledgeable people. Like I said, I complained all yr long that we never took shots into the endzone from inside the 20. I said that was the reason we struggled so hard inside the 10 to score TDs. So I am not going to complain about them doing exactly what I begged for them to do all yr.
But hey, aren't I the one that is suppose to be mad about how this ended!
Futureite wrote:burrrton wrote:Well, there's a difference between a prediction and hindsight analysis.
It's bizarre, though, and should be disconcerting to Future (and all Niner fans), because if that *was* the "correct read", they better throw that play in the crapper, because it was a pretty typical look, and the play didn't have a snowball's chance in h3ll of being anything but bad for SF, a wasted down *at best*.
Honestly: if you're a QB and you see man coverage from an all-pro and he COMPLETELY AND UTTERLY BLANKETS your receiver, and your "correct read" is to go that way anyway, you should punch your offensive coordinator in the mouth.
I watched the play 10 times the other night after finding Youtube's mobile site and I think it could be a TD if thrown correctly. Sherman really contorted his body to get a hand on it. Regardless of whether that was a result of Crab pushing or not, PI was not called and Sherman was fully outstretched to get a hand on the ball. At absolute worst it's an incompletion if thrown "2 ft higher" as JH, Kap and so many analysts have stated.
I am taking nothing away from Sherman or the win. I just pointing out that there are clearly differing opinions on this from knowledgeable people. Like I said, I complained all yr long that we never took shots into the endzone from inside the 20. I said that was the reason we struggled so hard inside the 10 to score TDs. So I am not going to complain about them doing exactly what I begged for them to do all yr.
But hey, aren't I the one that is suppose to be mad about how this ended!
RiverDog wrote:Futureite wrote:burrrton wrote:Well, there's a difference between a prediction and hindsight analysis.
It's bizarre, though, and should be disconcerting to Future (and all Niner fans), because if that *was* the "correct read", they better throw that play in the crapper, because it was a pretty typical look, and the play didn't have a snowball's chance in h3ll of being anything but bad for SF, a wasted down *at best*.
Honestly: if you're a QB and you see man coverage from an all-pro and he COMPLETELY AND UTTERLY BLANKETS your receiver, and your "correct read" is to go that way anyway, you should punch your offensive coordinator in the mouth.
I watched the play 10 times the other night after finding Youtube's mobile site and I think it could be a TD if thrown correctly. Sherman really contorted his body to get a hand on it. Regardless of whether that was a result of Crab pushing or not, PI was not called and Sherman was fully outstretched to get a hand on the ball. At absolute worst it's an incompletion if thrown "2 ft higher" as JH, Kap and so many analysts have stated.
I am taking nothing away from Sherman or the win. I just pointing out that there are clearly differing opinions on this from knowledgeable people. Like I said, I complained all yr long that we never took shots into the endzone from inside the 20. I said that was the reason we struggled so hard inside the 10 to score TDs. So I am not going to complain about them doing exactly what I begged for them to do all yr.
But hey, aren't I the one that is suppose to be mad about how this ended!
Take a look at where Crabtree was in relation to the sideline/end line. Another few feet and he's right on the out of bounds marker. Throwing it a few feet further would have led him out of bounds. I agree that the ball was slightly under thrown as the "perfect" pass would have been to put it to where only his receiver had a chance making a play on it and more than likely an incompletion rather than an interception, especially considering the down/distance/game clock, but assuming that if he did put it out there a little further would have resulted in a TD is ludicrous.
Teams will challenge corners on that play when their receiver has a height advantage. If that would have been Dez Bryant or Calvin Johnson, I would have been more worried.
Futureite wrote:You are probably right. We will never know because the ball was picked. Lost in the discussion is the fact that Sherman himself did not pick it - he just made a very good play and tipped the ball. Considering that, it just didn't seem like the meltdown people make it to be. Lol I think I am done on this one too!
Did Sherman ever claim he tipped it to Smith?
RiverDog wrote:I'm not saying Sherman didn't direct the tip to Smith. It just seems to me that his concentration would almost have to have be exclusively focused on his man and timing his jump to such an extent that he would have mentally screened out everything else. I can see there being an awareness that one of his teammates was trailing the play and that it would be a heady move to slap it towards the field of play, but actually directing it to Smith?
Did Sherman ever claim he directed the tip to Smith?
HumanCockroach wrote:RiverDog wrote:I'm not saying Sherman didn't direct the tip to Smith. It just seems to me that his concentration would almost have to have be exclusively focused on his man and timing his jump to such an extent that he would have mentally screened out everything else. I can see there being an awareness that one of his teammates was trailing the play and that it would be a heady move to slap it towards the field of play, but actually directing it to Smith?
Did Sherman ever claim he directed the tip to Smith?
Once the ball is in the air, your man, becomes pretty forgotten, as you are at that point playing the ball not the man. Also, on a play such as that, any DB worth his salt ( and I would say ANY DB getting to the NFL is worth his salt) KNOWS where each player is supposed to be. It really isn't as difficult as you might think. I am 100% positive Sherman knew he had a flat coverage man, moving to the ball. It's the way it is practiced, and taught.
Eaglehawk wrote:Yeah, certainly not tipped to Smith, though he knew the d scheme. But he knew someone would be there from our side no doubt.
Sometimes it doesn't even look like a tip. But I'll give him the tip for posterity's sake.
RiverDog wrote:HumanCockroach wrote:RiverDog wrote:I'm not saying Sherman didn't direct the tip to Smith. It just seems to me that his concentration would almost have to have be exclusively focused on his man and timing his jump to such an extent that he would have mentally screened out everything else. I can see there being an awareness that one of his teammates was trailing the play and that it would be a heady move to slap it towards the field of play, but actually directing it to Smith?
Did Sherman ever claim he directed the tip to Smith?
Once the ball is in the air, your man, becomes pretty forgotten, as you are at that point playing the ball not the man. Also, on a play such as that, any DB worth his salt ( and I would say ANY DB getting to the NFL is worth his salt) KNOWS where each player is supposed to be. It really isn't as difficult as you might think. I am 100% positive Sherman knew he had a flat coverage man, moving to the ball. It's the way it is practiced, and taught.
I suppose we're saying the same thing about the tipped pass. IMO Sherman didn't see Smith and decide to tip it right at him. He knew that he had a teammate trailing and that no other Niner was around, so he tips it in the air and back towards the way it came rather than swatting it down or out of bounds like one might do if it were 4th down.
No matter how we slice it, it was a great play, one that will go down in Seahawk history.
RiverDog wrote:Eaglehawk wrote:Yeah, certainly not tipped to Smith, though he knew the d scheme. But he knew someone would be there from our side no doubt.
Sometimes it doesn't even look like a tip. But I'll give him the tip for posterity's sake.
Who was it that called it the "Immaculate Deflection"? Someone with a sense of history.
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