c_hawkbob wrote:I see a link to faux news and see that as about as biased a piece as it could possibly be. No thank you.
NorthHawk wrote:The Universal Income discussion is outside the box thinking.
We know the status quo isn't working that well, so maybe this could help.
It would end the welfare bureaucracy involved so who knows if it has any merit.
People think that legalizing drugs would create a nation of addicts, but look at the Portugal model. Their problems are now under control.
The point I'm making is things that don't look like they would be successful on the surface might be part of a greater solution so they shouldn't be discounted out of hand.
With an unemployment rate around 4%, I would argue that it's working pretty darn well. Anyone that wants to work, can work.
I don't know how you drew a relationship between this subject and legalization of drugs. They are completely different issues, unless you want to argue that by legalizing drugs and giving people the money to buy them is going to reduce crime.
You're not doing the recepient any favors by simply giving him money with no strings attached. All you're doing is giving him a reason not to work and making him a dependent of the government.
NorthHawk wrote:Employment rates and the economy is cyclical so in 2 years or so we will probably saying something quite different.
The relationship with the drugs example was simply about thinking outside of today's accepted norms. The idea has been around, but Portugal is one of the few if only country to actually take the step to try it.
A universal income would replace welfare and maybe food stamps. Some country somewhere will try it and we will see how it works out but we are going to have to consider how we are going to adapt to a society
where automation and AI makes larger inroads into the job market pushing traditional jobs aside.
NorthHawk wrote:We're nearing the end of the bull market and with interest rates rising, the end is nearer every day.
One thing that's a good indicator is the US Treasury Yield curves.
Basically long term yields (10 year) are normally higher than short term yields (2 year), but when they swap places, or invert, recessions usually occur.
This difference hit a low just recently and the trend is showing the spread is narrowing even more.
What that basically means is a recession might be just around the corner.
I think we all have a repulsion to giving people money as a matter of course and not for some type of productivity, but I'm open to see if it works in whatever country
has the guts to try it. It may be one of those things that works even though it seems to defy common sense.
idhawkman wrote:I do think there's massive abuse on those systems though. E.g. people selling their food stamps to shady corner stores for other things. I think that technology is at a point where we could more tightly control those systems to root out most if not all of the abuse of the system.
NorthHawk wrote:The Universal Income discussion is outside the box thinking.
We know the status quo isn't working that well, so maybe this could help.
It would end the welfare bureaucracy involved so who knows if it has any merit.
People think that legalizing drugs would create a nation of addicts, but look at the Portugal model. Their problems are now under control.
The point I'm making is things that don't look like they would be successful on the surface might be part of a greater solution so they shouldn't be discounted out of hand.
NorthHawk wrote:Employment rates and the economy is cyclical so in 2 years or so we will probably saying something quite different.
The relationship with the drugs example was simply about thinking outside of today's accepted norms. The idea has been around, but Portugal is one of the few if only country to actually take the step to try it.
A universal income would replace welfare and maybe food stamps. Some country somewhere will try it and we will see how it works out but we are going to have to consider how we are going to adapt to a society
where automation and AI makes larger inroads into the job market pushing traditional jobs aside.
NorthHawk wrote:We're nearing the end of the bull market and with interest rates rising, the end is nearer every day.
One thing that's a good indicator is the US Treasury Yield curves.
Basically long term yields (10 year) are normally higher than short term yields (2 year), but when they swap places, or invert, recessions usually occur.
This difference hit a low just recently and the trend is showing the spread is narrowing even more.
What that basically means is a recession might be just around the corner.
I think we all have a repulsion to giving people money as a matter of course and not for some type of productivity, but I'm open to see if it works in whatever country
has the guts to try it. It may be one of those things that works even though it seems to defy common sense.
c_hawkbob wrote:I see a link to faux news and see that as about as biased a piece as it could possibly be. No thank you.
How do you consider Portugal's problem solved? How exactly are you rating that? Some article? Is there any real data? And I don't want crime data as it's useless to legalize something then claim you reduced a particular type of crime. The extreme example being legalizing murder then claiming murder rates are down. It's pointless. What data do you have showing a real improvement from the legalization of drugs? And what structure? How exactly do you measure the success of drug legalization on society?
This is the problem with such changes. How do you measure their effectiveness?
Universal income is not thinking outside the box. It's mob tyranny and thievery looking to redistribute income without any kind of requirement. What do you mean not working? How do you become the most powerful economy and nation in the world and likely in history as not working? How exactly do you rate not working on a nation scale level? How do you rate the world economy collapsing because the "not working" nation's economy collapsed? Seems a lot of dominoes rely on us "not working." Sorry, that analysis doesn't hold water.
Our nation works very well. These smaller nations collapse with their socialist BS in a much worse fashion. Get that garbage out of here. People have to work and be productive or the nation produces nothing and accomplishes nothing.
RiverDog wrote:The guaranteed income proposal isn't new. People give money to panhandlers all the time. Do some research, find out how that money is spent.
I've read articles from people that run homeless shelters and food kitchens. Many are saying that if you give money to a panhandler, chances are that they're going to use that money to buy drugs and/or alcohol and are encouraging people to save their dollars and loose change and instead give it to charities that serve homeless shelters or provide meals for low income families. Some cities are erecting signage to this effect. One person even suggested that if you feel obligated to give directly to a panhandler to make a little baggie that contains some packaged food like Granola bars, trail mix, bottled water, toothpaste and toothbrush, sanitary wipes.
I feel much the same way with this guaranteed income proposal. Use the money to help assist outreach groups, churches, homeless shelters, etc, where you know that the money will be put to use helping people get out of their predicaments rather than the uncertainty of how that money will be spent, in many cases, used to support their current lifestyle. Or give them vouchers for renting an apartment, paying utility bills, tuition, etc. Anything but a no strings attached cash.
Like I said, though, I have an aversion to it, but am open minded enough to see if it works and if it does, maybe consider it.
NorthHawk wrote:That's my gut reaction to it, too, but I'm not averse to having some community try it and find out if it's just pie in the sky or has some merit.
One of the problems some people have is acknowledging the fact that there's nothing you can do about a certain percentage of the population that will keep them from choosing to abuse drugs/alcohol and choosing a lifestyle of living on the streets.
burrrton wrote:If you took every penny in the country and 'redistributed' it evenly to the population, in a couple years the same people would be rich and the same people would be broke.
The other problem with a proposed experiment like that is that j/b it may be successful on a very small scale in a specific community doesn't mean that it's going to be successful nation wide.
One of the problems some people have is acknowledging the fact that there's nothing you can do about a certain percentage of the population that will keep them from choosing to abuse drugs/alcohol and choosing a lifestyle of living on the streets. The goal should not be to end poverty and homelessness. The goal should be to give everyone an opportunity to live a normal life.
MackStrongIsMyHero wrote:Absolutely true, burrton. People who aren't good at managing money aren't going to get any better at it with more of it handed to them. I am much more in favor of welfare benefits that are spent on a specific purpose. Food and housing are the two big ones. And, we already supplement incomes with the EIC at tax time. I don't know what else they feel is needed.
c_hawkbob wrote:The most efficient and self supporting welfare system is the one run by the Mormon church. The church owns the land and it's welfare recipients that pick the crops, drive the trucks, work in the canneries mills and outlets and what have you. If you want welfare, you work for it by supplying the manpower to run the system.
Our government could, instead of requiring welfare recipient to work or go to school as is the new requirements, recipient to work or go to school or work within the welfare system itself.
c_hawkbob wrote:The most efficient and self supporting welfare system is the one run by the Mormon church. The church owns the land and it's welfare recipients that pick the crops, drive the trucks, work in the canneries mills and outlets and what have you. If you want welfare, you work for it by supplying the manpower to run the system.
Our government could, instead of requiring welfare recipient to work or go to school as is the new requirements, recipient to work or go to school or work within the welfare system itself.
NorthHawk wrote:Here's an opinion piece from an Historian.
It's interesting reading, if just to get some historical perspective.
https://www.cnn.com/2018/07/19/opinions ... index.html
Never before has a president sided with a foreign oligarch..
burrrton wrote:This reminds me of something I've read a few times that rings undoubtedly true:
If you took every penny in the country and 'redistributed' it evenly to the population, in a couple years the same people would be rich and the same people would be broke.
NorthHawk wrote:Look up Portugal's success in the opium issue.
They went from one of the worst countries in Europe for addictions and crime to one of the best.
Even the most ardent conservative in their country is surprised and pleased at the success.
Their crime is down (addicts are no longer wreaking havoc in society trying to find enough money to get their next fix).
Their medical system costs are down.
Some of the addicts are getting back into the work force.
Their justice costs are down.
Many have got off drugs because they come into contact with authorities who can point them to clinics.
Because it's treated as a medical and not a criminal issue, more addicts are seeking help.
That's outside the box thinking.
A definition from Cambridge Dictionary is "to think imaginatively using new ideas instead of traditional or expected ideas"
Mob tyranny? Please temper the hyperbole.
We already have welfare and other support systems. This replaces it.
Like I said, though, I have an aversion to it, but am open minded enough to see if it works and if it does, maybe consider it.
Are you implying that America is immune to recessions? Look at world history. No nation is immune.
There's a big one coming and it's sooner than many think and a lot of people will be in financial trouble.
Companies already are having problems refinancing and the business insiders are selling their stocks at a rate 8 times their purchases.
Sure and no one would have a job because it would destroy the wealth of the nation. Not to mention all the people that would find out they don't have a clue how to run a company or keep a phone network running or build computers or planes or the like.
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 14 guests