Trump's National Emergency

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Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Sat Feb 16, 2019 4:49 am

I don't know who Trump is listening to or if he's just doing things by the seat of his pants again, but even many conservatives are against him on this attempted end run of Congress. IMO it's a clear abuse of presidential power.

Actually there's been a lot of national emergencies declared, many that are still in effect. But this one differs drastically in that the POTUS is going to attempt to seize money that's already been allocated by Congress and to seize significant portions of private and tribal property. The national emergency most similar to this one, at least in my limited research, was when Harry Truman attempted to seize the steel industry when workers went on strike. But we were engaged in a war at that time, and even so, the Supreme Court still rebuked his attempt.

This is a huge political gamble for Trump, and even if he wins, he'll be setting a dangerous precedent that conservatives are going to hate in the years to come. A future Democrat POTUS could easily use the same logic Trump is using to declare a national emergency on global warming and institute Draconian measures to reduce carbon emissions or declare a national emergency on gun violence and start seizing guns. He has not defined exactly what the national emergency is as the facts show that illegal border crossings have been going down for years nor why it's taken him two years in office to respond to it.

What's likely to happen is that Trump loses in the lower courts (even Trump himself feels he probably loses there), taking at least a year to get to the Supreme Court and have an unfavorable decision come out against him. If that happens, Trump won't even be able to claim that he was defeated by "Obama judges" as the court is decidedly conservative. The result could be made even worse if one or more of his SCOTUS appointments vote against him. And this will all come down in the middle of a reelection campaign.

Trump has done some crazy things over the past two years, but he's really stepped in it this time.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby burrrton » Sat Feb 16, 2019 8:12 am

Trump has done some crazy things over the past two years, but he's really stepped in it this time.


Ayup. And I wouldn't stop at merely "many" conservatives being against him- I think it's most.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Sat Feb 16, 2019 9:38 am

burrrton wrote:Ayup. And I wouldn't stop at merely "many" conservatives being against him- I think it's most.


Well, it's not "most" in Congress yet, but he's going to create a very difficult dilemma for conservative R's that don't want to alienate the Trump hard core group yet they're going to be put on the spot when he starts taking previously allocated money away from their pet projects and from disaster relief. This so-called emergency could cause the R's to lose the Senate in 2020 as they are already at a mathematical disadvantage, and if they D's hold onto the House and take over the White House, it will enable them to advance their increasingly liberal and socialistic agenda.

People like Idahawk will predictably defend Trump by noting that the popularity of a border wall has been increasing as of late, but that's due to the softening of the original 30' high concrete barrier into a more sensible use of electronic and other softer measures to secure the border and referencing proposals as border security vs. a border wall.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby Aseahawkfan » Sat Feb 16, 2019 6:54 pm

This is dumb grandstanding by Trump to hold on to his anti-immigration base and uphold a promise. I think even he knows it won't fly, but he has to look like he's doing everything he can so he can blame the Dems when election time rolls around.

This is political games. I'll worry if the court allows it. That would be a bad precedent. Presidents and politicians doing stupid things with executive orders and things like this is business as usual. Just like our dumbass governor that effectively banned the death penalty in Washington circumventing the vote of the people and manipulating the liberal courts in Washington. This scumbag crap is attempted all the time by politicians to varying success.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Sun Feb 17, 2019 5:40 am

Aseahawkfan wrote:This is dumb grandstanding by Trump to hold on to his anti-immigration base and uphold a promise. I think even he knows it won't fly, but he has to look like he's doing everything he can so he can blame the Dems when election time rolls around.

This is political games. I'll worry if the court allows it. That would be a bad precedent. Presidents and politicians doing stupid things with executive orders and things like this is business as usual. Just like our dumbass governor that effectively banned the death penalty in Washington circumventing the vote of the people and manipulating the liberal courts in Washington. This scumbag crap is attempted all the time by politicians to varying success.


Trump's own big mouth is endangering this declaration of his as he admits that he "doesn't have to do this, that he could take his time". That remark alone indicates that it's not really an emergency if he "could take his time."

In my memory, this type of power grab by circumventing another branch of government and re-purposing billions in previously allocated funds has never been attempted by a POTUS, at least not during peacetime. Harry Truman issued an emergency order and tried to take over the steel industry during the Korean War because plants were being idled by strikes but was rebuked. FDR, although not at war, tried to pack the Supreme Court by expanding the number of members of which he would have appointed, but that didn't go anywhere, either. You'd have to go all the way back to Andrew Jackson, who ignored a Supreme Court decision not to evict Cherokee Indians to find a precedent anywhere close to the end run that Trump is attempting.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby Aseahawkfan » Sun Feb 17, 2019 5:09 pm

RiverDog wrote:Trump's own big mouth is endangering this declaration of his as he admits that he "doesn't have to do this, that he could take his time". That remark alone indicates that it's not really an emergency if he "could take his time."

In my memory, this type of power grab by circumventing another branch of government and re-purposing billions in previously allocated funds has never been attempted by a POTUS, at least not during peacetime. Harry Truman issued an emergency order and tried to take over the steel industry during the Korean War because plants were being idled by strikes but was rebuked. FDR, although not at war, tried to pack the Supreme Court by expanding the number of members of which he would have appointed, but that didn't go anywhere, either. You'd have to go all the way back to Andrew Jackson, who ignored a Supreme Court decision not to evict Cherokee Indians to find a precedent anywhere close to the end run that Trump is attempting.


You just named other presidents that unsuccessfully attempted the same thing. Like I said, political grandstanding so he can blame the Dems during the election run if he runs for re-election. He should get the point he's not wanted in D.C. and move on.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Sun Feb 17, 2019 7:33 pm

RiverDog wrote:Trump's own big mouth is endangering this declaration of his as he admits that he "doesn't have to do this, that he could take his time". That remark alone indicates that it's not really an emergency if he "could take his time."

In my memory, this type of power grab by circumventing another branch of government and re-purposing billions in previously allocated funds has never been attempted by a POTUS, at least not during peacetime. Harry Truman issued an emergency order and tried to take over the steel industry during the Korean War because plants were being idled by strikes but was rebuked. FDR, although not at war, tried to pack the Supreme Court by expanding the number of members of which he would have appointed, but that didn't go anywhere, either. You'd have to go all the way back to Andrew Jackson, who ignored a Supreme Court decision not to evict Cherokee Indians to find a precedent anywhere close to the end run that Trump is attempting.


Aseahawkfan wrote:You just named other presidents that unsuccessfully attempted the same thing. Like I said, political grandstanding so he can blame the Dems during the election run if he runs for re-election. He should get the point he's not wanted in D.C. and move on.


Andrew Jackson wasn't unsuccessful. But I get your point.

You're right, he is using the issue as a weapon for his re-election campaign, but it could easily backfire on him. Suppose SCOTUS decides 9-0 against him? Who is he going to blame?
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby idhawkman » Mon Feb 18, 2019 5:17 pm

At this point in time, I think it was the right thing to do. That said, I wouldn't have stopped the shut down. I think he should have reallocated the $4B he can do without the emergency and kept the shutdown going. Here's why it is the right thing for him to do now though.

1. He can use the money he can reposition now for building the wall through the end of this year. (If I were him, I'd use this money for those areas that the bill he signed restricted from him or for those areas that would give legal standing to a party wanting to sue for the emergency declaration).
2. Since the bill he signed allows for local mayors and counties to deny building of the wall in their jurisdiction, I would use the money NOT from the bill to build those areas and take eminent domain through the counter-drug money specifically ear marked by congress through the DoD to build those sections.
3. Let the courts cook but reduce the numbers of people who have standing by taking the wall out of the areas that would give certain groups standing. (e.g. don't use the emergency funds for any wall in california if california wants to sue him over this. Therefore, they would not have standing to bring the lawsuit.)
4. CONGRESS gave Trump the standing to declare this emergency and has over 50 cases of statute to uphold his move. "IF" the courts eventually say it is illegal, then he has successfully prevented future democrats from declaring emergencies along the lines of firearms, global warming, etc. Either way the court goes, no real down side for Trump. "IF" the courts uphold his action then I can guarantee you that the CONGRESS WILL finally do their job and act passing a bill to limit this ability in the future. That, too, will effectively prevent future democrats from being able to over reach. (I know at some point in the past I told River that sometimes you have to point out the absurd by being absurd. This may be the poster child for that sentiment.)
5. Next year Congress has a sequester vote coming which Trump could hold up over $55B of democrat wishful spending over a measly wall payout for anything not built this year.
6. This won't be overturned by the congress and I'll be mildly surprised if McConnell allows a vote of non-support in the Senate since Trump has announced that he will veto any such action to overturn this action. Also, I don't expect it to play out in the courts over years as the WH will try and expedite this process this year. The true issue is whether RBG will be healthy enough to be a vote on this issue.
7. Trump could ignore this situation like Obama did - that is true and what Trump acknowledged in his presser in the Rose garden. That said, there's a growing number of angel moms who would gravely dispute your position that this is not an emergency. Likewise, there's 70,000 overdose deaths a year in the US mostly coming from drugs that come across the border. Add that to the eventual images coming from the border with caravans storming it and flooding into the U.S. along with the minorities losing jobs and wages to those illegals and you may find that Trump's support actually gains more power over the coming months and year. (Remember, 58,000 soldiers died in Vietnam and we are far surpassing that with overdoses already. Doing nothing now will lead to a huge backlash later which I think the dems will realize in the 2020 election).

River once asked me if I disagreed with Trump on anything and this is one area I do. He should have never gave the dems another 21 days to come up with that piece of trash they sent him to sign. He should have moved the money he could and worked with that.

Oh one more thing to think about. The bill that was signed by Trump allocated him the $1.375B for wall but has huge restrictions on it. So if I was him, I'd enter into contracts with that money before the end of Sept this year and then have the work done starting on Oct 1. Some of you that know how these spending bills work and how long the law lasts for them will understand what I'm saying here but most who don't understand govt. contracting will be clueless as to what I'm inferring.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby idhawkman » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:15 pm

By the way, I expect major drug busts to become common place over the next year or more. Why? Because Trump can use those funds to build the wall.

I see where a major illegal drug ring in NC was busted today.

I think over the next year everytime you hear a headline about a major drug bust in xx city or state you could add to the end of that headline, "... and another mile got added to the wall..." :D
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby burrrton » Tue Feb 19, 2019 9:05 am

By the way, I expect major drug busts to become common place over the next year or more. Why? Because Trump can use those funds to build the wall.


I don't know how much money is typically seized, but I don't think they sell the heroine after confiscating it.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby Hawktawk » Tue Feb 19, 2019 2:26 pm

It wasn't an emergency when the Republicans held power in both chambers and in the SCOTUS. 2 years went by and it wasn't an emergency in terms of building a wall. The only emergency was the separation of children from their families who were primarily from central america seeking asylum to which they had a legitimate claim. Thats been the emergency,the abject cruelty to desperate brown skinned people fleeing chaos and anarchy.

Overall border crossings are near an all time low over decades IN PART DUE TO TRUMP'S DRACONIAN POLICIES. If he had a brain he'd take a victory lap but Oh no after an ass kicking in the midterms, a tongue lashing from the likes of Ann Coulter, Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity it's now an emergency.

And for all the lemmings saying every president has done it no President has ever challenged the congressional constitutional power of the purse in this manner in terms of grabbing taxpayer funded resources earmarked for other purposes in the immediate aftermath of said congress allocating the amount they deemed appropriate. And this far more bipolar than I and an idiot to boot psycho tried to sell it as a campaign strategy, admit it wasn't necessary but he wanted to do it faster.

As for the Republicans in congress trying to get past their political spina bifida I'm quite sure when it's all said and done and they see the polls showing the ID hawkmen of the world 25% strong Trump approvals threatening their existence in the primaries they will acquiesce and be right on board. Look no farther than Lindsey Graham who about a year ago was a Trump critic whose popularity among Republicans in his state had sunk to about 50% who suddenly came to Jesus and is now one of the most outspoken defenders of the indefensible but viola!!! 72% approval among Republicans and primary proof. Repubs will not provide a veto proof majority to this. No way in hell.
This thing is headed for the scotus eventually and we will see how that goes.

Meanwhile in other news https://www.foxnews.com/us/dozen-undocu ... ork-report

Its almost certain there were HUNDREDS of undocumented central american workers employed by the many Trump properties for decades and plenty of evidence to prove management were well aware of who they had working for them.I guess central american refugees only become a problem after Trump has gotten all his golf resorts built for 10 cents on the dollar. And people wonder why I detest this steaming pile of..................
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby Aseahawkfan » Tue Feb 19, 2019 7:44 pm

hawktawk may be right. He may be using this "national emergency" as nothing more than a way to energize his base because he didn't pull this trash when the Republicans held both houses. We'll see if it works for him. I hope not. I need this guy out of office in 2020 so Trump and all the clowns against him can play games somewhere else. They can go play make believe about Russian spying while Trump screams his equivalent of "nuh-uh Fake news." All I know for sure is I will not vote for anyone with an overactive Twitter account in the future. We basically are seeing what happens when a Twitter feud reaches epic level because the King of Twitter is the President of the United States. Never again Twitter, never again.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Wed Feb 20, 2019 6:43 am

idhawkman wrote:1. He can use the money he can reposition now for building the wall through the end of this year. (If I were him, I'd use this money for those areas that the bill he signed restricted from him or for those areas that would give legal standing to a party wanting to sue for the emergency declaration).


He's not going to be able to spend anything that has been previously allocated to another purpose unless he wins in the lower courts, which Trump himself admits is unlikely, and the case won't get tossed to SCOTUS for another year.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Wed Feb 20, 2019 6:58 am

Hawktawk wrote:It wasn't an emergency when the Republicans held power in both chambers and in the SCOTUS. 2 years went by and it wasn't an emergency in terms of building a wall. The only emergency was the separation of children from their families who were primarily from central america seeking asylum to which they had a legitimate claim. Thats been the emergency,the abject cruelty to desperate brown skinned people fleeing chaos and anarchy.

Overall border crossings are near an all time low over decades IN PART DUE TO TRUMP'S DRACONIAN POLICIES. If he had a brain he'd take a victory lap but Oh no after an ass kicking in the midterms, a tongue lashing from the likes of Ann Coulter, Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity it's now an emergency.

And for all the lemmings saying every president has done it no President has ever challenged the congressional constitutional power of the purse in this manner in terms of grabbing taxpayer funded resources earmarked for other purposes in the immediate aftermath of said congress allocating the amount they deemed appropriate. And this far more bipolar than I and an idiot to boot psycho tried to sell it as a campaign strategy, admit it wasn't necessary but he wanted to do it faster.

As for the Republicans in congress trying to get past their political spina bifida I'm quite sure when it's all said and done and they see the polls showing the ID hawkmen of the world 25% strong Trump approvals threatening their existence in the primaries they will acquiesce and be right on board. Look no farther than Lindsey Graham who about a year ago was a Trump critic whose popularity among Republicans in his state had sunk to about 50% who suddenly came to Jesus and is now one of the most outspoken defenders of the indefensible but viola!!! 72% approval among Republicans and primary proof. Repubs will not provide a veto proof majority to this. No way in hell.


All good points. Another fact that Trumpies conveniently ignore is that the majority of illegal aliens in this country do not illegally come across the southern border or through ports. They overstay their visas, and a wall or increased port security isn't going to address that problem.

The only valid argument that I can see for the courts allowing this declaration to stand would be that they may be reluctant to substitute their judgment for that of the POTUS on what defines an emergency. It's here where Trump's big mouth and seat of his pants winging it might torpedo his chances as he openly admitted that he "didn't have to do this".
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby idhawkman » Thu Feb 21, 2019 4:38 pm

RiverDog wrote:
He's not going to be able to spend anything that has been previously allocated to another purpose unless he wins in the lower courts, which Trump himself admits is unlikely, and the case won't get tossed to SCOTUS for another year.

He has about 4.5b he can and is spending that has been allocated for drug interdiction for roads and walls. You need to go do your research.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby idhawkman » Thu Feb 21, 2019 5:04 pm

RiverDog wrote:
All good points. Another fact that Trumpies conveniently ignore is that the majority of illegal aliens in this country do not illegally come across the southern border or through ports. They overstay their visas, and a wall or increased port security isn't going to address that problem.

God love ya river but this is just an ignorant statement. You do reàlize that his plan had other aspects to it right? Like ICE enforcement, more agents IT upgrades for tracking, etc. You want to throw up all over this forum just the Dems talking points and not the actual full plan though. So let's go with just the wall argument. With a wall in place, how many more agents will be freed up to track down the visa overstayers? Conveniently this is left out of the Dems talking points.

The only valid argument that I can see for the courts allowing this declaration to stand would be that they may be reluctant to substitute their judgment for that of the POTUS on what defines an emergency. It's here where Trump's big mouth and seat of his pants winging it might torpedo his chances as he openly admitted that he "didn't have to do this".

Nope he didn't have to "IF" he didn't care about 70000 people dying every year from opioids and now meth is up over 500% this year already. Not to mention the thousands of kids being sold into sex slavery (did you know the U.S. is the #1market for child pornography and prostitution), add in the angel moms, violent crime attacks and so much more. No he could turn a blind eye to it all like Obama did just to bolster his voting block. Problem is, with more people dying every year from drug ODs than all the deaths during theVie5 Nam war over a decade and it won't be long before the drug problem touches every single American family.

This move will be upheld by the courts. If the 9th circus blocks him again I believe the SCOTUS will put a stop to the 9th circus. One federal judge will not be allowed to continually block the actions of an elected president and that's something the Dems have not counted on.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby Aseahawkfan » Thu Feb 21, 2019 6:49 pm

idhawkman wrote:God love ya river but this is just an ignorant statement. You do reàlize that his plan had other aspects to it right? Like ICE enforcement, more agents IT upgrades for tracking, etc. You want to throw up all over this forum just the Dems talking points and not the actual full plan though. So let's go with just the wall argument. With a wall in place, how many more agents will be freed up to track down the visa overstayers? Conveniently this is left out of the Dems talking points.


This is true as well. But Trump focused on the wall, so the Dems are focusing on the wall. Now everyone is focused on the idea of a wall. The wall idea Trump built up has now become a political rallying point for both sides.

Nope he didn't have to "IF" he didn't care about 70000 people dying every year from opioids and now meth is up over 500% this year already. Not to mention the thousands of kids being sold into sex slavery (did you know the U.S. is the #1market for child pornography and prostitution), add in the angel moms, violent crime attacks and so much more. No he could turn a blind eye to it all like Obama did just to bolster his voting block. Problem is, with more people dying every year from drug ODs than all the deaths during theVie5 Nam war over a decade and it won't be long before the drug problem touches every single American family.

This move will be upheld by the courts. If the 9th circus blocks him again I believe the SCOTUS will put a stop to the 9th circus. One federal judge will not be allowed to continually block the actions of an elected president and that's something the Dems have not counted on.


I doubt he will prove it's a national emergency. And you should be highly against this. Using your logic, then the president can declare gun violence a national emergency and you want that? You want to see where a president can use a national emergency declaration for gun violence? I don't. Not sure why you do.

I'll bet you right now that isn't upheld. There will be no president declaring a national emergency for some stupid crap or our system has failed and we are in a lot of trouble because as soon as some leftist president gets in office, a very, very bad precedent will be set.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Thu Feb 21, 2019 7:48 pm

idhawkman wrote:You do reàlize that his plan had other aspects to it right? Like ICE enforcement, more agents IT upgrades for tracking, etc. You want to throw up all over this forum just the Dems talking points and not the actual full plan though. So let's go with just the wall argument. With a wall in place, how many more agents will be freed up to track down the visa overstayers? Conveniently this is left out of the Dems talking points.


Yes, I realize that Trump had tossed in a couple of bones to try to entice the Dems and moderate R's to sign off on his wall funding.

I do not see any security crisis rising to the level of a national emergency related to visa overstayers. Do you?

idhawkman wrote:Nope he didn't have to "IF" he didn't care about 70000 people dying every year from opioids and now meth is up over 500% this year already. Not to mention the thousands of kids being sold into sex slavery (did you know the U.S. is the #1market for child pornography and prostitution), add in the angel moms, violent crime attacks and so much more. No he could turn a blind eye to it all like Obama did just to bolster his voting block. Problem is, with more people dying every year from drug ODs than all the deaths during theVie5 Nam war over a decade and it won't be long before the drug problem touches every single American family.


And a wall will do next to nothing to stop the flow of illicit drugs coming into this country.

idhawkman wrote:This move will be upheld by the courts. If the 9th circus blocks him again I believe the SCOTUS will put a stop to the 9th circus. One federal judge will not be allowed to continually block the actions of an elected president and that's something the Dems have not counted on.


Another one of your predictions? What's your batting average? Is this another "They won't convict Manafort of anything" or "The Republicans will hold onto the House" forecasts? We all can take comfort in your prediction that Trump will win on this one.

My only suggestion for you is to be careful what you wish for: You might get it!
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby idhawkman » Fri Feb 22, 2019 12:49 pm

Aseahawkfan wrote:
This is true as well. But Trump focused on the wall, so the Dems are focusing on the wall. Now everyone is focused on the idea of a wall. The wall idea Trump built up has now become a political rallying point for both sides.

Do you know that Abraham Lincoln wrote the Gettysburg address to the 6th grade level so everyone who heard it would understand it? There's a reason he boiled the plan down to a "wall" in the sound bites. Its all we as a whole can digest on a complex issue. We are all just sound bites now and the majority of the populous don't have the patience to listen to the full plan for an issue like immigration.


I doubt he will prove it's a national emergency. And you should be highly against this. Using your logic, then the president can declare gun violence a national emergency and you want that? You want to see where a president can use a national emergency declaration for gun violence? I don't. Not sure why you do.

I'll bet you right now that isn't upheld. There will be no president declaring a national emergency for some stupid crap or our system has failed and we are in a lot of trouble because as soon as some leftist president gets in office, a very, very bad precedent will be set.

Here's why it will be upheld. Congress has given the president the right to declare an emergency. They voted on it, passed it and it was signed into law and it was funded by congress in subsequent budget bills that were voted on, passed and signed into law setting aside money's for emergencies. Therefore, it does not usurp congress' power of the purse. A gun ban has not been voted on by congress, will not be passed and will not be signed into law and even if it was, it would be thrown out by the SCOTUS because it violates the 2nd amendment of the constitution.

I'll take your bet and whoever loses will owe a frosty beverage of the winning party's choice.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby idhawkman » Fri Feb 22, 2019 12:59 pm

RiverDog wrote:
Yes, I realize that Trump had tossed in a couple of bones to try to entice the Dems and moderate R's to sign off on his wall funding.

I do not see any security crisis rising to the level of a national emergency related to visa overstayers. Do you?

absolutely there is. If you don't think so, call an angel mom or talk to any number of voters in NH, Ohio, MN, WI that are devastated by their white collar child dying from an overdose of opiates. To ignore these folks and to ignore the border patrol's reports is just irresponsible. Trump aint buying it and he definitely is not putting his head in the sand and saying la, la, la, la, la about it. It may not be effecting you and your neighborhood but it is devastating huge communities in other areas.

And a wall will do next to nothing to stop the flow of illicit drugs coming into this country.


According to Riverdog. According to CBP, Homeland Security, various state governments, law enforcement and others, it will free up many hundreds of agents to stop what is not stopped by the wall. Did you know that they are smuggling Meth into the US mixed in Diesel fuel? Then reconstituting it into meth after it arrives? Did you also know that the smugglers as reported numerous times by CBP, are sending "illegals" into one sector to tie up border agents while they slip their drugs over in another sector? CBP reports that they have InfraRed night vision videos that show this on a nightly basis. Yep, those drones can see it happening but not a single drone has ever arrested a smuggler, trafficker, or illegal for that matter.


Another one of your predictions? What's your batting average? Is this another "They won't convict Manafort of anything" or "The Republicans will hold onto the House" forecasts? We all can take comfort in your prediction that Trump will win on this one.

My only suggestion for you is to be careful what you wish for: You might get it!


I hope I get it that is for sure. My predictions on the manafort case was more on Trump but I did make the sweeping statement so you can hang your hat on that one. The house was a bad prediction but I notice where you leave out all my other predictions.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby idhawkman » Fri Feb 22, 2019 1:04 pm

With the left going so far left to socialism and Mueller coming out with no criminal activities on Trump, N.Korean meeting next week, Chinese trade this week and over the next month, the fed easing up on rate hikes, get ready for "Pence 2024" after Trump's second term.

(I think River and HT just blew a fuse over that prediction) :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby idhawkman » Fri Feb 22, 2019 1:32 pm

17,500 children are trafficked across the southern border every year for Sex. If for no other reason, the wall should be built for them.

I know most of you won't take the time to watch this, but let this under cover DHS border patrol agent explain what the problem is. The video takes a minute to frame the issue but please watch what the border agent has to say about how these kids are violated 30-50 times a day here in America. I have two daughters so I might be a bit more sensitive to this issue but if for no other reason, this is an emergency all on its own regardless of the other crimes and drugs that come from the border.

https://video.foxnews.com/v/embed.js?id=5997200457001&w=466&h=263

JUST IN CASE YOU DON'T THINK THIS IS REAL: This just in today, Robert Kraft, owner of the NE Patriots is now charged with 2 counts of soliciting prostitution in Jupiter Florida as a result of a human trafficking investigation. The police chief is also stating something about money laundering but it is not clear if that involves Kraft or the result of the investigation of the human trafficking companies. It is a problem at all levels of our society as Kraft (and I'm sure Jerruh, too) demonstrate.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Fri Feb 22, 2019 3:17 pm

idhawkman wrote:17,500 children are trafficked across the southern border every year for Sex. If for no other reason, the wall should be built for them.

I know most of you won't take the time to watch this, but let this under cover DHS border patrol agent explain what the problem is. The video takes a minute to frame the issue but please watch what the border agent has to say about how these kids are violated 30-50 times a day here in America. I have two daughters so I might be a bit more sensitive to this issue but if for no other reason, this is an emergency all on its own regardless of the other crimes and drugs that come from the border.

https://video.foxnews.com/v/embed.js?id=5997200457001&w=466&h=263


Your link doesn't work.

“Much of it comes — in fact, most of it comes — some people would say almost all of it — from the southern border …” (Trump, Feb. 1 speech on human trafficking)

That conclusion is not supported by several global and local organizations that track data on tens of thousands of human trafficking cases in the country.

Instead, the data show that the majority of victims are born in the U.S.


https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/ne ... story.html

Don't believe a single word that comes out of Trump's mouth.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby Aseahawkfan » Fri Feb 22, 2019 8:08 pm

idhawkman wrote:17,500 children are trafficked across the southern border every year for Sex. If for no other reason, the wall should be built for them.

I know most of you won't take the time to watch this, but let this under cover DHS border patrol agent explain what the problem is. The video takes a minute to frame the issue but please watch what the border agent has to say about how these kids are violated 30-50 times a day here in America. I have two daughters so I might be a bit more sensitive to this issue but if for no other reason, this is an emergency all on its own regardless of the other crimes and drugs that come from the border.

https://video.foxnews.com/v/embed.js?id=5997200457001&w=466&h=263

JUST IN CASE YOU DON'T THINK THIS IS REAL: This just in today, Robert Kraft, owner of the NE Patriots is now charged with 2 counts of soliciting prostitution in Jupiter Florida as a result of a human trafficking investigation. The police chief is also stating something about money laundering but it is not clear if that involves Kraft or the result of the investigation of the human trafficking companies. It is a problem at all levels of our society as Kraft (and I'm sure Jerruh, too) demonstrate.


Human trafficking is so wide spread and varied that a wall isn't going to slow it down at all. Have you done any real research on this or you get some sensationalistic talking point by some rag you read that doesn't fact check either to support his worship of Donald Trump.

What constitutes human trafficking? Parents bringing their kids across the border? That whole thing with people paying kids to come with them to make the border crossing easier? Drug muling? The temporary child prostitution brothels they set up on the border? Coyotes bringing illegals under the age of 18, say 14 to 17 over the border? What is the make up of this number? How does this help the kids if they don't have jobs or can't come across with their parents? Need way more information on this from way more sources.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Sat Feb 23, 2019 3:30 am

idhawkman wrote:JUST IN CASE YOU DON'T THINK THIS IS REAL: This just in today, Robert Kraft, owner of the NE Patriots is now charged with 2 counts of soliciting prostitution in Jupiter Florida as a result of a human trafficking investigation. The police chief is also stating something about money laundering but it is not clear if that involves Kraft or the result of the investigation of the human trafficking companies. It is a problem at all levels of our society as Kraft (and I'm sure Jerruh, too) demonstrate.



Agreed 100%, ALL levels of our society, including the POTUS, who has been proven to have patronized an industry that has been front and center in the promotion of human trafficking.

That's what makes Idahawk's references to human trafficking as it applies to DJT so laughable. Trump has for decades been personally patronizing stars in the adult entertainment industry, to the tune of hundreds of thousands of dollars, if not more, and in doing so has supported an industry in which it has been common knowledge for close to 50 years that they have been directly associated with human trafficking, child pornography, and sex slavery. Trump couldn't give two hoots in hell about human trafficking until he realized that he could link it to his wall.

I find it very rich that DJT's supporters would be using human trafficking as a justification for their border wall, for if this issue were truly near and dear to their hearts as they now claim it to be, they wouldn't have touched Trump with a 10' pole.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby idhawkman » Sat Feb 23, 2019 7:37 am

RiverDog wrote:
Your link doesn't work.

“Much of it comes — in fact, most of it comes — some people would say almost all of it — from the southern border …” (Trump, Feb. 1 speech on human trafficking)

That conclusion is not supported by several global and local organizations that track data on tens of thousands of human trafficking cases in the country.

Instead, the data show that the majority of victims are born in the U.S.


https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/ne ... story.html

Don't believe a single word that comes out of Trump's mouth.


Trump was reporting the numbers from DHS and State Dept. Don't believe the local organizations that have an agenda.

https://video.foxnews.com/v/5997200457001/#sp=show-clips
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby idhawkman » Sat Feb 23, 2019 7:40 am

Aseahawkfan wrote:
Human trafficking is so wide spread and varied that a wall isn't going to slow it down at all. Have you done any real research on this or you get some sensationalistic talking point by some rag you read that doesn't fact check either to support his worship of Donald Trump.

What constitutes human trafficking? Parents bringing their kids across the border? That whole thing with people paying kids to come with them to make the border crossing easier? Drug muling? The temporary child prostitution brothels they set up on the border? Coyotes bringing illegals under the age of 18, say 14 to 17 over the border? What is the make up of this number? How does this help the kids if they don't have jobs or can't come across with their parents? Need way more information on this from way more sources.

Don't delude yourself River. There are career people in government that work for Dems and Rep administrations and you can cherry pick which reports you believe from the State Dept. and DHS but it won't change the reality. 17,500 trafficked kids a year makes a huge dent. Not a single one of them deserves to be raped 30-50 times a day for years. Where's your heart man. Are you that effected by trump that you will ignore this? Shameful.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby idhawkman » Sat Feb 23, 2019 7:42 am

RiverDog wrote:
Agreed 100%, ALL levels of our society, including the POTUS, who has been proven to have patronized an industry that has been front and center in the promotion of human trafficking.

That's what makes Idahawk's references to human trafficking as it applies to DJT so laughable. Trump has for decades been personally patronizing stars in the adult entertainment industry, to the tune of hundreds of thousands of dollars, if not more, and in doing so has supported an industry in which it has been common knowledge for close to 50 years that they have been directly associated with human trafficking, child pornography, and sex slavery. Trump couldn't give two hoots in hell about human trafficking until he realized that he could link it to his wall.

I find it very rich that DJT's supporters would be using human trafficking as a justification for their border wall, for if this issue were truly near and dear to their hearts as they now claim it to be, they wouldn't have touched Trump with a 10' pole.

So you think that Trump with Stormy Daniels is in the same relm as child human trafficking? You are sick!
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Sat Feb 23, 2019 8:43 am

idhawkman wrote:So you think that Trump with Stormy Daniels is in the same relm as child human trafficking? You are sick!


Stormy Daniels is a prostitute that works in an industry that has been directly linked to child pornography, human trafficking, and sex slaves. Trump's patronization of prostitutes, and paying them huge, 6 figure dollar amounts, creates a demand for these types of crimes. That's one of the main justifications for running stings,ie to nab johns and humiliate them by making their names public so as to reduce the demand.

And in anticipation of ASF's comment (made over in the other forum), I agree wholeheartedly that prostitution should be legal as it would give otherwise law abiding citizens an option and, if properly monitored and regulated, would have the effect of reducing the demand for human trafficking. But that doesn't change Trump's (or Bob Kraft's) culpability.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby Aseahawkfan » Sat Feb 23, 2019 6:22 pm

RiverDog wrote:Stormy Daniels is a prostitute that works in an industry that has been directly linked to child pornography, human trafficking, and sex slaves. Trump's patronization of prostitutes, and paying them huge, 6 figure dollar amounts, creates a demand for these types of crimes. That's one of the main justifications for running stings,ie to nab johns and humiliate them by making their names public so as to reduce the demand.

And in anticipation of ASF's comment (made over in the other forum), I agree wholeheartedly that prostitution should be legal as it would give otherwise law abiding citizens an option and, if properly monitored and regulated, would have the effect of reducing the demand for human trafficking. But that doesn't change Trump's (or Bob Kraft's) culpability.


Exactly. Then the police could focus resources on stopping child prostitution and sex slavery than waste time rounding up willing prostitutes profiting off males willing to pay for sex. It would all be safer and easier to determine the real criminals.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Sat Feb 23, 2019 7:25 pm

RiverDog wrote:Stormy Daniels is a prostitute that works in an industry that has been directly linked to child pornography, human trafficking, and sex slaves. Trump's patronization of prostitutes, and paying them huge, 6 figure dollar amounts, creates a demand for these types of crimes. That's one of the main justifications for running stings,ie to nab johns and humiliate them by making their names public so as to reduce the demand.

And in anticipation of ASF's comment (made over in the other forum), I agree wholeheartedly that prostitution should be legal as it would give otherwise law abiding citizens an option and, if properly monitored and regulated, would have the effect of reducing the demand for human trafficking. But that doesn't change Trump's (or Bob Kraft's) culpability.


Aseahawkfan wrote:Exactly. Then the police could focus resources on stopping child prostitution and sex slavery than waste time rounding up willing prostitutes profiting off males willing to pay for sex. It would all be safer and easier to determine the real criminals.


As in the case with Kraft, the police don't really care about arresting 77 year old johns. They are trying to (1) discourage others and thereby reduce demand and (2) use their testimony to help them nab the real criminals, the pimps and traffickers.

Solving the prostitution problem is no different than any other vice, ie drugs, alcohol, and gambling. We saw how much crime resulted when they instituted prohibition and how after its repeal there was virtually no crime associated with booze. The same thing would be true of drugs and prostitution. Legalize it and it will take the profit out of the illegal activities and the crime associated with it will dry up on its own. So long as it doesn't affect me or my family, I couldn't give two hoots in hell what consenting adults do with their bodies.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby Aseahawkfan » Sat Feb 23, 2019 8:14 pm

RiverDog wrote:As in the case with Kraft, the police don't really care about arresting 77 year old johns. They are trying to (1) discourage others and thereby reduce demand and (2) use their testimony to help them nab the real criminals, the pimps and traffickers.

Solving the prostitution problem is no different than any other vice, ie drugs, alcohol, and gambling. We saw how much crime resulted when they instituted prohibition and how after its repeal there was virtually no crime associated with booze. The same thing would be true of drugs and prostitution. Legalize it and it will take the profit out of the illegal activities and the crime associated with it will dry up on its own. So long as it doesn't affect me or my family, I couldn't give two hoots in hell what consenting adults do with their bodies.


Exactly. Reducing demand through making it illegal has been as effective as the drug war or prohibition. Just ends up putting more folks in jail unnecessarily rather than focus on the real criminals and more dangerous drugs and behaviors. I hope we get a more intelligent criminal justice system as time goes on focused more serious threats.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Sun Feb 24, 2019 8:04 am

Aseahawkfan wrote:Exactly. Reducing demand through making it illegal has been as effective as the drug war or prohibition. Just ends up putting more folks in jail unnecessarily rather than focus on the real criminals and more dangerous drugs and behaviors. I hope we get a more intelligent criminal justice system as time goes on focused more serious threats.


I think its moving in that direction as de-criminalization of recreational drugs seems to have bi partisan support. But as far as prostitution goes, I don't see any movement to make it legal.

If Trump really wanted to do something about human trafficking in this country, he'd have been talking about this subject long ago and offered up proposals to help solve it. The only time he's even mentioned it is in relation to his wasteful border wall. Even if one were to accept the theory that a border wall would help reduce human trafficking, it's not a fix all means of solving the problem.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby Hawktawk » Sun Feb 24, 2019 9:52 am

RiverDog wrote:I think its moving in that direction as de-criminalization of recreational drugs seems to have bi partisan support. But as far as prostitution goes, I don't see any movement to make it legal.

If Trump really wanted to do something about human trafficking in this country, he'd have been talking about this subject long ago and offered up proposals to help solve it. The only time he's even mentioned it is in relation to his wasteful border wall. Even if one were to accept the theory that a border wall would help reduce human trafficking, it's not a fix all means of solving the problem.


Might have missed where this may have been posted already but the girls in the spa visited by Kraft and other heavyweights were very young, of chinese origin, do not speak english and are held against their will. They catch naps on the beds they are forced to turn tricks on in between customers, go without adequate nutrition etc. Hygiene in the place was described as nonexistent.

A couple of observations here. One, I will never understand why billionaires, In the case of trump with melania in the house and Kraft with a 38 year old blonde girlfriend would ever enter such a world of prostitutes and porn stars. Two, I don't think these chinese girls walked across the southern border :lol: :lol: :lol:

Oh and one more thing. At least Kraft got caught on candid camera with prostitutes by florida vice squad, not Vladimir Putin :D :D
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Sun Feb 24, 2019 12:26 pm

Hawktawk wrote:Might have missed where this may have been posted already but the girls in the spa visited by Kraft and other heavyweights were very young, of chinese origin, do not speak english and are held against their will. They catch naps on the beds they are forced to turn tricks on in between customers, go without adequate nutrition etc. Hygiene in the place was described as nonexistent.


I posted a link over in the Seahawks forum in the Kraft thread, but it seems to be appropriate to post it here as well. Below is a link to the affidavit of probable cause in the case where Kraft got charged:

https://ewscripps.brightspotcdn.com/74/ ... 1zmA796A4Q

It's in a PDF format, so I can't copy and paste, but some of it relates to what you've said.

Hawktawk wrote:One, I will never understand why billionaires, In the case of trump with melania in the house and Kraft with a 38 year old blonde girlfriend would ever enter such a world of prostitutes and porn stars. Two, I don't think these chinese girls walked across the southern border :lol: :lol: :lol:


I suppose you could explain your first point it the same way a person once explained wanting to climb Mt. Everest: Because it's there.

I agree with your second point. What I'm hearing now from a report on Idahawk's favorite network CNN is that most human trafficking victims enter the USA legally, and that the women involved in the Kraft scandal arrived from China through New York and had passports that were later confiscated by their "pimps". The conditions described in the report are pretty much how HT described them.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby Aseahawkfan » Sun Feb 24, 2019 10:22 pm

Hawktawk wrote:Might have missed where this may have been posted already but the girls in the spa visited by Kraft and other heavyweights were very young, of chinese origin, do not speak english and are held against their will. They catch naps on the beds they are forced to turn tricks on in between customers, go without adequate nutrition etc. Hygiene in the place was described as nonexistent.

A couple of observations here. One, I will never understand why billionaires, In the case of trump with melania in the house and Kraft with a 38 year old blonde girlfriend would ever enter such a world of prostitutes and porn stars. Two, I don't think these chinese girls walked across the southern border :lol: :lol: :lol:

Oh and one more thing. At least Kraft got caught on candid camera with prostitutes by florida vice squad, not Vladimir Putin :D :D


Looking good and being good in bed are two different things. A woman can look great, be hot, and yet suck in bed, especially once they get married. So these old billionaires hire some girl they pay good money that will make them feel like a man and great inside and out. Really, how attracted can Melania and Kraft's wife really be to them. They are trophy women with a marital contract that worked their way into a marriage with a couple of billionaires. I'd bet money that once the marriage is solid, they go from playing up to the old guy to doing their own thing and only having physical relations on rare occasions. So the old guys go hire someone who will take care of their physical needs and the wives don't care as long as it doesn't make it to the press.

Women like Melania, Hilary Clinton, and Kraft's wife know the deal just like Jackie Kennedy. That whole be faithful to your wife attitude is a teaching for the middle class and poor as well as the truly faithful that believe in it. But the wealthy don't care. They will bang around as their money permits. One of the perks of wealth for many is having access to plenty of hot young woman looking for big gifts in exchange for sexual favors. Oldest profession in history is the common saying.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Mon Feb 25, 2019 7:09 am

Aseahawkfan wrote:Looking good and being good in bed are two different things. A woman can look great, be hot, and yet suck in bed, especially once they get married. So these old billionaires hire some girl they pay good money that will make them feel like a man and great inside and out. Really, how attracted can Melania and Kraft's wife really be to them. They are trophy women with a marital contract that worked their way into a marriage with a couple of billionaires. I'd bet money that once the marriage is solid, they go from playing up to the old guy to doing their own thing and only having physical relations on rare occasions. So the old guys go hire someone who will take care of their physical needs and the wives don't care as long as it doesn't make it to the press.

Women like Melania, Hilary Clinton, and Kraft's wife know the deal just like Jackie Kennedy. That whole be faithful to your wife attitude is a teaching for the middle class and poor as well as the truly faithful that believe in it. But the wealthy don't care. They will bang around as their money permits. One of the perks of wealth for many is having access to plenty of hot young woman looking for big gifts in exchange for sexual favors. Oldest profession in history is the common saying.


I agree with you, but one minor correction: Kraft is currently widowed, and there is no evidence that he had any extramarital affairs while he was married. He does have a 39 year old girlfriend that he has been dating.

Aseahawkfan wrote:But the wealthy don't care. They will bang around as their money permits. One of the perks of wealth for many is having access to plenty of hot young woman looking for big gifts in exchange for sexual favors.


Which is one of the attributes about Trump's personality that causes me to say that he's a spoiled rich kid. It's his "I've got it, so I'm going to flaunt it" attitude about him that disturbs me more so than his money or how he came about his money. Men like him conquer women not with suave, charm, or even good looks and, at least with those that have had their money since birth, have never had to 'compete' for a woman like I have had to, or at least not on the same terms that most of us males have. He simply flashes his money and women flock to him like flies to a turd.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby Hawktawk » Tue Feb 26, 2019 5:08 pm

In the case of Kraft his 39 yr old girl;friend recently gave birth to a child he is not the father of so I guess two can play that game. With Trump there is very credible evidence to suggest that beyond his flings with women of zero moral character he also forces himself on women without their consent, as a matter of fact he's on tape admitting it. Theres skunks then there's Trump.

Its reported melania has her own bedroom which causes me to have a bit more respect for her. The thought of that beautiful woman in bed with that fat naked microscopic mushroom equipped slob is a nauseating word picture.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby Aseahawkfan » Tue Feb 26, 2019 7:52 pm

Hawktawk wrote:In the case of Kraft his 39 yr old girl;friend recently gave birth to a child he is not the father of so I guess two can play that game. With Trump there is very credible evidence to suggest that beyond his flings with women of zero moral character he also forces himself on women without their consent, as a matter of fact he's on tape admitting it. Theres skunks then there's Trump.

Its reported melania has her own bedroom which causes me to have a bit more respect for her. The thought of that beautiful woman in bed with that fat naked microscopic mushroom equipped slob is a nauseating word picture.


Why are you conjuring these sick images? Bleh. This is worse than the Trump hate tirades. What horrible imagery.
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Re: Trump's National Emergency

Postby RiverDog » Tue Feb 26, 2019 8:26 pm

Hawktawk wrote:In the case of Kraft his 39 yr old girl;friend recently gave birth to a child he is not the father of so I guess two can play that game. With Trump there is very credible evidence to suggest that beyond his flings with women of zero moral character he also forces himself on women without their consent, as a matter of fact he's on tape admitting it. Theres skunks then there's Trump.

Its reported melania has her own bedroom which causes me to have a bit more respect for her. The thought of that beautiful woman in bed with that fat naked microscopic mushroom equipped slob is a nauseating word picture.


Aseahawkfan wrote:Why are you conjuring these sick images? Bleh. This is worse than the Trump hate tirades. What horrible imagery.


Yea, Hawktalk, I gotta agree with ASF on this one. Although I don't mind a few colorful descriptions within comments on a topic, it's unclear to me how your observations add to the discussion, particularly those in your 2nd paragraph.
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