idhawkman wrote:I've seen lots of polls in here on how Trump can't win because he is consistently low in approval rating. I saw a poll the other day on tv that showed him now at 53%. What's even more interesting is that wall street (Goldman Sachs) is predicting he'll be reelected. Its like Ground hog day and the shadow was seen so 6 more years of Trump... Yay!!!
Also saw where last quarter that White unemployment improved .88%, hispanic unemployment improved 1.42% and black unemployment improved almost 2.5%. All the dems are saying that this economy has left those groups behind and they are not benefitting though. At some point, people see through the lies and recognize what is actually happening. Just like the "There's no caravans", er, eh, "well there's no crisis", er, eh, "Well it is a humanitarian crisis only", er, eh, "Well Trump caused the crisis" stance they've taken on the immigration issue. They'll be singing another tun on the economy in just a few months.
No inflation, no recession and strong growing economic numbers as far as the eye can see. Get ready for another 4 years.
Hawktawk wrote:
You realize Trumps cabinet is still full of Goldman Sachs executives including Steve Mnunchin![]()
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Might disregard that poll OK? Sorry, he doesn't get to run against Hillary again and the 55% normal rational people some of whom voted for him have had over 2 years to see him in action.Another 2 ought to more than do it as far as convincing them anyone else would be better than another 4 years of chaos.
Ill credit Trump with some good hires. If you want the ponzi scheme known as wall street to prop you up hire a bunch of wall street insiders.Especially if they are also going to commission a poll saying you're going to win, the only such poll that currently exists.
Aseahawkfan wrote:This left seems more concerned with getting high, taking our guns away, having a high tax system with "free" services, and scumbag behavior accepted as long as it's not by rich, famous people where everyone can pile on acting offended. The right seems caught up in hating immigrants, not giving a rat's ass about the environment, and promoting big business.
RiverDog wrote:
Yea, I always laugh at the left and all their free chit ideas like Medicare for all or the Green New Deal. Anytime you ask them how they're going to pay for it they'll just say "tax the rich" as if we have a nation full of billionaires like Gates and Bezos whose bank accounts we can simply tap into.
As far as the environment goes, I get disturbed when they talk about green energy but don't include nuclear or hydro in their solutions. They talk about breaching the dams on the lower Snake not realizing that salmon runs on the dam less Fraser River in BC are also experiencing lower runs, nor do they account for the thousands of the smoke belching diesel trucks that would be required to move grain down to Portland. I'm all for improving the environment, but the left keeps tossing in ad-ons, like the plastic grocery bag ban proposal that I was all for until I learned that they were going to tax paper sacks.
The right is so scared and preoccupied with immigrants it's borderline silly. We now have more job openings than we have unemployed, and it's not even close, like by a million jobs, so there is no economic argument that supports a tight immigration policy.
And with our lower birth rate, schools are having to lay off teachers and close schools, so there isn't an infrastructure problem, yet Trump has the right convinced that "we're full" and that they're nothing but a bunch of drug running thugs even though immigrants have a lower crime rate than native born. The right is disguising the fact that they simply don't want people that don't look or talk like themselves coming into the country. It has nothing to do with the economy or crime.
idhawkman wrote:The problem is, that the illegals we have coming are not capable of most of the jobs that are available.
And with our lower birth rate, schools are having to lay off teachers and close schools, so there isn't an infrastructure problem, yet Trump has the right convinced that "we're full" and that they're nothing but a bunch of drug running thugs even though immigrants have a lower crime rate than native born. The right is disguising the fact that they simply don't want people that don't look or talk like themselves coming into the country. It has nothing to do with the economy or crime.
idhawkman wrote:I'd agree in some areas the schools are down because of lower birth rates but not all areas. Those areas that attract the illegal aliens are over flowing. Teachers don't want to go to those schools though for a number of reason to include culture differences, language barriers, violence and commute.
idhawkman wrote:The argument about people not looking or talking like the right is ridiculous on its face. The right has all races, creeds and colors so what is NOT like the right?
RiverDog wrote:Yea, I always laugh at the left and all their free chit ideas like Medicare for all or the Green New Deal. Anytime you ask them how they're going to pay for it they'll just say "tax the rich" as if we have a nation full of billionaires like Gates and Bezos whose bank accounts we can simply tap into.
As far as the environment goes, I get disturbed when they talk about green energy but don't include nuclear or hydro in their solutions. They talk about breaching the dams on the lower Snake not realizing that salmon runs on the dam less Fraser River in BC are also experiencing lower runs, nor do they account for the thousands of the smoke belching diesel trucks that would be required to move grain down to Portland. I'm all for improving the environment, but the left keeps tossing in ad-ons, like the plastic grocery bag ban proposal that I was all for until I learned that they were going to tax paper sacks.
The right is so scared and preoccupied with immigrants it's borderline silly. We now have more job openings than we have unemployed, and it's not even close, like by a million jobs, so there is no economic argument that supports a tight immigration policy. And with our lower birth rate, schools are having to lay off teachers and close schools, so there isn't an infrastructure problem, yet Trump has the right convinced that "we're full" and that they're nothing but a bunch of drug running thugs even though immigrants have a lower crime rate than native born. The right is disguising the fact that they simply don't want people that don't look or talk like themselves coming into the country. It has nothing to do with the economy or crime.
The right is so scared and preoccupied with immigrants it's borderline silly. We now have more job openings than we have unemployed, and it's not even close, like by a million jobs, so there is no economic argument that supports a tight immigration policy. And with our lower birth rate, schools are having to lay off teachers and close schools, so there isn't an infrastructure problem, yet Trump has the right convinced that "we're full" and that they're nothing but a bunch of drug running thugs even though immigrants have a lower crime rate than native born. The right is disguising the fact that they simply don't want people that don't look or talk like themselves coming into the country. It has nothing to do with the economy or crime.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I'm not sure where you get your crime statistics, but crime is a huge a problem in areas of high immigration. And they may be pockets that aren't reflected in national statistics given immigrants still make up a tiny percentage of our population. Not sure how they are manipulating statistics to make it seem like it isn't a problem, but in areas with high concentrations of Latin immigrants in recent years crime is a big change that the people in those areas feel very strongly. It's happened not over a few years, but over decades that the government has not bothered to check. It is highly felt by the people growing up in those areas including Latin immigrants that have grown up in these areas over multiple generations.
RiverDog wrote:It's pretty common knowledge that legal immigrants commit fewer crimes than native born citizens. Here's one article:
Immigrants commit crimes and are incarcerated at a much lower rate than U.S. citizens, according to two separate studies released this week.
https://thehill.com/latino/324607-repor ... n-citizens
Crime rates might be able to be manipulated some, but you're talking about a very large difference shown in multiple studies, so it's pretty unlikely that the basic fact has been altered. Additionally, the incarceration rate is pretty reliable information, unless you want to argue that our justice system treats immigrants softer than native born. However, my understanding is that ILLEGAL immigrants do commit crimes at a higher rate, and that's where the focus should be, not on those that play by Hoyle. The far right is Demonizing all immigrants.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Incarceration rate is not reliable in my opinion. I believe they are kicking the criminals loose to avoid overcrowding and the like which is skewing statistics.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Immigration is also hitting the construction industry harder than it used to. Those blue collar folks getting hit are not happy that someone took their jobs. With the bidding process as it is, union contractors can't outbid companies using non-union and immigrant labor. Saw this a lot watching construction work here and knew more than a few contractors that left California due to the problem. From what I recall, construction used to be a good paying job not highly impacted by immigrant labor.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I see the immigration issue as another issue improperly addressed by the government and smarmy left that working Americans are experiencing the effects of on a daily basis that was building up Trump tapped into and used to build up his base. How immigration is handled is going to be very important in this next election. People are still experiencing problems associated with immigration.
RiverDog wrote:So are they kicking out native born Americans at a higher rate than immigrants? How can the percentage get skewed? The argument isn't whether or not the total incarceration rate is accurate, it's what percentage of those that are incarcerated is comprised of immigrants.
Sure, there's going to be some people that lose their jobs, including some that may lose them to an immigrant. But the fact is that there is just one industry that has experienced a significant loss of jobs in the past several years: Retail, as stores shift from bricks and mortar to online sales, like Sears succumbing to Amazon, and as big box stores eliminate checkers by using automated "scan and go" check out devices. Manufacturing had a small dip, but my understanding is that there was one large plant (can't remember which one) that closed that contributed to that small bump:
Despite strength in jobs from manufacturing to medicine, retail is one of just two sectors that have lost jobs over the last few years.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/05/booming ... ehind.html
There is no economic argument that would support restricting immigration except as it relates to age. It's actually a good selling point for Trump as it means at a minimum that he hasn't upset the apple cart. We've never had a positive ratio of job openings to unemployed like we have now. If we were in a major recession and our unemployment was high, then I could understand reducing immigration quotas. But that's clearly not the case.
It's a red herring. There are lots bigger problems for us to worry about than immigration....health care, the environment, gun control, etc. But I do agree that it's going to be an issue in the next election. Trump has seen to that.
aseahawkfan wrote:You seem to think the sanctuary cities, the state hospitals under pressure, the immigration services that handle all of this, and the massive number of immigrants is no big deal. Yet Trump was elected on it. You seem to think he created the hysteria, when it was there long before. I been listening to immigration rhetoric ramping since Bush Jr. was in office almost 18 years ago. Trump is the culmination of that building rage at the government for unchecked immigration that has been a huge burden on many communities driving folks that lived there for ages out. Somehow you think it will all go away once Trump is out office? I'd bet against that. I'd bet quite a bit against that. Immigration is a huge issue to growing number of Americans.
The right is so scared and preoccupied with immigrants it's borderline silly. We now have more job openings than we have unemployed, and it's not even close, like by a million jobs, so there is no economic argument that supports a tight immigration policy. And with our lower birth rate, schools are having to lay off teachers and close schools, so there isn't an infrastructure problem, yet Trump has the right convinced that "we're full" and that they're nothing but a bunch of drug running thugs even though immigrants have a lower crime rate than native born. The right is disguising the fact that they simply don't want people that don't look or talk like themselves coming into the country. It has nothing to do with the economy or crime.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I'm not sure where you get your crime statistics, but crime is a huge a problem in areas of high immigration. And they may be pockets that aren't reflected in national statistics given immigrants still make up a tiny percentage of our population. Not sure how they are manipulating statistics to make it seem like it isn't a problem, but in areas with high concentrations of Latin immigrants in recent years crime is a big change that the people in those areas feel very strongly. It's happened not over a few years, but over decades that the government has not bothered to check. It is highly felt by the people growing up in those areas including Latin immigrants that have grown up in these areas over multiple generations.
RiverDog wrote:
It's pretty common knowledge that legal immigrants commit fewer crimes than native born citizens. Here's one article:
Immigrants commit crimes and are incarcerated at a much lower rate than U.S. citizens, according to two separate studies released this week.
https://thehill.com/latino/324607-repor ... n-citizens
Crime rates might be able to be manipulated some, but you're talking about a very large difference shown in multiple studies, so it's pretty unlikely that the basic fact has been altered. Additionally, the incarceration rate is pretty reliable information, unless you want to argue that our justice system treats immigrants softer than native born. However, my understanding is that ILLEGAL immigrants do commit crimes at a higher rate, and that's where the focus should be, not on those that play by Hoyle. The far right is Demonizing all immigrants.
I'm not like those on the left that want to eliminate ICE or provide sanctuaries for those fleeing our justice system, and I am for a strong border enforcement, just not Trump's $25B wall. But Trump and his allies have distracted the discussion away from where it should be, which is how many immigrants can we reasonably take in that will actually help our economy. There is no justification for the types of large cuts of legal immigrants he is proposing. He is using the immigration issue much like the left uses gun violence, as a political weapon to strike fear in the hearts of weak minded individuals that are uncomfortable around anyone that doesn't look and/or talk like they do.
On a more personal note, I've been a line supervisor in food processing plants for 40 years, so I've come in contact with thousands of immigrants. In general, I would much rather have a crew full of immigrants than I would native born. They work harder, complain less, and learn faster than their native counterparts that are more likely to have an entitlement attitude about them. Language barriers, although sometimes a challenge, are for the most part easily overcome so long as both parties want to communicate. As a result, the majority of my friends here locally were not born in this country. But perhaps I'm just seeing the cream of the crop.
RiverDog wrote:Are you reading everything I've written on this subject? I've specifically said that I don't agree with the sanctuary cities policies. I get a kick out of the left being appalled at county sheriffs in WA refusing to enforce I-1639, the idiotic gun control law that Seattle shoved down the rest of the state's throats, yet when it comes to enforcing the law of the land regarding illegal aliens, they vow to oppose federal law and approve of sanctuary cities.
And unchecked immigration? Not sure how you associated me with that idea. I've advocated stronger border enforcement all along, which means more thorough vetting and dedicating more resources to ports of entry. I oppose Trump's border wall because I don't think it makes economic sense, that there's much cheaper ways to secure the border w/o some huge monstrosity that will take decades to build and does nothing to address security at ports of entry where the vast majority of problems occur. Heck, the majority of illegal aliens come through ports of entry and entered the country legally. They went through the vetting process and are considered illegal because they overstayed their visas. A border wall ain't gonna fix that.
I'm well aware of our historical attitude towards immigration. We've had clearly racist, highly discriminatory laws that were on the books well into the middle of the 21st century, including the Chinese Exclusion Act. We've turned Jews away that were fleeing Hitler's death camps. Italians, Irish, Germans, et al, have all suffered to varying degrees of discrimination rooted in a general anti immigrant sentiment. I perfectly understand that it's nothing new or manufactured by Trump. It doesn't mean that it's acceptable or that we shouldn't call it for what it is.
The immigration process should be controlled and allowed to fluctuate as our economy and infrastructure will allow. Currently, there is an economic need for more younger people, ages 18-35. As that changes, as it inevitably will, so should our immigration quotas.
My statement that we have bigger problems to worry about than immigration is a personal view, not a refusal to recognize the opinions of many, of which many IMO are misguided. I'm more worried about the left taking this country down the path of socialism than I am about immigration.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I don't feel like arguing over this subject too much. You called it a red herring and attributed it to Trump. Trump in no way started the immigration backlash that helped him get elected. He tapped into it. It's been simmering for over a decade or two. You're being dismissive of it like so many presidents, politicians, and smarmy commentators in the past.
Aseahawkfan wrote:There are very real problems with the current level of immigration. We've literally absorbed a small country or state worth of illegal immigrants. What is the estimate? 12 million, some say higher. That doesn't include all the legal immigrants. You can't keep doing that and expect everything to be hunky dory.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Now the place is overrun with illegals coming to obtain social benefits because of how our social system is structured. They don't like it. It's shameful. Folks like you seem to be saying, "It's not a problem. It's not really happening. You're imagining it." Whereas Trump is saying I believe you. I see what is happening. I want to fix it. You wonder why he is getting votes based on immigration?
Aseahawkfan wrote:I don't enjoy the attacks. I hope future candidates take into account immigration issues in a healthier manner than Trump and the press. They seem to be using each other to incite the issue. Trump for making off the cuff remarks. The press for taking his remarks out of contest and magnifying them into this negative narrative that anyone who wants some immigration enforcement is a racist.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Immigration issues are very real. One of those issues economically is high levels of immigration are part of the multi-pronged approach by big business to put downward pressure on American wages and standard of living.
Aseahawkfan wrote:And I'm done with this subject. Just another tiresome subject not being addressed properly as the left and right play their pathetic games.
Hawktawk wrote:I heard Bill Weld speaking the other day. Weird to hear what a principled classy fiscal conservative republican sounds like. Its been a while. Hopefully he will get some traction. The Mueller report should help
While 89 % of the republican party support Trump almost 30% are somewhat open to a primary challenge. And as a self described Libertarian running on the republican ticket as a matter of political expediency and someone who won the governorship twice in a blue/purple state Welds sensible approach might well appeal to never trump former republicans as well as moderate to conservative social democrats who cant stand the left fringe of that party as well. Its along time to 2020 but I don't see the ass clown picking up any steam in the meantime.
RiverDog wrote:
I'd vote for Weld in a heartbeat, but I don't think he has a snowball's chance in hell of knocking off Trump for the nomination. But I've been wrong before.
RiverDog wrote:
I'd vote for Weld in a heartbeat, but I don't think he has a snowball's chance in hell of knocking off Trump for the nomination. But I've been wrong before.
Hawktawk wrote:
You're probably right about Weld but then again there has never been a time like this in presidential politics. The fact so many republicans *support* Trump but are open for a primary challenge in a pretty decent if slowing economy, many campaign promises kept or at least attempted is highly unusual.Matter of fact Trump is the first president in forever not to crack 50% in any average of polls in his entire first 2+ years.
And of course this morning hes tweeting madly from Mara Lago blasting the report that supposedly cleared him and calling sworn testimony by his own inner circle "bullshit".
I think the American people are by and large smart enough to understand this report doesn't clear this president and if nothing else it is very damaging politically as it comes from a respected public figure, not the "fake news".They are smart enough to see Barr is another formerly respected man who has become a clown, a partisan hack.
Add to that the dissatisfaction among lots of democrats with the radical liberal positions taken by the left of their party and there is room to move and possible pick up dissafected democrats who switched from Obama to Trump last cycle.
Lets see how the chips fall. If Trump allows Weld on a debate stage he will mop the floor with him and that might change minds further. If he doesn't Weld needs to just make the rounds on the Television channels including Fox.
One can hope cause its time to drain the real swamp and i don't want it filled back up with Bernie sanders or something of the sort.
idhawkman wrote:All wishful thinking. There's not a snowball's chance in .... that the RNC will allow a primary challenger to Trump. He can run as an independent though. Maybe him and Schultz will get together.
Aseahawkfan wrote:...But damn if Trump doesn't look very strong against the contenders the Democrats have rolled out. Dems whole message seems to be "I hate Trump. Vote for me." Sanders is saying some real crazy crap about letting felons including terrorist and child rapists vote. You can't really hide it as he definitely said he believes they should be allowed. Lots of points to attack with this group of Democratic contenders.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Trump already started on Biden naming him "Sleepy Joe" and basically calling him dumb. Joe has so many holes in his background, most caused by his party with the Metoo# movement that Trump will have a field day going toe to toe with Biden.
Aseahawkfan wrote:Sheesh. Looks like a pretty dismal group of political options for voters in 2020 as well....Dems better find a stronger message and some real issues to sell if they want to beat The Narcissist.
The Chief Pornstar Banger isn't going to sway a single voter to support him vs. Biden by bringing up the "Creepy Joe" stuff. Trump himself has been accused of sexual misconduct by at least 19 women since the 1980's, has been caught on audio bragging about grabbing women by the pussy, bragged to Howard Stern about being able to "get away with stuff like that" when he's walked into women's dressing rooms uninvited and unannounced. It would be best for both of them just to leave those sleeping dogs lay.
I heard Pocahontas say the other day...
...that she would create a wealth tax...
Aseahawkfan wrote:Trump doesn't have to touch "Creepy" himself. The Repub PACs will do it for him. It's just a big chink Biden's armor that will be relentlessly attacked by the Repub political machine. Trump's already been attacked in that way and survived. Can Biden survive in the party that is more concerned with that behavior? I don't know. We shall see.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I had to laugh when Trump called him "Sleepy Joe" and basically said he was stupid. I have never seen a candidate campaign like Trump. It's like he's in a prize fight and smack talking prior to the brawl. Who campaigns like that? It's nutso. Trump doesn't care at all. Never seen it in my life. It does make the campaign entertaining. I wonder if Trump is going to push healthcare this time around and lower drug prices. Seems to be part of his new "Keep America Great" platform. We'll see how that sells.
burrrton wrote:What's your issue with what he said?
https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/4 ... l-advances
BS slab of excess legislation
I-5 wrote:Burrton, I thought you were the one kidding us. What Trump is describing (‘executing’ a baby after it’s been delivered and wrapped in a blanket) isn’t even an abortion issue. It’s simply capital murder as described in every law of every state, which is why it’s ridiculous to discuss legislation around it. Does anyone think what the president is saying is legal and/or is happening in the US, let alone New Jersey? It’s mind-boggling to think that even one person might believe him. As I said, I don’t think even he actually believes his own words (he can’t possibly be that ignorant), but he obviously is thinking his followers might.
Aseahawkfan wrote:I was at my parents on vacation. I watched some of the trash show known as American politics on T.V. via Fox News. I don't usually watch TV as I don't buy cable or like to watch these dumb news shows. But damn if Trump doesn't look very strong against the contenders the Democrats have rolled out. Dems whole message seems to be "I hate Trump. Vote for me." Sanders is saying some real crazy crap about letting felons including terrorist and child rapists vote. You can't really hide it as he definitely said he believes they should be allowed. Lots of points to attack with this group of Democratic contenders.
Trump already started on Biden naming him "Sleepy Joe" and basically calling him dumb. Joe has so many holes in his background, most caused by his party with the Metoo# movement that Trump will have a field day going toe to toe with Biden.
Sheesh. Looks like a pretty dismal group of political options for voters in 2020 as well. I might have to put up with four more year of this embarrassing BS by Trump versus the left. Man, he really winds them up. He's playing them for total idiots, making fun of them, and generally making the Dems look like such idiots that I don't know where to begin. After the release of the Mueller report with no actionable material, Dems look like impotent fools continuing to reach for any trash to get Trump on. It's like they're all so dumb that they think Trump does his taxes himself or has some team of absolutely loyal mafia tax lawyers that do his bidding. Trump is right when he says Mueller has seen his tax returns. He's been audited multiple times. He doesn't do his taxes himself and probably pays an accounting company or a group of accountants to take care of his books that he barely sees. Probably lets his managers take care of them. Yet the Dems are trying to sell another dumb narrative like Trump is some Mafia Don personally overseeing the laundering of his cash or some other such dumb thing. Do the Dems really think those of that have worked for corporations for years don't know that guys like Trump, Bezos, Gates, Buffett, and the like pay extremely professional accountants and lawyers to handle their accounting and finances. Trump don't sit in some backroom directing some Mafia accountant to "cook the books." He has too much to lose doing something like that even before he became president. It's just dumb.
Dems better find a stronger message and some real issues to sell if they want to beat The Narcissist.
RiverDog wrote:Although I'll carefully listen to what their nominee has to say, the only one I've heard speak that I could vote for is Biden, and that's factoring in my extreme dislike for that pile of pig chit that's currently in office. I was hoping that Michael Bloomberg or Howard Schultz would have run as Dems, but the liberal wing of the party controls all the buttons and levers. Unless I hear something different, it looks like I'll be casting another protest vote like I did in 2016.
I-5 wrote:Trump said these words about abortion less than 24 hours ago. If you actually believe him, I’m worried:
“Your Democrat governor here in Wisconsin, shockingly, stated that he will veto legislation that protects Wisconsin babies born alive. Born alive. The baby is born, the mother meets with the doctor, they take care of the baby, they wrap the baby beautifully, and then the doctor and the mother determine whether or not they will execute them. You hear late term, but this is where the baby is born, it’s there, it’s wrapped, that’s it,”
That’s our president’s actual words.
c_hawkbob wrote: It's a lie is the problem, and implicit lie. The protections for live birth babies already exists, there is no way the scenario he presents could ever happen under current law, yet he makes it seem as that's exactly what is happening unless they pass this BS slab of excess legislation. it's pure talking points for his idiot army, nothing more. It's Russian Troll level vitriol, designed to further divide and foster hate.
I-5 wrote:Burrrton, because it’s clearly not true, but he’s obviously saying it to incite his followers. I don’t think even he believes it. Do you believe that actually happens or could happen? It’s completely a lie. If you believe what he’s saying, then I’m REALLY worried.
idhawkman wrote:Sorry Cbob, this just isn't true. The dem governor of Virginia (a Pediatrician by trade) stated this is exactly what they do in Virginia. Don't see much coverage of this outrage in the papers or on the news though, do you? I wonder where they'd fit it in though when they have to dedicate so much time to Russian Collusion, Obstruction, investigations of financial records, etc.
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